March 13th ... west Atlantic bombogenesis type low clipping SE New England, more certain ...may be expanding inland

[cut]

53 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

He loves spring storms.  Blue bombs...reminiscing about laying on the Bougouis Beach while parachutes fall near Fox Hall...

I’m expecting the next Euro to split the difference between its last two runs...

We’ve seen this play before...but the NAM solution has me salivating

 

Spent my freshman year in Bogus - across from Fox

[Weenie]

Hour 18 of GFS follows the same trends the other models have been following, several mb stronger when it hits the water. Might be slightly west but it's probably just noise

[HoarfrostHubb]

Just now, cut said:

Spent my freshman year in Bogus - across from Fox

I lived in Smith (RIP) for a couple of years and worked in Fox for a bit.

Some lean snow years for part of my time in Lowell, but some good ones too.

[SR Airglow]

3 minutes ago, Weenie said:

Hour 18 of GFS follows the same trends the other models have been following, several mb stronger when it hits the water. Might be slightly west but it's probably just noise

It's a bit east(30-40 miles maybe?) of the 12z run at hour 30 but should still be a pretty good hit I think.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Gfs looks like it’ll be somewhat east if 12z.

[weathafella]

Gfs/euro/rgem vs NAM 

[JC-CT]

Just now, weathafella said:

Gfs/euro/rgem vs NAM 

Lol

[Hoth]

Huge bomb. Congrats James.

[Bostonseminole]

further east but what a bomb. sub 965

[bobbutts]

18z NAM actually shaves off some qpf up this way vs. 12z but it's still a big hit.  Euro really not good though.  Seems like a really hard forecast for C. NH.  I can't decide what to expect yet.

[SR Airglow]

Ouch. Verbatim, 18z GFS is advisory for most outside of RI/eastern MA which is low end warning. Cape gets destroyed. Give it one more cycle to see if it comes back, but Euro FTW as of right now.

We're going with 2-5" west of 91 and 5-8" east - I like that call right now.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Ends up a good deal east.

You can probably toss the NAM.

Trend isn’t your friend since the euro came out. Advantage euro it would appear right now.

[78Blizzard]

The NAM will most likely begin the cave at 0z.  The 3k has already done so.

[weathafella]

Just now, SR Airglow said:

Ouch. Verbatim, advisory for most outside of RI/eastern MA which is low end warning. Cape gets destroyed. Give it one more cycle to see if it comes back, but Euro FTW as of right now.

We're going with 2-5" west of 91 and 5-8" east - I like that call right now.

Mid levels.  Don’t ignore in favor of the siren song of qpf.

[moneypitmike]

Well, that's pretty underwhelming.

[DavisStraight]

39 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Did Siprell write that with pants on or off?

I read it with my pants off 

[moneypitmike]

Watches cancel.

[BRSno]

No complaints out here. Still looking like a foot deal

[weathafella]

Take a look at 700 mb GFS at 42 hours.  We take.

[Damage In Tolland]

Oh man . Euro gonna win 

[Bostonseminole]

2 minutes ago, BRSno said:

No complaints out here. Still looking like a foot deal

yeah, GFS is now the low end... Euro still looks good, 10-18 is a good call.. NAM is always on steroids

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

2 minutes ago, BRSno said:

No complaints out here. Still looking like a foot deal

Prob can’t take another shift east of that size though. Definitely playing with Fire.

 

[NeonPeon]

To think that if i didn't waste my time with this nonsense I'd be none the wiser enjoying a spring day. This thing could get worse too. Have to hope this is the limit. To finish out this season missing one west and then one east would just define march in Rhode island.

[SR Airglow]

6 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Mid levels.  Don’t ignore in favor of the siren song of qpf.

I'm not ignoring for BOS but I think CT is probably too far west to do double digits with this one. You and I are probably good for a foot I'd say.

[78Blizzard]

At this point, I'll take a Euro/NAM 50-50 compromise.  Better yet, a Ukie/NAM compromise.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

This storm is going to be a monster regardless of its impact on us.

Obviously the snow amounts look to be taking a significant hit, but the storm itself will be impressive.

[Damage In Tolland]

Can any Mets offer an idea which direction to lean or what to think? 

[BRSno]

Yesterday's 18z GFS run sucked and then it went boom at 0z. Even if it ended up as the EURO it is still a good deal, plus I need to get to China on Wednesday so I wouldn't complain if we just got a pedestrian storm and it didn't miss my connection in DTW. 

[JC-CT]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Can any Mets offer an idea which direction to lean or what to think? 

Yes, but would you listen to them?

[moneypitmike]

4 minutes ago, SR Airglow said:

I'm not ignoring for BOS but I think CT is probably too far west to do double digits with this one. You and I are probably good for a foot I'd say.

This.  Perhaps 8-12 on the mid-coast.

2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

This storm is going to be a monster regardless of its impact on us.

Obviously the snow amounts look to be taking a significant hit, but the storm itself will be impressive.

If a tree falls in the forest......