March 13th ... west Atlantic bombogenesis type low clipping SE New England, more certain ...may be expanding inland

[CoastalWx]

 I think this is moving just a bit too quick for those Uber amounts (30+).After 18 Z, it may already showing signs of losing the massive CCB push and start to show signs of more bandiness. 

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said:

is that completely off the table now?

No it could still slow. This partial phase between the two streams is a trainwreck on guidance. If it happens quicker then we could have this storm overstay it's welcome somewhat. 

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Right on cue.

??

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

 I think this is moving just a bit too quick for those Uber amounts (30+).After 18 Z, it may already showing signs of losing the massive CCB push and start to show signs of more bandiness. 

We'll see....it only takes 12 hours sometimes.

[BRSno]

15z SREFs look awesome. Low range is 8" 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

??

I'm just being a d*ck.

All good points.

[CTWeatherFreak]

4 minutes ago, WintersComing said:

Can see in the northern energy already plowing into the southern SW on this loop.

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=global-northernhemi-08-48-1-100-1&checked=map

 

THeyre practically kissing here. Did any models show this close in interaction this early on?

[Hoth]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

No it could still slow. This partial phase between the two streams is a trainwreck on guidance. If it happens quicker then we could have this storm overstay it's welcome somewhat. 

It's welcome to stay as long as it wants.

[Bostonseminole]

1 minute ago, BRSno said:

15z SREFs look awesome. Low range is 8" 

juicier?

[WintersComing]

Just now, CTWeatherFreak said:

THeyre practically kissing here. Did any models show this close in interaction this early on?

No and that what Tip and some others have been scratching their heads about

[WeatherX]

Man does that look awesome.

It’s like junior prom when the guys say, “no really, just the tip”


.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Nice.  Mean snow on the 15z SREFs for PYM are just about 20".  

[BRSno]

1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said:

juicier?

Yup. Nice bump from 9z which had a few scrapers it seemed. 

[WintersComing]

Just now, Baroclinic Zone said:

Nice.  Mean snow on the 15z SREFs for PYM are just about 20".  

How about back this way?

[Damage In Tolland]

There’s a lot of snow coming 

[WintersComing]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

There’s a lot of snow coming 

It's gonna snow tomorrow?

[tavwtby]

Have been watching that band, now positioned from NNJ to SEof PIT all day, looks well NW of SLP, bet that's the outer meso band that clips west areas with fluff

[Cyclone-68]

Would a phase more or less guarantee that the storm slows down? Would phasing come with any other advantages?  

[JC-CT]

11 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Man does that look awesome.

That northern stream just seems to be booking so fast, like twice the speed of the southern stream. Sure looks like it's gonna catch up.

I dunno. Models > the human eye.

 

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, WintersComing said:

How about back this way?

Looks about 10" there.  IJD is like 11", BDL 10", OXC 7"

[WintersComing]

Just now, Cyclone-68 said:

Would a phase more or less guarantee that the storm slows down? Would phasing come with any other advantages?  

Phasing tends to pull the lead wave back a bit more as well as the precip etc.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

11 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said:

What a great storm for everyone in the whole New England forum.  12" for everyone till you get into the NYC metro.  Even the islands score.  Doesn't happen often for sure, oh boy, oh boy, oh boy!

Codfish will find a way to get 6". 

[WintersComing]

Lack of phasing also tends to cause the lead wave to get pushed out to sea.

[Baroclinic Zone]

EPS probabilities upped some too.

[dryslot]

That 15z SREF run backed the 1.75"+ back to the west up this way........fwiw

09z

15z

 

[JC-CT]

There is that kicker in the northern stream that is still NW of lake winnipeg that models will not have a good handle on. It seems like that one is coming in pretty hot and accelerating the northern stream.

[Sugarloaf1989]

Looks like snow on top of snow as my house is still 100% snow covered. Alot melted today with the temperature up to 45F.

WU has 7" forecasted.

Crapuweather has 6-10"

NWS has 8-12"

[Sugarloaf1989]

5 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Codfish will find a way to get 0.6". 

FYP

[Baroclinic Zone]

[JC-CT]

4 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

There is that kicker in the northern stream that is still NW of lake winnipeg that models will not have a good handle on. It seems like that one is coming in pretty hot and accelerating the northern stream.

Looks at least a couple hours ahead of the 12z NAM's schedule