dryslot Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 9 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: 12z CMC looks like garage. Wednesday wave never gets going than it tries blowing up the follow-up wave. Skeptical of the solution. That's because that model it is what it looks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 yup... and it's sort an opposite concern that led the blizzard... This time, the hydrostatic models are seeing this potential more so than the non-hydros ... maybe. Although the RGEM seems to refute that. Course, then you gotta consider physical parameterization, too ... ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 I hope some people stay off the roads Wednesday AM....This is going to be a nightmare...don't need 2' for that. TBH, I think grid lock events are more common in untimely midling systems of this ilk, that don't come with a ton of fanfare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 7 minutes ago, Whineminster said: Agreed. Jacks are usually north of us or southeast of us, we usually end up somewhere in the middle. For a while we got lots of jacks. We get snow but rare jacks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I hope some people stay off the roads Wednesday AM....This is going to be a nightmare...don't need 2' for that. TBH, I think grid lock events are more common in untimely midling systems of this ilk, that don't come with a ton of fanfare. If ‘some’ stay off the roads that leaves ‘many’ on them. This won’t be good in CT where our traffic flow is suspect to begin with, as it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I hope some people stay off the roads Wednesday AM....This is going to be a nightmare...don't need 2' for that. TBH, I think grid lock events are more common in untimely midling systems of this ilk, that don't come with a ton of fanfare. Gotta go. Work at a hospital... hopefully it won’t be too bad early in the AM... I leave around 6ish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 15, 2018 Author Share Posted January 15, 2018 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: If ‘some’ stay off the roads that leaves ‘many’ on them. This won’t be good in CT where our traffic flow is suspect to begin with, as it is. Much of it falls Tuesday night, so there won’t be many on rds. It starts tomorrow evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 38 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Agree. Watch for a mini 12-13-07 traffic debacle Wed AM if folks dont use their heads. This is going to catch some off guard. Was that the one when people were saying it took them 8 hours to go Hartford to Springfield? It started pounding late morning IIRC......I made it to work but then left around 2 or 3 and had to get my daughter from daycare that day....she was 6 months at the time.....then it was a relatively painless journey home on the back roads of all things......I think 84 and 91 were totally fooked though.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Much of it falls Tuesday night, so there won’t be many on rds. It starts tomorrow evening Still looks snowy at 12z wed, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 19 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Locally 0.8 - 1" LE. We don't sell. That's some really impressive forcing given the overall UL setup and jet structure. She may be small, but she's a fighter... Surface Frontogenesis ftw. Jerry might want to check those numbers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 15, 2018 Author Share Posted January 15, 2018 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Still looks snowy at 12z wed, no? Yeah it snows well into the afternoon, but with it starting all areas of SNE Tuesday evening/night, most will stay home Wed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Yeah it snows well into the afternoon, but with it starting all areas of SNE Tuesday evening/night, most will stay home Wed I doubt business close for 4-8”. The upside is schools will be closed until February, so parents with kids under 12 will need to stay home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Yeah it snows well into the afternoon, but with it starting all areas of SNE Tuesday evening/night, most will stay home Wed Yea not seeing a 12 13 07 debacle as everyone was already at work and school. There will be tons of cancellations. Thinking 4 to 8 for Ct with a 10 lolly in NW CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Ukie @48h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I doubt business close for 4-8”. The upside is schools will be closed until February, so parents with kids under 12 will need to stay home. Oh God no..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Just now, ice1972 said: Oh God no..... Days and days of school closings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Ukie @48h. Looking at this @hr 48 then looking at hr 60, That tracks looks like it would go right over SE MA or the canal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Just now, dryslot said: Looking at this @hr 48 then looking at hr 60, That tracks looks like it would go right over SE MA Yup. Classic 1980s jack along the i-495 beltway N & W of I-90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 24 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Much of it falls Tuesday night, so there won’t be many on rds. It starts tomorrow evening Not east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 Uk similar to euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 23 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Yea not seeing a 12 13 07 debacle as everyone was already at work and school. There will be tons of cancellations. Thinking 4 to 8 for Ct with a 10 lolly in NW CT If there are enough cancellaions, sure...but I think some may not see huge totals and operate business as usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 28 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Jerry might want to check those numbers 1 & 4 for BOS FIT ORH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 There will prob be a nice swath of 6-8 over the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: There will prob be a nice swath of 6-8 over the interior. Similar to Christmas totals..maybe a bit more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 I'm sure based on track, some of this is liquid in southern areas S of the CT/MA border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Similar to Christmas totals..maybe a bit more. Yeah this one seems to have slightly more juice with it. Whoever gets CF enhancement will prob get the 8"+ lollis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 37 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Jerry might want to check those numbers This time it is 20-over mi casa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 12z GEFS is SECS. 0.5" - 0.75" LE encompasses virtually all of SNE and into extreme southern NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 15, 2018 Author Share Posted January 15, 2018 This shows the boundary convergence very well . Gonna be a thump just north of the coasts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: I'm sure based on track, some of this is liquid in southern areas S of the CT/MA border. Probably...but it is fine at 850. Can't see 925 on meteocentre Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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