champy Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 really? maps for March 21st?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 really? maps for March 21st??smh. Lmao. Hahaha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 Classic high wind event setup for BUF late next week on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 06z GFS = Weenie mode Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 11, 2016 Author Share Posted March 11, 2016 really? maps for March 21st?? It's snowed in June in Upstate, not that uncommon to see snow in late March/Early April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 11, 2016 Author Share Posted March 11, 2016 06z GFS = Weenie mode Yep, the cold is coming back late month. There will be snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 Anyone have any info on the recent SSW event that is occurring or occurred? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
champy Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 It's snowed in June in Upstate, not that uncommon to see snow in late March/Early April. I've lived here my whole life, I understand that but posting weenie snow maps out 800000 hours is as bad as the nonsense that goes on in the NE forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 11, 2016 Author Share Posted March 11, 2016 I've lived here my whole life, I understand that but posting weenie snow maps out 800000 hours is as bad as the nonsense that goes on in the NE forum I'd rather have The activity they have then 2,3 posts a week here during slow times. that storm was at day 7 not exactly that far out. The entire purpose of this forum is to discuss weather, not wait until a storm is on the doorstep to start talking about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 I've lived here my whole life, I understand that but posting weenie snow maps out 800000 hours is as bad as the nonsense that goes on in the NE forum Nah...pretty sure he just posted it to show there's potential out in that time frame for some winter weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted March 11, 2016 Share Posted March 11, 2016 I'd rather have The activity they have then 2,3 posts a week here during slow times. that storm was at day 7 not exactly that far out. The entire purpose of this forum is to discuss weather, not wait until a storm is on the doorstep to start talking about it. I actually wouldn't mind a late season snow storm this year. Most years by mid-March I'm checked out and ready to turn the corner to spring. But we've had so few events this year I'l keep hope alive through March. How about a spring version of October 2006.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted March 12, 2016 Share Posted March 12, 2016 I say bring on spring. Was a bit intrigued I kept hearing the "weather guy" on Time Warner News Channel talking about a pattern change and winter like weather for St Pattys weekend and I was a bit puzzled... I guess it was there but seems a bit removed now... Think it's time to pack it in for about 8 months! Enjoy the sun! Hopefully! Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted March 13, 2016 Share Posted March 13, 2016 I am liking the warmth, please don't take it away from me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 And now the Canadian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 37F and raining here. We may have skipped winter but there's no escaping mud season! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 12z GFS takes the Sunday storm further east, probably pounding SNE...which makes perfect sense. It's probably the last call for alcohol for this forum so we shall see how trends evolve. Regardless of eventual track, the system looks to develop late enough to have highest impact northeast of here (thinking Maine and Maritimes) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 The12z euro..I don't have WB anymore so I have no clue how it gets here.. 12z ggem is also West of the gfs and introduces plenty of mixing.. Total snow equivalent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Pretty big signal for a late-season snowstorm somewhere in the northeast on Sun/Mon. Not sure who really wants it at this point, but should be interesting to track. Of course, if seasonal trend holds we'll be talking about a Chicago snowstorm by mid-week... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Seen this floating around.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 15, 2016 Share Posted March 15, 2016 Ok...that's a wrap for winter. Storm Cancel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Polarbear Posted March 15, 2016 Share Posted March 15, 2016 I'm a fan of winter and all but with how this winter played out, if it's not going to be a blockbuster I kinda say thanks but no thanks to whatever is in the works for the weekend... