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Rtd208

July 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread

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Just throwing some early guess numbers out for Newark beginning Thursday 6/28 through July 4th.

Thursday 6/28: 91

Friday 6/29: 93

Saturday 6/30: 96

Sunday 7/1: 99

Monday 7/2: 100

Tuesday 7/3: 100

Wednesday 7/4: 98

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Just throwing some early guess numbers out for Newark beginning Thursday 6/28 through July 4th.

**Updated 6/27**

Thursday 6/28: 88

Friday 6/29: 93

Saturday 6/30: 96

Sunday 7/1: 100

Monday 7/2: 100

Tuesday 7/3: 93

Wednesday 7/4: 90

Temps possibly surge back into the mid and upper 90's late next week.

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Just throwing some early guess numbers out for Newark beginning Thursday 6/28 through July 4th.

**Final Update 6/28**

Thursday 6/28: 88

Friday 6/29: 93

Saturday 6/30: 96

Sunday 7/1: 100

Monday 7/2: 100

Tuesday 7/3: 98

Wednesday 7/4: 97

Temps probably continue in the mid and upper 90's late next week/first weekend of July.

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2 hours ago, Rtd208 said:

Both NWS offices have now jumped onboard and have 90's for the next 7 days.

The last 7-day or longer heat wave in Newark occurred from August 10 through August 16, 2016.

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There is no BN period for us till July 15-19.    Last 10 days of the month seem like a back and forth battle between ridge and trough with no clear winner.

The GFS Max./Min. Output for the next 10 days is still averaging a ridiculous 97degs.

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Still think we see ridge pulse in the 7/6 - 7/10 period that brings the hottest temps (of the first half) Beyond there it looks warm.  2013 - ish....

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33 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

Still think we see ridge pulse in the 7/6 - 7/10 period that brings the hottest temps (of the first half) Beyond there it looks warm.  2013 - ish....

Looks like GFS and EURO are showing the front coming through on friday the 6th. That would set us up for a beautiful weekend next weekend with temps in the 80s and low humidity. Hopefully the models are right about this and you will be wrong about it getting terribly hot again next weekend.

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7 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

I remember the 88 heatwave. Our pool water was up to 90 degrees

 

 

36431734_2123352611027376_6247064639662718976_n.png.jpg

Can anyone check the length of the heatwaves in  (NYC) 1991, 1993.    I believe in 1991 there was a seventeen day period with just one missed 90 degree day or something.

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The first 7 days of July will average an astounding 86degs.,  11degs. AN.      This is a surplus of 77 degrees and represents half of what we need for the whole month to become the hottest July ever.      Even if remainder of the month were Normal, we would still end up +77/31 about +2.5.

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1 hour ago, CIK62 said:

Can anyone check the length of the heatwaves in  (NYC) 1991, 1993.    I believe in 1991 there was a seventeen day period with just one missed 90 degree day or something.

1993 was 10 days

1991 was 2 89 degree days shy of 11 but no 17 day period

 

Screenshot_2018-06-30-18-28-15.png

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59 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

1993 was 10 days

1991 was 2 89 degree days shy of 11 but no 17 day period

 

Screenshot_2018-06-30-18-28-15.png

Thanks for the charts!

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4 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

1993 was 10 days

1991 was 2 89 degree days shy of 11 but no 17 day period

 

Screenshot_2018-06-30-18-28-15.png

2002 

 

 

 

 

2010 : eWr 14 straight

2002 ; EWR: 10 straight and 17 of 26 days (2 @ 89)

 

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The first 8 days of July are averaging 83degs., or 8degs. AN.

July Normal is 76.5, and record is 81.4(1999).  So target would be to finish at > +5.0

Temp. just hit 80 here (6:15AM).  I am going watch for a montonically increasing temperature w/o setbacks like previous days.  eg.  Yesterday 85 at 10:30 but 83 at 1PM when I went to  beach.

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Temperatures are off to the races at 7:30 in the morning. Much of the area is already 80 degrees or warmer. Even the South Shore is 80 degrees at Wantagh.

 

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