JC-CT Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Christian, if depends on the hobbyist...but some sports are df. getting over 12" imo. Christian? I thought his name was pickles. I had a poodle named pickles...called her picky for short. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Have a hunch the EURO may tick east a hair tonight. I tend to agree, but I will say the convection will be the wildcard. If we get that nascent low to form a little farther west down by Bimini, all bets are off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 30 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: The hard part for me won't be settling for 4" while someone 50 miles E gets 18", I get bummed by missing out on the opportunity to see +SN. No jackpot fetish here, I just like seeing whiteout conditions. The eastern folks can keep their 18-20", just let me get my 4-5" in an hour. LOL this has been my wish through these hundreds of events...let them have their waist deep snows but give me a foot with a few hours of +sn thrown in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 West west west east, they never fail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 I'm gonna say that 6" here in West Hartford and I'm good.......plenty of time left in the season to build that pack......season has rocked so far when you combine the cold and the little snow events we've had so far......better than the past two seasons for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Well, GEFS nudged west again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 6 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I tend to agree, but I will say the convection will be the wildcard. If we get that nascent low to form a little farther west down by Bimini, all bets are off. Having it end up west of the current consensus and tonight's 00z euro trend east aren't mutually exclusive. Agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 13 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Probably gonna be nothing great here unfortunately....unless we get another tick West. But a few inches of snow is better than no inches of snow...so I’ll take it and be happy. What about the idea that the banding could set up further west than shown.....thats been discussed with this storm and has shown up in other storms.....I think we're in a decent spot so lets see how we end up.....it won't be meh but it won't be the best ever.....thats fine...plenty of time left Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Another bump west on the GFS ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Call me a weenie but I'm actually expecting something more like the hi-res NAM below.. fast moving broad precip shield penetrating inland w/o the huge jackpot in in eastern Mass/RI. Widespread 8-15" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Another bump west on the GFS ensembles. What’s QPF for western CT into? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Another bump west on the GFS ensembles. Damn near the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 What is top analog for a storm coming out of bahamas and railing us @such a low pressure? Hurricane Carol (1954)!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Man thats like a degree maybe two east of the BM......come on baby.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
InstantWeatherMaps Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 29 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Christian, if depends on the hobbyist...but some sports are def. getting over 12" imo. Baseball? Football? Golf? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
InstantWeatherMaps Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Oh, also GEFS clowns: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 35 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Have a hunch the EURO may tick east a hair tonight. That's my natural gut feeling. Considering the way NAM and GFS have been funky with 5h, I have no idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Well here's a first in my career so far. GYX on the same winter storm conference call at TBW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 InstantWeatherMaps, Interesting, these models say the jacks are Worcester to Springfield and the main model suite so far says Worcester to Boston is the jack. Which one is correct? We'll find out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 4 minutes ago, InstantWeatherMaps said: Oh, also GEFS clowns: That GEFS mean must be reflecting a lot of taint for E MA areas, since the total qpf for those areas is 1-1.25". Yet we only get 6-7 inches of snow from that. The 42 hour depiction shows much of that area above freezing at the surface. I'm not buying this GEFS. Either that, or these clown maps are worse than I thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 3 hours ago, CoastalWx said: They were getting OES combined with CF stuff for awhile in addition to synoptic stuff. Very high ratio too. BOX radar went out, but WCVB kept showing some pretty heavy bands. I never heard of the measuring every hour, but I know what I had and it was a solid 2'. Have some nice pics too. I agree the 78 reference is over the top, but it was a solid 2' storm in BOS. For the record, you could measure every hour but you only get to report the highest amount in the 6 hour window. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Seeing the gfs mean at 1.2" of qpf is an eyeopener. Seems pretty well locked in ORH east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 WRF BTV is sort of similar to the NAM in terms of qpf, but GFS in terms of placement of said qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 The GEFS's are SO far west, I get 12" in none of them, but half of them have 12"....... to my NW. While the main scare here for days has been IS this going to come West enough. Why are models so vaied THIS close in? Jeez. Government: PLEASE put more money in weather models. Sign, everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, TheSnowman said: The GEFS's are SO far west, I get 12" in none of them, but half of them have 12"....... to my NW. While the main scare here for days has been IS this going to come West enough. Why are models so vaied THIS close in? Jeez. Government: PLEASE put more money in weather models. Sign, everyone. Look at my first call map...no suprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Look at my first call map...no suprise. Ya man.....you were calling west all along right? Loved your writeup and map.....we snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrangeCTWX Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 3 minutes ago, ice1972 said: Ya man.....you were calling west all along right? Loved your writeup and map.....we snow Need a lot more support then just the gefs and the 3k NAM.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, Sn0waddict said: Need a lot more support then just he gefs and the 3k NAM.. I don't disagree but I also feel like that scenario hasn't been ruled out either......granted I'm not as good as most on here at reading and interpreting the maps......we wait Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Euro has initialized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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