Brian5671 Posted July 24, 2018 Share Posted July 24, 2018 incredible training rains over BWI region...what a spring and summer down there. Locally, 84/75 and mostly sunny. Very Oppressive humidity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 24, 2018 Share Posted July 24, 2018 4 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: incredible training rains over BWI region...what a spring and summer down there. Locally, 84/75 and mostly sunny. Very Oppressive humidity. New July rainfall record at Baltimore. Baltimore has picked up 2.29 inches of rain today. That pushes its monthly total of 10.97" thru yesterday to 13.26" making this Baltimore's wettest July on record. It passes the previous record of 11.03 inches from 1889. Our latest forecast update: wapo.st/2uLM7Mh pic.twitter.com/1oUUeQLvAv 8:57 AM - 24 Jul 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 24, 2018 Share Posted July 24, 2018 Oppressively hot and humid on the south shore right now with full sunshine. Just moving means sweating like crazy. We have missed pretty much all the rain here in Nassau Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted July 24, 2018 Share Posted July 24, 2018 2 hours ago, bluewave said: Deep blue sunny skies here on the South Shore. Another day with a tropical air flow from near Bermuda. Dew points on Long Island are in the mid 70's. http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/GOES_PA/loop60.html Funny you should post this. I travel to Bermuda fairly frequently and have thought that the past few days felt similar weatherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted July 24, 2018 Share Posted July 24, 2018 5 hours ago, gravitylover said: For me that's been the worst part of this whole event. I don't mind a concentrated wet period so much but the random aspect of this has been demoralizing. You can't do anything outside because all of a sudden it gets wet. That rain plume running up the Thruway corridor this morning looks like a real soaker. Yeah the randomness does suck sometimes. Eventually I just start to accept or even embrace it. Warm, humid, unstable..I just go about my business and expect to get wet at some point. Ive spent enough time in south FL to reach the point where you kinda stop planning around every potential rainfall and just take possibly of getting soaked as a normal thing. Getting decent sunshine today, 83 dew 75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 24, 2018 Share Posted July 24, 2018 Some of the mesoscale models have trended awfully progressive over the next 48 hours. I personally don't buy it. Neither the 3k NAM nor the RGEM seem to have a good handle on the current situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 24, 2018 Share Posted July 24, 2018 47 minutes ago, Eduardo said: Funny you should post this. I travel to Bermuda fairly frequently and have thought that the past few days felt similar weatherwise. Yeah, the WAR/STR axis was much further north than usual this month. Check out the anomalous easterly component to the winds near the East Coast. I will run the numbers when the month is over. But this looks close to record territory for the month of July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 24, 2018 Share Posted July 24, 2018 Just a ridiculous number of flood warnings/advisories just to our West currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 24, 2018 Share Posted July 24, 2018 We've really lucked out with most of the heavy rain to our west. Kind of surprised honestly with how humid its been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted July 24, 2018 Share Posted July 24, 2018 2 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Just a ridiculous number of flood warnings/advisories just to our West currently. The entire Susquehanna Valley has been getting smoked for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 24, 2018 Share Posted July 24, 2018 84/76 and partly cloudy here, we could use the rain but I’ll gladly take this sunshine over drowning for days on end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 24, 2018 Share Posted July 24, 2018 Pretty interesting cloud setup on the island right now. Full sunshine at my house in Wantagh with a solid cloud line visable to the north somewhere near the southern state. Just go to Jamaica on the life and it’s cloudy here. Even though it’s not technically a sea breeze we are seeing a sea breeze cloud pattern. Basically south Florida on the island today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 24, 2018 Share Posted July 24, 2018 28 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: We've really lucked out with most of the heavy rain to our west. Kind of surprised honestly with how humid its been. I suspect we're going to make up for it in a big way the next two days. Not as much as what they've received but another widespread 2-3" for most locations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted July 24, 2018 Share Posted July 24, 2018 PA has been getting wrecked. I suspect that rain over NC will be our rain for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 24, 2018 Share Posted July 24, 2018 48 minutes ago, bluewave said: Yeah, those cloud streets starting just inland from the coast are more common in the SE. The 12z Euro shares the rainfall wealth with the coast especially Wed night. It has a nice high PWAT training signal. That’s great, Nassau (south shore) especially did very poorly with the main event and the only had one quick downpour Sunday. We have had nothing since then not even a drop. Since freshwater flooding is a rarity around here and requires and insane amount of rain during a short period (say 5”+ in an hour) it’s welcome. The only time I experienced true fresh water flooding was in October 05 when the entire water table rose and that took 15”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted July 24, 2018 Share Posted July 24, 2018 Flash flood watches hoisted for western NJ through Thu morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 24, 2018 Share Posted July 24, 2018 Flash Flood Watches expanded East. Expected to be expanded further East tonight or tomorrow. Flood Watch National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 325 PM EDT Tue Jul 24 2018 NJZ001-007>010-012>020-026-027-251000- /O.EXB.KPHI.