wncsnow Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 And still coming down I77 and east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 The NAM pretty much just verified the HRRR and RAP. 5" in the Triad per Kuchera method. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary_Snow95 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Nice band of heavier returns right on top of RDU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow haven Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 ok when it says .4 QPF is that taking 10:1, but isn't this to be 12:1 or 14:1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 The 3km NAM is going to be amazing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disco-lemonade Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 That run of the NAM is incredible not at all what I was expecting slows down almost to a crawl as a little coastal develops, just a thing of beauty really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 FYI, the HRR/RAP/ and now 12km NAM are showing what i was alluding to yesterday with respect to increased lift from the warm bubble over the western Upstate combined with the inverted trough created from the northwest flow wrapping around the mountains. You can see that enhancement clear as day now on the sim radars. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 14 hours of precip verbatim on the NAM at CLT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 That run of the NAM is incredible not at all what I was expectingI have the 12K at 21 hours on TT and 3K at 5 hours. Ugh... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 From the RAH discussion: While we could see a brief period of rain or rain-snow mix at onset,especially east of the US 1 where precip will move in afterdaybreak, deep layer cooling will result in a quick change-over tosnow, with high snow:liquid ratios of 12:18 expected in the 3 to 6hour window of strongest forcing, similar to the upstream ratios wesaw across Middle Tn and Central-Eastern Tn earlier this morning.This would support a broad swath of 2 to 4 inches(0.5-1.0"/hourrate)across interior sections of the state, with localized higheramounts of 5 to 6 inches certainly possible given the favorable setup for banding precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disco-lemonade Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 2 minutes ago, tramadoc said: 3 minutes ago, Disco-lemonade said: That run of the NAM is incredible not at all what I was expecting I have the 12K at 21 hours on TT and 3K at 5 hours. Ugh... with plenty of precip to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 2 minutes ago, burrel2 said: FYI, the HRR/RAP/ and now 12km NAM are showing what i was alluding to yesterday with respect to increased lift from the warm bubble over the western Upstate combined with the inverted trough created from the northwest flow. You can see that enhancement clear as day now on the sim radars. Radar simulation begins to go boom over the upstate around 1-2AM...then E and NE from there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
broken024 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 I hope we don't mix too long here in South Charlotte Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDeac Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 2 minutes ago, griteater said: 14 hours of precip verbatim on the NAM at CLT Yeah, if that's the case (unlikely) I don't think it's possible to have only .3 in of QPF. Seems like the precip is always a couple hours later to start and earlier to leave. I'll certainly still take 10 hours of snow and 3+ inches though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 with plenty of precip to go You rock my friend. Thank you. Taking forever to load for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weatherzim Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Looks like a late night of snow watching in the upstate into southern foothills and southern piedmont on the NAMMaybe a silly question but does that mean it’s suppose to snow all night or just a few hours in the upstate . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 alright folks...i know some are happy but don't make us give out timeouts for over the top/off topic/and otherwise useless posts. Consider this a general warning to everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Hi Res NAM falling in line as well out west. What did we do to deserve this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disco-lemonade Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 rdu especiale, wheres pack!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Looks like 6" right at RDU using the 10:1 ratios. Imagine 15:1........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Just now, FallsLake said: Looks like 6" right at RDU using the 10:1 ratios. Imagine 15:1........ RAH just said could be 16 to 18:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 5 minutes ago, Weatherzim said: Maybe a silly question but does that mean it’s suppose to snow all night or just a few hours in the upstate The NAM itself has you in snow by 2-3 AM and continues on into late morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 If this keeps trending, maybe MBY will be put under a WSW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 1 minute ago, Brick Tamland said: RAH just said could be 16 to 18:1 That was at the height of the storm. It will be lesser than that for some portion of it, so you would need to average down. Probably 14ish to 1 is a decent estimate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
broken024 Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Upgraded to wsw in union county NC for 2-4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 6" amounts in the Triad on the 3k NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 Just now, broken024 said: Upgraded to wsw in union county NC for 2-4 I like your area and @Eric area for this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 16, 2018 Share Posted January 16, 2018 14 minutes ago, DopplerWx said: still snowing here for rdu but .3" qpf for clt with .4" so close you can smell it. great run. would think ~3" assuming little or no rain at onset. I see a .4 to my SW!! Very interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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