Bostonseminole Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: GGEM is a whiff for Friday but a really solid hit for eastern areas on Sat night. Looks like advisory or low end warning stuff. only up to 96hrs for me but the SE does well on the 2nd system, Altanta metro maybe 4-6".. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah except you got the wrong trough I was referring to...that's the Friday event, and the one where sharpening the east wall of the trough is more realistic is the Sat night/Sunday event. Friday had a decent chance yesterday, but it has trended worse with the main s/w and too much downstream interference, so at this point, I'd prob focus on Sat night/Sunday. Dang. Can't even escape that confluence in DC! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 18 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: GGEM is a whiff for Friday but a really solid hit for eastern areas on Sat night. Looks like advisory or low end warning stuff. Eastern as in Cape Cod? Boston? Maine? Always a problem knowing where east meets west or where both blend into central. Similar to knowing CNE vs NNE (or "northern" parts of SNE). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 1 minute ago, J Paul Gordon said: Eastern as in Cape Cod? Boston? Maine? Always a problem knowing where east meets west or where both blend into central. Similar to knowing CNE vs NNE (or "northern" parts of SNE). Easter half of MA and most of RI...but I'd say advisory snows get back to around 495 on the GGEM. Warning snows for SE of I-95. The distinction is really irrelevant though at 120 hours out. I didn't get more specific for that reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 The PV and energy dropping south is the difference from 6z to 12z on the GFS regarding saturday night. Friday looking more and more meager I think although it did look better at H5 compared to 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Torch out in the mid west at hr240 on the gfs. Glad we don't live there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Man.... swing the GGEM 50-100 miles west and that's a big region wide hit for the Sunday wave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Ukie looked like it would be decent in ern areas on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Ukie looked like it would be decent in ern areas on Sunday. Pretty similar to GGEM...hopefully Euro can get on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Man.... swing the GGEM 50-100 miles west and that's a big region wide hit for the Sunday wave 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Ukie looked like it would be decent in ern areas on Sunday. Yes, we need a lil more west for most of the area...not just Eastern areas. Let's see what the Euro shows?? Not thinking it will show a big jump, but a small improvement would be encouraging. Friday isn't looking so good as of late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Pretty similar to GGEM...hopefully Euro can get on board. So I guess we can put the gfs aside for the time being. Not sure why it won't latch on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Would either of those solutions Ukie/GGEM get snow back into all of SNE? Wouldn't it be a bit more expansive than that GGEM snowmap? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Not gonna pull the blinds...never do anyhow... but not gonna invest in any of these. Be nice to be pleasantly surprised. If not, well there's always the next round. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Would either of those solutions Ukie/GGEM get snow back into all of SNE? Wouldn't it be a bit more expansive than that GGEM snowmap? It would probably get flakes/coating back towards us, but nothing of significance. We would need another 50 mile shift at least to get into some decent snow on the GGEM/UKIE imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Interesting developments. Not 24hrs ago it looked good for Friday. Now it looks like Sunday will steal the limelight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 1 minute ago, J Paul Gordon said: Not gonna pull the blinds...never do anyhow... but not gonna invest in any of these. Be nice to be pleasantly surprised. If not, well there's always the next round. That's my feeling too. And that's all I was meaning earlier when I said that both these aren't looking so hot as of the moment...when I was accused of Melting lol. And I agree with you J Paul, it would be nice to be pleasantly surprised. Maybe that happens??? Like Will said, it would be nice to see the Euro come around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Would either of those solutions Ukie/GGEM get snow back into all of SNE? Wouldn't it be a bit more expansive than that GGEM snowmap? Maybe an inch or two. Parsing details at 120 hours isn't very useful though. What you want to see is the euro come more onboard so that at least we're now in a decent starting spot to try and trend it another 50/75 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 If there is any good news, it's that it seems the H5 look for Sunday is a little better compared to yesterday. It would not take much to get a good snow shield another 50 miles west or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Gefs pretty robust for Sunday. Friday slipping away it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 I'm going to say what others are feeling. Its all going to hell in a handbasket. We miss on these next 5 days, then comes the warmup...and the long range models have looked worse for blocking. So then we have to wait until after Jan 15. I think that is where this is headed. Bye bye nice deep powdery snow pack and hello glaciated uneven crunchy shrinking cover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 1 minute ago, Hazey said: Gefs pretty robust for Sunday. Friday slipping away it looks like. I couldn't care less about Friday. Let's see if we can get the Sunday deal to work out for a lot of folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: I couldn't care less about Friday. Let's see if we can get the Sunday deal to work out for a lot of folks. Just posting what it shows. Atmosphere don't care how much or little you care. It's just weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 3 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: I'm going to say what others are feeling. Its all going to hell in a handbasket. We miss on these next 5 days, then comes the warmup...and the long range models have looked worse for blocking. So then we have to wait until after Jan 15. I think that is where this is headed. Bye bye nice deep powdery snow pack and hello glaciated uneven crunchy shrinking cover. Personally I think we party at some point in the next 12 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 1 minute ago, Hazey said: Just posting what it shows. Atmosphere don't care how much or little you care. It's just weather That came across wrong...I wasn't meaning that toward you Hazey...just giving my opinion on the two systems that's all. I was more interested in Sunday from the start. What any of us want is of no matter obviously. Was just saying that's all. Let's see what the Euro shows..if it shows anything positive??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 7 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: I'm going to say what others are feeling. Its all going to hell in a handbasket. We miss on these next 5 days, then comes the warmup...and the long range models have looked worse for blocking. So then we have to wait until after Jan 15. I think that is where this is headed. Bye bye nice deep powdery snow pack and hello glaciated uneven crunchy shrinking cover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 23 minutes ago, Hazey said: Interesting developments. Not 24hrs ago it looked good for Friday. Now it looks like Sunday will steal the limelight. Some of us always thought Sunday was the one to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 1 minute ago, MaineJayhawk said: Personally I think we party at some point in the next 12 days Why? What date are you focusing on? BTW congrats on 7/hour. That's awesome! Must look great outside.From what I can tell everytime the pattern looks to settle in with a better blocking regime, it weakens. But maybe that will be the story of this year. I could ho-hum y way to 70 pretty easily Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I can tell you're feelin me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Seems like a lot of melting in here today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Just now, mahk_webstah said: Why? What date are you focusing on? BTW congrats on 7/hour. That's awesome! Must look great outside.From what I can tell everytime the pattern looks to settle in with a better blocking regime, it weakens. But maybe that will be the story of this year. I could ho-hum y way to 70 pretty easily I'm not focusing on any date, haven't bothered to look at any LR guidance. It's just that here in winter, snow happens - and sometimes quite out of the blue we'll get a storm. Above normal doesn't have to mean rain either. Mark my words ... lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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