BornAgain13 Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Well, these overnight runs definitely did not trend well at all..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 GFS nice and toasty thru hour 90, all rain outside mountains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 By hour 96, CAD starts doing its thing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 I'm no met, obviously, but that just doesn't look right to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Gfs coming in colder for the mtns at 850 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Western NC HEAVY Snow @ 108 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 6z GFS says... 0z was a hiccup, I'm back to showing monster totals! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Just now, BornAgain13 said: 6z GFS says... 0z was a hiccup, I'm back to showing monster totals! The LP is further off shore, really helps 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Here's a clown/weenie map for you guys to wake up to 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 @ 126, still snow for most of NC. It shows rain, but 540s look good and temps are pretty close to freezing for most of NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WiseWeather Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, JoshM said: Here's a clown/weenie map for you guys to wake up to No way hickory gets more than lenoir. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Just that short amount of time from 0z to 6z continues to show me that models continue to fluctuate.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdawg10 Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 4 minutes ago, JoshM said: Here's a clown/weenie map for you guys to wake up to I think this is a win for mostly everyone. i'd take it. Super tight gradient around wake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 3 minutes ago, JoshM said: Here's a clown/weenie map for you guys to wake up to My weenie is certainly awake. Let's bring it home with some adjustments South through 12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 The models possibility ingested some bad data at 0z. Let's see what the 12z suite has in store for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 The 0Z FV 3 and 6Z GFS were great runs for the NC Piedmont. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 The models are still all over the place I see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 5, 2018 Author Share Posted December 5, 2018 I think I'm finally done... Oh well 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 The 6Z GFS is a classic Miller A snow storm for the Carolinas. It begins with a good thump of snow for many, narrowing to the favored areas as the storm makes its closest approach...becoming mainly a snow vs. rain event, with little ice. The soundings for the Triad are all snow soundings through the storm (perhaps some sleet around 18Z Sunday)...thus the high totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Keep in mind, the GFS is considerably warmer compared to the NAM at the outset and yet it still produces a great storm. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajr Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sarcean Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 21 minutes ago, Poimen said: The 0Z FV 3 and 6Z GFS were great runs for the NC Piedmont. I would like to cash out and take this to the bank Hell I would be very happy with half that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajr Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 FV3 is colder with a more stout wedge - LP location good at hr 96 over Pensacola with snow throughout NC and upstate SC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 45 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Just that short amount of time from 0z to 6z continues to show me that models continue to fluctuate.... So True. The 06Z FV3 is coming in now. Lets see what it produces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 5 minutes ago, ajr said: FV3 is colder with a more stout wedge - LP location good at hr 96 over Pensacola with snow throughout NC and upstate SC The SLP is a tad bit slower or further back west at 96 then the 06 GFS run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajr Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Holding steady-ish on the phasing front (can’t see any bad signals here yet) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Euro totals from 00z 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 30 minutes ago, ajr said: To his point, here's the comparison of the GFS and NAM at hour 84: 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 6Z FV 3 does it again. Just like the GFS, it's a classic Miller A. Should be big totals on those clown maps. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Boom 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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