Frosted flakes Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Unk be drunk and pissed all over my screen, kidney infection lots of yellow and red. Hope I can get it off He missed south Eastern NH over toward extreme southern maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, Frosted flakes said: He missed south Eastern NH over toward extreme southern maine Damn enlarged prostate acting up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2019 Author Share Posted January 17, 2019 James, enough with that crap..you would not get 4'. If it trended south, you get colder, but also lose some WCB...thus lose some QPF. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Closest I can get 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2019 Author Share Posted January 17, 2019 UK QPF most reasonable imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: UK QPF most reasonable imo. Ok if it was all snow Ray, 18-24" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rnaude241 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, yoda said: Closest I can get Yes please! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 14 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Unk be drunk and pissed all over my screen, kidney infection lots of yellow and red. Hope I can get it off Not hard to find the mid level forcing and surface warm front just from the QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2019 Author Share Posted January 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Ok if it was all snow Ray, 18-24" I said QPF....thermals may be too cold, and if they aren't, QPF maybe lower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2019 Author Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, OceanStWx said: Not hard to find the mid level forcing and surface warm front just from the QPF. I'd like the UK to verify a bit north...subsidence in this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'd like the UK to verify a bit north...subsidence in this area. Its the furthest south of any guidance thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 27 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Ok if it was all snow Ray, 18-24" Actually if you look closely where you are specifically, you would get 10-12" in the purple region of the outer Cape, the south shore would get 18"-24" based of the light blue color. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 The bulk of the 12z sensitivity (73%) is in the north/south (some timing) position of the low pressure. The southern (read: cold) scenario which we want is tied to uncertainty that grows out of both the Arctic and central Pacific (which is a change from 00z last night which grew mainly out of the Arctic). If we get a deeper southern stream, and shallow out the northern stream we end up seeing the surface low stay south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'd like the UK to verify a bit north...subsidence in this area. Ideally to get really big totals you would like to see the surface and mid level fronts get closer together to increase the lift. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Now that's the track I like to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Looks a bit ukieish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Definitely a colder run than 12z. Warmest I get here at 850 is 1°C at hr 96, vs 5°C on the 12z. But can't see between hr 72 and hr 96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said: Definitely a colder run than 12z. Warmest I get here at 850 is 1°C at hr 96, vs 5°C on the 12z. But can't see between hr 72 and hr 96. +2/+4c @ h85 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2019 Author Share Posted January 17, 2019 Its a tick warmer...noise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 EC looks a little warmer to me. Brings the rain to Boston. But that's almost a perfect track for this forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 4 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Definitely a colder run than 12z. Warmest I get here at 850 is 1°C at hr 96, vs 5°C on the 12z. But can't see between hr 72 and hr 96. Definitely a tick warmer than 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2019 Author Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Its a tick warmer...noise. Warmest mid level point: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, MarkO said: EC looks a little warmer to me. Brings the rain to Boston. But that's almost a perfect track for this forum. It was a tic or two warmer, But not much, It will matter for some in SNE though that are on the fence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Kuchi kuchi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2019 Author Share Posted January 17, 2019 I have a feeling that I'm going to appreciate that extra 12 or so miles of latitude that I gained in the move for the first time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I have a feeling that I m going to appreciate that extra 12 or so miles of latitude for the first time. Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, MarkO said: Kuchi kuchi Kuchera map is wrong. There is some noticeable problem with those kuchera graphics, look at hr 78 and hr 84 and youll see what i mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 There some IP/ZR in there for some of you in SNE on those totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Every bit helps Ray, I've been appreciating the 90 or so miles of latitude, especially this winter! You're in a good spot for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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