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-180726T1000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Middlesex- Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-Mercer-Salem-Gloucester-Camden- Northwestern Burlington-Ocean-Coastal Ocean- Southeastern Burlington- Including the cities of Newton, Washington, Morristown, Flemington, Somerville, New Brunswick, Freehold, Sandy Hook, Trenton, Pennsville, Glassboro, Camden, Cherry Hill, Moorestown, Mount Holly, Jackson, Long Beach Island, and Wharton State Forest 325 PM EDT Tue Jul 24 2018 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has expanded the * Flash Flood Watch to include portions of central New Jersey, northern New Jersey, northwest New Jersey, and southern New Jersey, including the following areas, in central New Jersey, Eastern Monmouth, Mercer, and Western Monmouth. In northern New Jersey, Middlesex, Morris, Somerset, Sussex, and Warren. In northwest New Jersey, Hunterdon. In southern New Jersey, Camden, Coastal Ocean, Gloucester, Northwestern Burlington, Ocean, Salem, and Southeastern Burlington. * Through late Wednesday night * Showers and some thunderstorms are expected to become more numerous tonight and continue through Wednesday and Wednesday night. A tropical airmass will support areas of very heavy rain, especially where showers and thunderstorms move over the same area. Rainfall amounts over 1 inch in an hour will be possible, and any training of heavy showers will lead to even higher amounts. * Excessive rainfall within a short period of time can lead to rapidly rising water and flash flooding, particularly in urban areas and along small creeks and streams. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that there is the potential for flash flooding which can be life-threatening. Heavy rain is expected to occur over a short period of time. Rapidly rising flood waters may quickly inundate roadways and areas of poor drainage. Streams and creeks could leave their banks, flooding nearby properties. Please monitor the forecast, especially if you live in a location that is prone to flooding. Be prepared to take action if a flash flood warning is issued for your area. && Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted July 24, 2018 Share Posted July 24, 2018 I've had at least 2.5-3" of rain to this point. This next round should get some of the local secondary creeks, rivers up to bank full, i.e. the Black and Raritan Rivers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 24, 2018 Share Posted July 24, 2018 In addition to the cloud streets just inland from the coast, they also show up really well over the Gulf Stream. You can see them dissipating over the cooler waters just to the north. http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/GOES_US/loop60.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 24, 2018 Share Posted July 24, 2018 21 minutes ago, bluewave said: In addition to the cloud streets just inland from the coast, they also show up really well over the Gulf Stream. You can see them dissipating over the cooler waters just to the north. http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/GOES_US/loop60.html You can also see the Labrador current and corresponding low clouds and fog. I guess water temps in the 60s/70s inhibit cloud development Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted July 24, 2018 Share Posted July 24, 2018 lol love how they say numerous showers and t-storms will develop mean while all the precip is either way west of us or have dissipated down south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 25, 2018 Author Share Posted July 25, 2018 I am honestly starting to wonder if we will even see that much rain tonight through tomorrow evening. But with the tropical air mass in place it is certainly possible. Time will tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 25, 2018 Author Share Posted July 25, 2018 Current temp 79/DP 73/RH 82% Picked up 0.01" of rain for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 25, 2018 Author Share Posted July 25, 2018 13 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said: lol love how they say numerous showers and t-storms will develop mean while all the precip is either way west of us or have dissipated down south. These type of setups usually favor areas just to our west versus our area, we have seen this numerous times in the past. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 13 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: I am honestly starting to wonder if we will even see that much rain tonight through tomorrow evening. But with the tropical air mass in place it is certainly possible. Time will tell. It's very possible that we dodge most of this, just because the setup is there doesn't mean we'll take advantage of it. The precip remains very scattered, so it's all random, something I'm sure Floridians know very well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 22 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: I am honestly starting to wonder if we will even see that much rain tonight through tomorrow evening. But with the tropical air mass in place it is certainly possible. Time will tell. It’s supposed to shift back east by tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 It’s rained here at least 3 times already today, including a downpour 5 minutes ago. It’s been drier East of the Hudson, but it was expected to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 59 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: It's very possible that we dodge most of this, just because the setup is there doesn't mean we'll take advantage of it. The precip remains very scattered, so it's all random, something I'm sure Floridians know very well. We haven’t had a mechanism to tap into the PW. Tomorrow the trough swings east with the weak cold front. That will act as the mechanism to tap into the rediculous PW’s. At that point we should see an organized area of rain that should get the entire region. Until then it’s just widely scattered convection which should be mostly inland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 1 hour ago, NJwx85 said: It’s rained here at least 3 times already today, including a downpour 5 minutes ago. It’s been drier East of the Hudson, but it was expected to be. I'm surprised, it was dry here all day. All the action has remained to our west, and one has to wonder if it will stay that way for tomorrow like others have mentioned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 24 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: I'm surprised, it was dry here all day. All the action has remained to our west, and one has to wonder if it will stay that way for tomorrow like others have mentioned. It’s forecasted to start moving back East. There’s a 90% chance of rain here by 4am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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