Ginx snewx Posted November 16, 2016 Share Posted November 16, 2016 22 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Yeah you are right on the top part for storm one. That was deform and upslope combo after the upper level system got to our east. The CAA was from the SW to NE. It was snowing in Snowshoe, WV before anywhere in NY/New England. The bottom part of your post is the second snow event of October that spread snows to lower elevations and further south. The first event set the table for the SWFE style WAA of the second event. Ok thanks yea I got mixed up a little Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 16, 2016 Share Posted November 16, 2016 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Ok thanks yea I got mixed up a little Ha no worries you had it right all along but you and Coastal were thinking of different October events. That was a snowy week in the mountains. Since then, not so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 16, 2016 Share Posted November 16, 2016 Kev, lol its colder at 5h and 7h here then further North, hope there is some instability,could be fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 16, 2016 Share Posted November 16, 2016 Yeah the ECM and GGEM are very similar to the October event in that it was snowing in the Catskills and Berks first then moved north up the Greens. Maine was the last to flush out the warmth. The EURO has a nice upslope snow event for the Berkshires due to the position of the mid level lows and moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 16, 2016 Share Posted November 16, 2016 Rh levels at that time are at 75% surface and 95-100 rest of the way up, lapse rates could be key to some windexy stuff, have to watch as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 16, 2016 Share Posted November 16, 2016 Getting pretty confidant of snow moving through the SNE region next week possible accumulations too especially near KEV ORH county and of course the Berks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 16, 2016 Share Posted November 16, 2016 21 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Kev, lol its colder at 5h and 7h here then further North, hope there is some instability,could be fun Sipprell may have been onto something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 16, 2016 Share Posted November 16, 2016 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Sipprell may have been onto something Fisher, not so much, talking about rain at ski areas Wed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 16, 2016 Share Posted November 16, 2016 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Sipprell may have been on something Harsh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 16, 2016 Share Posted November 16, 2016 5 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Harsh. Smoother blends available now that it is legal in your hood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 16, 2016 Share Posted November 16, 2016 4 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Harsh. Tough to say those things about fellow colleagues. He reads the board FYI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 16, 2016 Share Posted November 16, 2016 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Smoother blends available now thats is legal in your hood. Ha. Not for federal employees. Yes means no still. I'd still like to see a stronger anomaly signal for winds before I got too excited. But if it's more likely somewhere in New England it will be south of that upper low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 16, 2016 Share Posted November 16, 2016 3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Ha. Not for federal employees. Yes means no still. I'd still like to see a stronger anomaly signal for winds before I got too excited. But if it's more likely somewhere in New England it will be south of that upper low. Me neither but hey retirement looms, back porch with Dry slot blends sounds good right about now lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 16, 2016 Share Posted November 16, 2016 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Me neither but hey retirement looms, back porch with Dry slot blends sounds good right about now lol Whole new meaning of heading to Oz at Sunday River. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 16, 2016 Share Posted November 16, 2016 32 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Fisher, not so much, talking about rain at ski areas Wed Bet him another cup of joe... I can see his thinking but a week out no sense getting worried. Or overly psyched Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 16, 2016 Share Posted November 16, 2016 I don't see the excitement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 16, 2016 Share Posted November 16, 2016 15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I don't see the excitement. who is excited? We discuss options as runs come out. Pretty confidant in snow in the air next week , is it accumulating for the Berks Greens probably, elsewhere, well lets see what shakes out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 16, 2016 Share Posted November 16, 2016 12 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: who is excited? We discuss options as runs come out. Pretty confidant in snow in the air next week , is it accumulating for the Berks Greens probably, elsewhere, well lets see what shakes out. Upslope snow in berkshires isn't really earth shattering. Hoping for a slim ch ace thanksgiving is somewhat interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 16, 2016 Share Posted November 16, 2016 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Upslope snow in berkshires isn't really earth shattering. Hoping for a slim ch ace thanksgiving is somewhat interesting. Yeah I'm more invested in that threat. If you can call me being "invested"...more like having half an eye on it. We will probably get a few flakes from the ULL on Sunday night/Monday, but outside of Berkshires and NNE there is not much to hang my hat on for accumulation. Maybe a coating if lucky. Tday has a narrow path to work out into something a little more substantial. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 16, 2016 Share Posted November 16, 2016 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah I'm more invested in that threat. If you can call me being "invested"...more like having half an eye on it. We will probably get a few flakes from the ULL on Sunday night/Monday, but outside of Berkshires and NNE there is not much to hang my hat on for accumulation. Maybe a coating if lucky. Tday has a narrow path to work out into something a little more substantial. Can we get the 18z GFS a month from now? Boy what a classic block. GFS suite is certainly much more bullish on a -NAO. EC suite of guidance isn't really biting, although tries for some blocking in the 11-15 day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 17, 2016 Share Posted November 17, 2016 5 hours ago, CoastalWx said: I don't see the excitement. Read my mind.. Zzzzzzzzzzzx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 17, 2016 Share Posted November 17, 2016 5 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Can we get the 18z GFS a month from now? Boy what a classic block. GFS suite is certainly much more bullish on a -NAO. EC suite of guidance isn't really biting, although tries for some blocking in the 11-15 day. I did the composites for st. Johns 12 inch snowstorms...and the ec 10 to 15 day is basically the tits...but its so early in the year....temps will probably struggle to be cold enough for snow...especially when the marine taint south of the block arrives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 17, 2016 Share Posted November 17, 2016 GFS looks good for NNE on thanksgiving Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 17, 2016 Share Posted November 17, 2016 3 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: GFS looks good for NNE on thanksgiving Yup--much rejoicing in ski country. It'll be great for them to have a strong start to the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2016 Share Posted November 17, 2016 Big euro collapse with that ULL. Now doesn't cutoff as much and allows for a good cold shot finally. Should be in the 30s for highs monday in the higher spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2016 Share Posted November 17, 2016 Seems like T-day could be good for NNE. It's far out I know, but that's how it looks now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2016 Share Posted November 17, 2016 38 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Big euro collapse with that ULL. Now doesn't cutoff as much and allows for a good cold shot finally. Should be in the 30s for highs monday in the higher spots. First teens of the cold season for lows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2016 Share Posted November 17, 2016 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: First teens of the cold season for lows Eh, not sure about that yet....but will be cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 17, 2016 Share Posted November 17, 2016 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Big euro collapse with that ULL. Now doesn't cutoff as much and allows for a good cold shot finally. Should be in the 30s for highs monday in the higher spots. Yeah that's a huge flip and good to see. Need that cold shot to get in as early as possible for snowmaking. Fairly decent upslope snow event here...prints a foot for Jay Peak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2016 Share Posted November 17, 2016 15 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Yeah that's a huge flip and good to see. Need that cold shot to get in as early as possible for snowmaking. Fairly decent upslope snow event here...prints a foot for Jay Peak. Looks like a wintry week for you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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