Median to above confidence for moderate (major?) impact event, midweek

[Hoth]

So, when is this supposed to get in here? My impression was mid-morning tomorrow is when it starts to rip, but that blob in NJ seems to be making steady progress and I have a hard time thinking it gets here any later than 1-2ish. Looks pretty legit.

[Typhoon Tip]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Here was my first call.....gonna be tweaking this shortly.

 

I don't understand it what the hell is that a Vin diagram

[HullMA]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I don't understand it what the hell is that a Vin diagram

Vin diesel venn diagram "fast and furious"

[Ginx snewx]

11 minutes ago, HullMA said:

What are peoples thoughts on the north shore. Does rockport rain?

Crushed but right on the coast it's close

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I don't understand it what the hell is that a Vin diagram

You sound like you're responding to one of your own posts.

[Typhoon Tip]

2 minutes ago, Hoth said:

So, when is this supposed to get in here? My impression was mid-morning tomorrow is when it starts to rip, but that blob in NJ seems to be making steady progress and I have a hard time thinking it gets here any later than 1-2ish. Looks pretty legit.

That sounds reasonable… And then I'll just sort of a steps up but I think what's going to happen is mid afternoon we're going to go from kind of noncommittal light wet snow to a sudden like you look out the window and you can't see anything

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I don't understand it what the hell is that a Vin diagram

Lol he needs a Pict program for his flip phone

[Typhoon Tip]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

You sound like you're responding to one of your own posts.

 I like figured it out you're actually cutting out the zones there it's just I don't ever think I've ever seen that down that way. I guess it works

[Hoth]

2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

That sounds reasonable… And then I'll just sort of a steps up but I think what's going to happen is mid afternoon we're going to go from kind of noncommittal light wet snow to a sudden like you look out the window and you can't see anything

Works for me! 

Also, down to 33 here per the cheap thermo out my kitchen window. Much better starting point than last week!

[HullMA]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Crushed but right on the coast it's close

That is my thoughts as well. I will be here in newburyport, basically right on the coast.

Going to be a crazy battleground around here. Will be fun driving around seeing the difference between rockport and plaistow

[Typhoon Tip]

3 minutes ago, HullMA said:

Vin diesel venn diagram "fast and furious"

Right… That one, that clears it up

[wxeyeNH]

10 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Much better run even up here for the mid-level banding.

12z/18z had it up in the Saint Lawrence River Valley now it looks to pivot in Northern VT with the east tick.

I'm guessing the 800-600mb fronto products will be favorable up here. 

1

So PF I guess Im in a moat area between the low and the mid level banding?

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

 I like figured it out you're actually cutting out the zones there it's just I don't ever think I've ever seen that down that way. I guess it works

Yea...primitive.

I'll work on graphics for next year....that and specific temp anomalies for the seasonal.

Two changes.

[SlantStickers Anonymous]

Clients won’t be happy if I have to un-cancel this at 1am tonight. 

[ORH_wxman]

Not really huge differences now between NAM/RPM/Euro/Ukie....still some subtle differences that matter, but the goalposts are definitely tightening.

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Right… That one, that clears it upRight… That one, that clears it up

For some reason your posts show up as a double post...   only yours...like an echo

 

[WintersComing]

Reggie next?

 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

You sound like you're responding to one of your own posts.

AWBT ? lol. We head to a good comprimise. We both agreed far nw was overdone and UK was a good middle ground. Capture around CC was most likely spot. 

we both bang, so good game. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Not really huge differences now between NAM/RPM/Euro/Ukie....still some subtle differences that matter, but the goalposts are definitely tightening.

GFS making a goal line stand against the E MA offense..model sucks in the red zone, thankfully.

[TalcottWx]

22 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

As Scooter said, this is a thundersnow sounding at BOS....look at that big MAUL above about 700mb.

 

 

Man. Paste. 

[Typhoon Tip]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Not really huge differences now between NAM/RPM/Euro/Ukie....still some subtle differences that matter, but the goalposts are definitely tightening.

 Which only means a bust elevates the PTSD to even more terrifying levels of apoplexy  

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

AWBT ? lol. We head to a good comprimise. We both agreed far nw was overdone and UK was a good middle ground. Capture around CC was most likely spot. 

we both bang, so good game. 

Yea, totally just bustn' 'em.

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Not really huge differences now between NAM/RPM/Euro/Ukie....still some subtle differences that matter, but the goalposts are definitely tightening.

I am still baffled why NWS and area mets went all in on a GFS NAM combo before Ukie Euro came out then found ways to discount both. Very baffled ,

[powderfreak]

2 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said:

So PF I guess Im in a moat area between the low and the mid level banding?

Well if you call 1.3" of QPF in a lull?

I've got less QPF but I think the banding will be around here somewhere.

[Typhoon Tip]

1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

For some reason your posts show up as a double post...   only yours...like an echo

 

 Yeah I noticed that I think of this phone

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, totally just bustn' 'em.

If you can take em up out here in your final call, I’ll truce it haha. 

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

GFS making a goal line stand against the E MA offense..model sucks in the red zone, thankfully.

I think it will be about as competitive as the Colts run defense against Emmitt Smith behind the 1990s Cowboys offensive line.....

And just to clear it up, the GFS is the Colts defense.

[wxsniss]

Where is the warmth in KBOS to make rain? All I'm seeing is warmth 950 and below on plots hrs ...? With those rates, I'm calling snow.

Dry slot cuts us down a few inches but estimate on that run at least 4-8" in city proper, 6-10" in immediate western burbs.

Great start to 0z... agree with Coastal, want to see RGEM or GFS do the same... Euro gravitational pull delayed but not denied...?

[Semper911]

9 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I don't understand it what the hell is that a Vin diagram

All those arrows are making me dizzy. Vino diagram, maybe lol.

[DomNH]

Just now, sbos_wx said:

Man. Paste. 

I'm not even sure that's a classic man paste sounding. I mean yeah, it's >0C from 950mb or so down, but I love me a good old fashioned 0C isothermal blue bomb sounding from like 850mb down.