RedSky Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 0z GFS is juicy Friday. 3.5" in my neck of the woods. Do i believe it not really, but it's had support from the models across the pond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 3-5" SEPA on the new RGEM. Oh damn more support. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 1 hour ago, shemATC said: If you look closely it extends across the Philadelphia border into western Bucks county. I live on the western edge of Langhorne which is only 3 miles from the border. So no it's not a bullseye on my house, but close enough. You're right, I'm getting old or something. I didn't realize how west "we" are ☺. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Fugitive style train wreck with the 0z runs except for the ECM which isn't run yet, predictable too. Wave #1 better perform now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 ECM the lone survivor in the 0z OP runs for a good wave #3 8-12" The GEFS maintained the signal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 GFS continues the uptick in snowfall tomorrow for SE PA...went progressively from coating-1" to 1-2" to 2-3" to 3-6" last 4 runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 ECM the lone survivor in the 0z OP runs for a good wave #3 8-12" The GEFS maintained the signal 0z Ukie wasn't bad at all. Don't have precip maps but all levels I've seen imply a decent hit...maybe a shade East for my liking but not a bad spot to be at this range.6z GFS bumped up Tuesday's event. Looks like 5-10". More importantly at this range, 500mb looks better....a little more Southern stream involvement, deeper trof/amplification, close to closing off at 500mb earlier with negative tilt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 You'd probably make the news.Lucy doesnt like these threats I've made against her apparently. Its like when the bully takes your lunch money every day and finally you snap and start pushing back. She might be caving? She needs to be careful still....I'm all-in and running full speed ahead to kick the field goal but my crosshairs are currently on her head and not the ball. She still has time to redeem herself. Let's see what happens tomorrow with our 'event'. As of now, I'm fed up with her antics and am not taking it anymore! ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Just want to throw out there a statement I made a few days ago regarding tomorrow's event. There is the possibility that tomorrow is the top 1 or 2 event of the season so far for some in this subforum. Nothing is ever a guarantee. If it snows and sticks tomorrow, savor every second. Next week is nowhere near a lock and this could be the actual last gasp when all is said and done. Next week looks intriguing but there is just too much that can go wrong and those factors far outweigh the positives at this range imo. Miller B's always screw a region and there is still the chance this is also N stream dominant and anything that develops could be too far E and late for us. One system at a time :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 4k and 3k NAMs have 4-6" tomorrow SE PA. 12k NAM more like 1-3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chief83 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Many people think of the summer as the fire season, but in this area March/April - till it greens up is the biggest time, (unless there is a significant drought as in 1999.) Today is one of those days. ...INCREASED FIRE DANGER TODAY... There is an elevated threat for the spread of wildfires today across eastern Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Delaware and eastern Maryland. The fire weather threat is due to a combination of gusty winds and dry conditions. Westerly winds between 15 to 20 MPH today will gust frequently between 25 to 30 mph today. Relative humidity values are already at or below 30 percent early this morning. The relative humidity may fall into the lower 20s or even teens later this morning and afternoon. These conditions combined with dry fine fuels, such as dead leaves and grasses, will increase the risk for rapid fire spread. Outdoor burning is highly discouraged today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 11 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: 4k and 3k NAMs have 4-6" tomorrow SE PA. 12k NAM more like 1-3". Hubba Hubba indeed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 11 minutes ago, KamuSnow said: Hubba Hubba indeed. Talk about snatching victory out of the jaws of defeat...lol. When all is said and done you all might end up getting more out of this clipper than I do... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geeter1 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 If this pans out, it will be our biggest snowfall this year in the Lehigh Valley !!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 All I need Is the 4" mark for my largest single snowfall total for the season. Pathetic isn't it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 I would be surprised to see over 2 inches on grassy surfaces tbh. we ll see though. I've pretty much written tonight off as a minor non event so if we get over 3 inches I'll be pretty shocked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 39 minutes ago, penndotguy said: All I need Is the 4" mark for my largest single snowfall total for the season. Pathetic isn't it. That's so GD sad! So pathetic....it's funny? I'm cranking Floyd! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 48 minutes ago, penndotguy said: All I need Is the 4" mark for my largest single snowfall total for the season. Pathetic isn't it Same here. I only got about 3 inches from that last storm, and they went away quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 11 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: That's so GD sad! So pathetic....it's funny? I'm cranking Floyd! As in "learning to fly" in case Ralph jumps off the Comcast bldg.? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Tuesday storm looks good on the 12z GFS, but something is screaming to me it won't look good 48 hours out. I have a feeling a more east and northern transfer is the way to go but I hope I'm wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 18 minutes ago, snowwors2 said: As in "learning to fly" in case Ralph jumps off the Comcast bldg.? Man...that's harsh...lol. Let's all hope for the best.No jumping... I'm more of a "The Wall" "Meddle" "Wish you were here" kinda guy..All things w/David and Roger are good... 63.8F/Gusty... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Katie bar the door 12z runs of the GFS and CMC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 2-4" Friday table setter, arctic cold weekend in March topped off with all you can shovel 16" buffet Tuesday. Really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Perilously close to one of Scotty's triple phasers, friggin ghosts of March 2001 looming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shemATC Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 With Friday improving, if the universe will let me bank half of what is currently projected for Tuesday, I'd take that deal right now. Also, for anyone who hasn't ventured over, the MA Forum "Panic Room" might be the most hilarious thread ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 1 minute ago, shemATC said: With Friday improving, if the universe will let me bank half of what is currently projected for Tuesday, I'd take that deal right now.Also, for anyone who hasn't ventured over, the MA Forum "Panic Room" might be the most hilarious thread ever. It always is.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shemATC Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Just now, Birds~69 said: It always is.... Yes, but this year is the "Weenie Zombie Apocalypse". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 13 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: ...... If we go 0 for 4, not only am I hijacking Lucy and tossing her from the top of the Comcast building in center city....I may follow right behind her. 27 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Man...that's harsh...lol. Let's all hope for the best.No jumping... LOL....just looking out for a fellow board member!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Just now, shemATC said: Yes, but this year is the "Weenie Zombie Apocalypse". I know. Many good posters down there...but damn, they go really crazy. God bless I guess? Or not? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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