WarmNose Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 2 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: The 15-17th on the GFS , looks kind of interesting. Showing on Euro as well , I believe! The Memphis Mauler this weekend, will be the appetizer for next week We've got a strong HP on both sides of the Appleachians. Looks promising IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 How did you do in the heart of 13-14? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BK Rambler Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 19 minutes ago, WarmNose said: I've always found these maps misleading. They use these dark orange and red colors to give the impression that the word is on fire but the truth is, if that dark red up around Siberia makes it into the lower 48 they'll have to make a new shade of blue to show temperature departure from normal. It's all relative I guess idk Plus these type of maps highly distort the size of the polar area - the actual polar area on the globe is much smaller 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 43 minutes ago, WarmNose said: We've got a strong HP on both sides of the Appleachians. Looks promising IMO Saw that. 1044 cruising above the storm in the Midwest, and 1044 in the NE! Leaves room to cut, I'm sure 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Red1976Red Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 It's all about timing. I don't look for torch all winter or thaws. I look for chances and we certainly have that with some cold air to work with at times. Seriously just come out of the coldest longest duration cold wave like ever in recent memory and so many mets are focused on torch torch torch. Even after 2 major snow storms bringing some cities will above climo if they even have an average snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 18 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Saw that. 1044 cruising above the storm in the Midwest, and 1044 in the NE! Leaves room to cut, I'm sure I've heard that one before. GFS shows two big time Arctic highs and someone makes the comment "it can't cut into a pair of 1040+ HP's like that can it?" and 6 days later it does 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 1 hour ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: How did you do in the heart of 13-14? I’m pretty confident Raleigh got shafted. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 What hell... let's get disappointed again. I'm all in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 2 minutes ago, JoshM said: What hell... let's get disappointed again. I'm all in! It looks really good about 2 days before this in TX, like classic southern snowstorm, then it kind of falls apart , then regroups to this crap! What else we got Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 1 minute ago, mackerel_sky said: It looks really good about 2 days before this in TX, like classic southern snowstorm, then it kind of falls apart , then regroups to this crap! What else we got February Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 14 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: February Look at hour 168 and 174 on 18Z GFS! Looks soooo money!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 3 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Look at hour 168 and 174 on 18Z GFS! Looks soooo money!! Hope it comes with a money back guarantee! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 7 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Hope it comes with a money back guarantee! Two good lookin HP's with moisture popping in Texas. I'll take my chances. Can't go 0-7 can we? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 3 minutes ago, WarmNose said: Two good lookin HP's with moisture popping in Texas. I'll take my chances. Can't go 0-7 can we? Highs go poof in the next couple of frames. At least it’s something to look at. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 Oh well maybe Fab February, isn't that what we always say, 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CummingGaSnow Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 2 hours ago, mackerel_sky said: It looks really good about 2 days before this in TX, like classic southern snowstorm, then it kind of falls apart , then regroups to this crap! What else we got Next winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 1 hour ago, CummingGaSnow said: Next winter. Does this mean you're punting the rest of this winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 This thing has legs! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 GFS said, "Suppression Suppression Suppression!" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 Massive 1040+ HP straight down into Cuba. Where have we seen this before? Ninas gonna Nina. Northern stream rules the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 CMC shows us some love 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 1 hour ago, Jonathan said: Massive 1040+ HP straight down into Cuba. Where have we seen this before? Ninas gonna Nina. Northern stream rules the winter. With the weakening EPO ridge this is going to track fairly far north if it happens. This won't be suppressed. A track somewhat north of the CMC would be a likely scenario 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Red1976Red Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 I am interested in the period later this week for some low top rotating storms slamming into mountains. Not heard much about severe chances? Maybe snow one week after? I bet a lot will be saying just that after a line of potentially severe storms hits Georgia, Tennessee and possibly the Carolinas after dark if they survive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 Negative AO will likely be stronger than modeled after January 15. Could be record breaking cold to finish out January, I'm not sure any type of -PNA can build against an arctic block right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 6 hours ago, WarmNose said: CMC shows us some love Still squashed on GFS ! Cold outbreak, not as cold early next week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 At 6z, the GFS had a little bit of light snow on Sunday with the next shot of cold air for areas N&W of 85 in NC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 24 minutes ago, Queencitywx said: At 6z, the GFS had a little bit of light snow on Sunday with the next shot of cold air for areas N&W of 85 in NC. Hey man, how did the Weeklies turn out last night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Red1976Red Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 GFS looks unusually wet for the southern Apps. 2-5" this month would blow some of these warm and dry winter forecasts out of the water. Forecast Discussion SPC Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0225 AM CST Tue Jan 09 2018 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z Thunderstorms are forecast across portions of the eastern half of the U.S. Thursday and Thursday night, including across parts of the lower and mid Mississippi and Ohio Valleys, and parts of the East Coast and central Appalachians area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 1 hour ago, Queencitywx said: At 6z, the GFS had a little bit of light snow on Sunday with the next shot of cold air for areas N&W of 85 in NC. Better hope it don't trend SE , like they all have this winter, and give you a suprise 2"! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 Yep...we flip warm around the 18-20th, couple weeks to reload and early Feb we are back at it...-EPO colder in the east pattern. After Dec 25th we were AN, then we have almost 4 weeks of solid BN temps, assuming we flip warm end of next week. A 2 or even 3 week break isn’t all that bad if we can get another 2-3 week window in Feb. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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