CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2017 Share Posted January 26, 2017 I'll toss Monday until further notice. Maybe the seals on Monomoy Is get a CJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26, 2017 Share Posted January 26, 2017 10 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: 00z Jerry It wasn't doing what you said it did James. You're crapping this thread up with your imagination and multiple posts about wishin' and hopin'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2017 Share Posted January 26, 2017 Monday is garbage...it might produce a coating or an inch in far southern areas or the Cape, but it's not a system that is likely to given anyone advisory snows. I guess you could keep an eye on it on the Cape...maybe you get lucky with 2-3". But don't expect anything big. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26, 2017 Share Posted January 26, 2017 Better use of resources is on wednesday the 1st next week and then jump to the period around the 5th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 26, 2017 Share Posted January 26, 2017 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Better use of resources is on wednesday the 1st next week and then jump to the period around the 5th I want the lead wave to get the fook outta the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26, 2017 Share Posted January 26, 2017 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: I want the lead wave to get the fook outta the way. Its mucking up the works once again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 26, 2017 Share Posted January 26, 2017 2 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Melt Getting close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26, 2017 Share Posted January 26, 2017 Euro not buying what James is selling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 26, 2017 Share Posted January 26, 2017 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Euro not buying what James is selling. Yeah, storm looks to develop well offshore looking at the 12z Mon 96h panel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 26, 2017 Author Share Posted January 26, 2017 43 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: We just had a large event, but were void of cold. not that simple.. Cold comes, flow compresses = nickle/dimers... Cold leaves, big events can then materialize because there is less destructively interfering flow velocity... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2017 Share Posted January 26, 2017 4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Yeah, storm looks to develop well offshore looking at the 12z Mon 96h panel. Gonna fook up Wed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajisai Posted January 26, 2017 Share Posted January 26, 2017 How about Wed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted January 26, 2017 Share Posted January 26, 2017 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: That's true, but it doesn't include most of this area. Chicago's snow retention is horrible compared to interior SNE. They average 44 days per year with >= 1" of snow OTG. A place like ORH is around 75 days...Kevin would probably be in the neighborhood of 65 days....Ray's area in NE MA is similar. Even torchville BDL is 54 days. They do beat BOS out in the harbor who I believe average 38 days of snow cover...but that's about it...even interior SE MA does better...Walpole coop averages in the mid 50s. Yep - Chicago can have an occasional winter with good snow cover...but even so, it's usually a 1-6" pack. Very rare to have 12" of snow on the ground for more than a few days each winter, if that. Of course there was the great 1978-79 winter, with 100 consecutive days of snow cover and 90" of snow. The "winter gradient" in the Midwest is very large...and typically Chicago is on the wrong end of it. If you look at 45N and north in Wisconsin (say around Wausau - not really far from Chicago as the crow flies), you can count on a solid winter feel for pretty much all of DJF. Then, a place like St. Louis essentially has no winter. That is why I laugh when people say that Chicago has rough winters. Not true at all - although 200 miles north is a different story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 26, 2017 Share Posted January 26, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Gonna fook up Wed. See what eventually occurs but the upper level setup is about as good as we're gonna get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2017 Share Posted January 26, 2017 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Gonna fook up Wed. Yeah amp up the fish storm enough to get fish closer to the coast but also screw up amplifying Wednesday...at least James might get a few flurries as consolation on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26, 2017 Share Posted January 26, 2017 Who cares, Get it the Fuk out of the way, Monday does not affect 99.999999999999% of the board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2017 Share Posted January 26, 2017 1 minute ago, beavis1729 said: Yep - Chicago can have an occasional winter with good snow cover...but even so, it's usually a 1-6" pack. Very rare to have 12" of snow on the ground for more than a few days each winter, if that. Of course there was the great 1978-79 winter, with 100 consecutive days of snow cover and 90" of snow. The "winter gradient" in the Midwest is very large...and typically Chicago is on the wrong end of it. If you look at 45N and north in Wisconsin (say around Wausau - not really far from Chicago as the crow flies), you can count on a solid winter feel for pretty much all of DJF. Then, a place like St. Louis essentially has no winter. That is why I laugh when people say that Chicago has rough winters. Not true at all - although 200 miles north is a different story. That northern Wisconsin belt to N MI and of course the Arrowhead of MN is truly brutal for winter...they rarely ever seen big warmups, and when they do, usually are very short lived. If I had to move out to the middle of the country and had a choice of location, I'd probably pick either the UP of MI, the N WI belt somewhere between Ironwood and Rhinelander, or the Arrowhead of MN...I'd be cold, but the prolific snow would make it worth the trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2017 Share Posted January 26, 2017 7 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: not that simple.. Cold comes, flow compresses = nickle/dimers... Cold leaves, big events can then materialize because there is less destructively interfering flow velocity... I knew you would say that. Bowling ball season is of a different ilk.....I think our best shot is then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2017 Share Posted January 26, 2017 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Who cares, Get it the Fuk out of the way, Monday does not affect 99.999999999999% of the board Hey, don't hate...at least the Andrea Gail won't have to go as far to get snow on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 26, 2017 Share Posted January 26, 2017 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Hey, don't hate...at least the Andrea Gail won't have to go as far to get snow on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26, 2017 Share Posted January 26, 2017 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Hey, don't hate...at least the Andrea Gail won't have to go as far to get snow on Monday. I'm sure the tuna out at geroges bank will be concerned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2017 Share Posted January 26, 2017 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Hey, don't hate...at least the Andrea Gail won't have to go as far to get snow on Monday. This season blows...vintage 1980s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2017 Share Posted January 26, 2017 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Hey, don't hate...at least the Andrea Gail won't have to go as far to get snow on Monday. Congrats Flemish Cap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2017 Share Posted January 26, 2017 It actually tries to redevelop last second. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2017 Share Posted January 26, 2017 Individual GEFS at 12z with a few good hits. Pretty good feeling this is gonna snow for SNE. May not get back to ALB or Freak.. but good signal for at least accumulating snow next Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26, 2017 Share Posted January 26, 2017 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Congrats Flemish Cap. "Charles in Charge" winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 26, 2017 Share Posted January 26, 2017 Quick graphic for what we're discussing. If we can get that lead storm faster/more progressive, it will allow for the trailing s/w to amplify/deepen more. This is just one Op run so whether or not its correct at this lead is doubtful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2017 Share Posted January 26, 2017 Just a bit outside. I guess maybe enough interest to keep an eye on both to a point...although I would rather Wednesday work out as it has upside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2017 Share Posted January 26, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Individual GEFS at 12z with a few good hits. Pretty good feeling this is gonna snow for SNE. May not get back to ALB or Freak.. but good signal for at least accumulating snow next Wednesday Something to keep an eye on...I wouldn't get too invested yet given it's a northern stream shallow redeveloper. Those can be quite nuanced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26, 2017 Share Posted January 26, 2017 At least it will feel like winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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