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted March 15, 2016 Share Posted March 15, 2016 Anyone have any info on the recent SSW event that is occurring or occurred? KBUF answered: LOOKING FARTHER AHEAD...A SUDDEN STRATOSPHERIC WARMING EVENT HAS UNFOLDED OVER THE PAST 3 WEEKS AND HAS ALLOWED FOR SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING OF THE STRATOSPHERIC POLAR VORTEX AND THE ASSOCIATED STRATOSPHERIC POLAR NIGHT JET. THIS MAJOR CHANGE IN THE GLOBAL CIRCULATION PATTERN WILL FEED DOWN INTO THE TROPOSPHERE WITH HIGH LATITUDE BLOCKING BECOMING MORE LIKELY OVER THE NEXT 2-3 WEEKS. THIS SHOULD ALLOW FOR PERIODIC INTRUSIONS OF COLD AIR INTO THE GREAT LAKES AND NORTHEAST THROUGH THE REST OF MARCH AND POSSIBLY EARLY APRIL. THIS LATE IN THE SEASON THE COLD AIR WILL NOT LOCK INTO PLACE...BUT THE PATTERN EVOLUTION DOES SUPPORT SEVERAL INTERLUDES OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE END OF THE MONTH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
champy Posted March 15, 2016 Share Posted March 15, 2016 Pretty big signal for a late-season snowstorm somewhere in the northeast on Sun/Mon. Not sure who really wants it at this point, but should be interesting to track. Of course, if seasonal trend holds we'll be talking about a Chicago Southern New England snowstorm by mid-week... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 16, 2016 Share Posted March 16, 2016 Funny Champy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted March 16, 2016 Share Posted March 16, 2016 Decent chance for some elevated convection tomorrow especially somewhere between BUF-SYR. Although the surface is poor, MUCAPE approaches 500-1000J/kg ahead of the frontal passage during the afternoon. Maybe some small hail too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 16, 2016 Author Share Posted March 16, 2016 Decent chance for some elevated convection tomorrow especially somewhere between BUF-SYR. Although the surface is poor, MUCAPE approaches 500-1000J/kg ahead of the frontal passage during the afternoon. Maybe some small hail too? Can't wait for nighttime thunderstorms, it's almost better than thundersnow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 16, 2016 Author Share Posted March 16, 2016 KBUF answered: LOOKING FARTHER AHEAD...A SUDDEN STRATOSPHERIC WARMING EVENT HAS UNFOLDED OVER THE PAST 3 WEEKS AND HAS ALLOWED FOR SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING OF THE STRATOSPHERIC POLAR VORTEX AND THE ASSOCIATED STRATOSPHERIC POLAR NIGHT JET. THIS MAJOR CHANGE IN THE GLOBAL CIRCULATION PATTERN WILL FEED DOWN INTO THE TROPOSPHERE WITH HIGH LATITUDE BLOCKING BECOMING MORE LIKELY OVER THE NEXT 2-3 WEEKS. THIS SHOULD ALLOW FOR PERIODIC INTRUSIONS OF COLD AIR INTO THE GREAT LAKES AND NORTHEAST THROUGH THE REST OF MARCH AND POSSIBLY EARLY APRIL. THIS LATE IN THE SEASON THE COLD AIR WILL NOT LOCK INTO PLACE...BUT THE PATTERN EVOLUTION DOES SUPPORT SEVERAL INTERLUDES OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE END OF THE MONTH. Yeah, it waited until Mid March to happen, if it happened when it was supposed to in January we would of had an epic Feb, which I honestly thought would happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted March 16, 2016 Share Posted March 16, 2016 Some pretty impressive cloud to ground lightning with these cells and the ones that rolled through a bit earlier. Has been interesting watching from my office in Lancaster. Lightning strikes really close, but not a drop of rain... SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY1224 PM EDT WED MAR 16 2016NYZ001>003-010-011-161745-ORLEANS-NIAGARA-NORTHERN ERIE-MONROE-GENESEE-1224 PM EDT WED MAR 16 2016...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT ORLEANS...NORTHWESTERNGENESEE...NORTHWESTERN MONROE...NORTHEASTERN ERIE AND NIAGARACOUNTIES...AT 1221 PM EDT...AN AREA OF SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WASEXTENDING FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO NEAR BRADDOCK BAY...MOVINGNORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING AND DIME SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESESTORMS.LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... BUFFALO...NORTH TONAWANDA...NIAGARAFALLS...LOCKPORT...MEDINA...HAMLIN BEACH.THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 90 BETWEEN EXITS 54 AND 48A.LAT...LON 4312 7907 4314 7904 4326 7906 4336 78634338 7849 4337 7796 4334 7776 4330 77684280 7886 4284 7886 4299 7894 4296 78944300 7902 4303 7892 4305 7890 4308 7907TIME...MOT...LOC 1621Z 213DEG 21KT 4311 7882$WOOD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted March 16, 2016 Share Posted March 16, 2016 Just got clobbered by a nice high base storm here. Lots of lighting and a burst of heavy pea size hail. Good stuff! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 16, 2016 Author Share Posted March 16, 2016 Yeah, we had lots of lightning and thunder here earlier. One hit really close. Awesome kick start to spring! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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