Buddy1987 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 The 12k is DEFINITELY more snowy at the onset at face value for you guys up there. JI is not trolling on that one hahahaha. Raging sleet storm all the way down the rest of the 81 corridor. This is referencing 36 hrs. @WinterWxLuvr @leesburg 04 And the rest of the crew up in NW VA. This has your name written all over it. 81 corridor never changes over according to the 12k. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: It’s pretty sweet. For Nov at least. Positive snow depth change is not too shabby. Then the NAM is not too shabby either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Can you be more descriptive It has dark blue from 7am to 10am lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Holy bowling ball, Clark. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 3km always for cad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 I just love how the NAM dry slots us at the end and we avoid a washout. Though it’s nice to see it show a good period of snow for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Bowling ball appears a tick further south than 18z...appears to me but I am just a weenie on weenie patrol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Thank god we have algorithms that support non-10:1s now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Other big thing on the 3k is it’s only shifted the HP system a couple hundred miles west southwest from 18z. Instead of having it in northeastern VT it now has it around the Syracuse NY area, which is a much better spot for low level funneling. This is at 32hrs I’m referencing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Nam3k looks sleetbomb:( 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 3k flips DC to rain ~15-16z Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 1 minute ago, Ji said: Nam3k looks sleetbomb:( Yes thickness is killing us. It would have been a snow bomb at 540 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 3 minutes ago, Ji said: Nam3k looks sleetbomb:( Just now, BristowWx said: Yes thickness is killing us. It would have been a snow bomb at 540 This time of year for me I take what I get. We’re normally in freakin flip flops and look forward to what January is going to bring at this point of the year the last couple years at least. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 6 minutes ago, Ji said: Nam3k looks sleetbomb:( You're going to be ok...it's early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 00z NAM would be money if this were 2 or 3 weeks from now. Still, we take. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 I mean the NAM has to be right just once right? What a beatdown out here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 12k NAM starts as snow and ends as snow early Friday morning. I'll take it. Within range for the NAM right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 2 minutes ago, Wonderdog said: 12k NAM starts as snow and ends as snow early Friday morning. I'll take it. Within range for the NAM right? Should be in range by 9z Thursday. Joking aside it looks sweet as is for this date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 9 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: I mean the NAM has to be right just once right? What a beatdown out here. At least it has a lot of backing. Fv3 is cash money as well lol. RGEM is the most impressive I just worry about it’s cold bias from last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 You're going to be ok...it's early Maybe the nam3k is too high resolution ha. I hate wasting storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Just now, Buddy1987 said: At least it has a lot of backing. Fv3 is cash money as well lol. RGEM is the most impressive I just worry about it’s cold bias from last year. Yes. The RGEM really struggled last year. At least all of the short range models have some frozen for just about everyone in this thread. You cant say that in November very often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Precip timing near perfect. Many areas will be at or below freezing for several hours prior. Both nams are good with me. I know I'm mixing and going to rain no matter what and both are a good event for Nov. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Precip timing near perfect. Many areas will be at or below freezing for several hours prior. Both nams are good with me. I know I'm mixing and going to rain no matter what and both are a good event for Nov. Yep. White for a few hours from the sky and the ground covered is a win in Nov. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 00z RGEM 2-3 hours of sleet for DC before rain...I’ll take. Switches most of the sub forum to rain Thursday afternoon...favored areas hang on the longest obviously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 I wish it was Christmas 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 2 minutes ago, nj2va said: 00z RGEM 2-3 hours of sleet for DC before rain...I’ll take. Switches most of the sub forum to rain Thursday afternoon...favored areas hang on the longest obviously. I will say the RGEM is very ominous down this way and has been run on run due to it coming in at an optimal time and really both the 3k and 12k are as well. I have that gut feeling this thing overperforms for a lot of folks here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 The NAM3K positive snow depth change map is what I would think we could expect from this storm. May be underdone out west but I don't see anyone outside the mountains getting 3"+ out of this. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 9 minutes ago, nj2va said: 00z RGEM 2-3 hours of sleet for DC before rain...I’ll take. Switches most of the sub forum to rain Thursday afternoon...favored areas hang on the longest obviously. I'm wondering if the RGEM is switching over too quickly. The NAMs don't have the switch over that fast and aren't they faster than the RGEM getting precip into the region? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 2 minutes ago, yoda said: I'm wondering if the RGEM is switching over too quickly. The NAMs don't have the switch over that fast and aren't they faster than the RGEM getting precip into the region? It’s probably a bit too fast but I think we’re raining by noon in DC if I had to guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 14, 2018 Share Posted November 14, 2018 Topper saying arrival 6 to 8am of snow then mix and switch over around 1pm to rain in DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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