Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, Greg said: I hear what your saying Tip. I'm only looking for trends right now. Just be sure to factor in any trend analysis is going to be totally useless if there's going to be a phase with the northern stream because neither of these models are showing that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 GFS Looks flatter then 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 minute ago, Greg said: Surface is cold but mid levels kinda torch. ok, so sleet.. what's wrong with that? just no rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Less amped now at 60 should be at least a little better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 GFS flatter through 60hLooks like more northern / southern stream separation like the Euro had at 12Z. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: So will BDL be 25 like the NAM says Sunday morning, or 45 like the GFS? But honestly as much as Kevin wants to lose every tree in his yard to ice, the NAM is a lot of sleet. The cold layer is cold and almost 3500 ft deep. Tough to scalp hair off you bald guys but that's a paint peeler with wind to boot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Last thing anyone wanted to see was amped, It was already zoinked so its coming in flatter moving towards the other guidance some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 4 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: surface looks cold, Sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, snowgeek said: Looks like more northern / southern stream separation like the Euro had at 12Z. . This is a trend I expect...it's just really hard to keep them in phase...the vortex to the north is screaming along while the southenr stream moves slower...it's going to want to shear it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Sleet yeap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 22 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Chocolate Thunder or whatever it is called Yes, please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Yeah but the Euro phased ... beginning that process at 96 hours may be that none of these models have it right yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 canadian still pretty juiced up, 988 low over ack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Wow, 00z GFS 984mb over RI at 90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 GFS with 3 inches of qpf for most of ct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Yeah but the Euro phased ... beginning that process at 96 hours maybe that none of these models have it right yet It was kind of a sheared/partial phase though and it waited longer...so it kept the storm from gaining as much latitude to the west. We'll see if that changes...but I am guessing it's going to be hard to get the two streams in sync. On some level, we will eventually see some sort of interaction...I guess the question is how sheared is that partial phase and how long does it take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 GFS still torches but better than 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 damn what a QPF bomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 GFS going to have some insane totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 I like the track on the GFS better than the18Z but still work to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Tossing the low level thermals with the GFS but that would be a pretty nasty ice event down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 maine gets it good with 984 headed towards GOM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 CMC looks like it went SE a decent bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: damn what a QPF bomb Imagine that with a normal ratio instead of 4:1 sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: maine gets it good with 984 headed towards GOM 2 to 3 feet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, CT Rain said: Tossing the low level thermals with the GFS but that would be a pretty nasty ice event down here. That would be ridiculous I think down in that area. If we are able to torch the midlevels as much as the GFS says, then someone in SNE would get a monster ice storm. I'm still guessing it doesn't end up that warm aloft, but we gotta consider it for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 CMC is a crushing...similar to euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 that's allot of liquid on the gfs and canadian Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Sign me up... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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