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September 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread


Rtd208

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8 minutes ago, gravitylover said:

I dunno about that, it's 63 in my living room right now. 

I didn’t realize how much further north you were than I am.  I’m on LI, negligible elevation.  Despite all the windows being open last night only made it down to 70 last night.  Maybe down to 68 tonight since the forecast is to be cooler overnight 

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32 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said:

I didn’t realize how much further north you were than I am.  I’m on LI, negligible elevation.  Despite all the windows being open last night only made it down to 70 last night.  Maybe down to 68 tonight since the forecast is to be cooler overnight 

I had all my bedroom windows open last with the ceiling fans going, got down to 64 in there by this morning. Hoping for cooler than that tonight. 

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Low temperatures closer to normal for a few days felt nice. The minimum temperature departure for the Northeast was at a record +5 to +10 through the first 22 days of September. The return of the 70 degree dew points with the heavy rain potential this week will result in very warm minimums again.

1894526041_Screenshot2018-09-24at8_04_43AM.png.e8c0534afe1dfef655da7780c7c59c6d.png

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14 hours ago, IrishRob17 said:

I had all my bedroom windows open last with the ceiling fans going, got down to 64 in there by this morning. Hoping for cooler than that tonight. 

Cooler in the house than 64? Your lower back must be younger than mine ;) 

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Low temperatures closer to normal for a few days felt nice. The minimum temperature departure for the Northeast was at a record +5 to +10 through the first 22 days of September. The return of the 70 degree dew points with the heavy rain potential this week will result in very warm minimums again.

1894526041_Screenshot2018-09-24at8_04_43AM.png.e8c0534afe1dfef655da7780c7c59c6d.png

Grrr :fulltilt: Those darn high minimums screwing everything up again :thumbsdown:

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45 minutes ago, gravitylover said:

Cooler in the house than 64? Your lower back must be younger than mine ;) 

Grrr :fulltilt: Those darn high minimums screwing everything up again :thumbsdown:

I didn't check the downstairs temps this morning, it was 64 in the bedroom again so downstairs was probably a couple of degrees cooler. Funny you mention the lower back, I've done plenty to mine over the years so I have problems with it.  Saturday night my 3 year old niece was using me as a jungle gym, it wasn't a problem then but I'm icing it this morning LOL. 

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1 minute ago, Ace said:

Day 3 Slight from SPC...impressive. Lapse rates suck though.

There's always something missing in this region when it comes to big severe outbreaks, usually either shear or lapse rates. Most of the best storms I can remember, whether here or in Allentown, have come on days which weren't supposed to have significant outbreaks.

The 3km NAM has some discrete cells popping front of the squall line Wednesday evening, but under its current timing the front would come through here during the early morning hours of Thursday, which could limit the severe potential.

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8 minutes ago, Gravity Wave said:

There's always something missing in this region when it comes to big severe outbreaks, usually either shear or lapse rates. Most of the best storms I can remember, whether here or in Allentown, have come on days which weren't supposed to have significant outbreaks.

The 3km NAM has some discrete cells popping front of the squall line Wednesday evening, but under its current timing the front would come through here during the early morning hours of Thursday, which could limit the severe potential.

We do the best in early morning warm frontal passages. Decent localized instability combined with a local enhancement of shear. 

We did have a nice afternoon squall line earlier this year when we also had an EML to work with.

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7 hours ago, Will - Rutgers said:

Been a fair while since it was this windy (and it's not even that windy).  I think that SW flow event in early August with the devastating E PA rains was the last time it was this windy.  I mean mostly it's been a slog of still, humid air.  The change of pace is refreshing but abrupt.

Out here on the island it was during the storm earlier this month. I will agree it was pretty windy in the city earlier today 

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