Buffalo Bumble

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Everything posted by Buffalo Bumble

  1. Pounding snow here. I haven’t looked at anything all day. What’s this about?
  2. Had some fun in the Lake Erie band today. Drove down Center Road from East Aurora to Sprague Brook between 1:30 and 2:30. For those not familiar with the area Center Road runs from central Erie County to near the southern boundary of the county. Snow was dumping most of the way, heaviest around Colden and Glenwood. Easy 3-4”/ hour, just huge flakes. Lightened up a bit at Sprague Brook during a 2-hour snowshoe, then cranked up big time as we were leaving around 4. Average 3 foot depths throughout the park. Pic below is from the hike. Just epic winter conditions.
  3. Chase off to a great start...Maple Rd, East Aurora, 2”/. Nice white plastering here.
  4. Incredible. What was the forecast for those areas? I know they had a LE warning, thought forecast totals were only 8-12” though. Not many places in the country can bust so spectacularly awesome where 8-12” turns into 30”+.
  5. Yeah I get that but how much did ice cover limit this particular event? Sounds like rates were 3-4”/hour. How much higher would you realistically get? Maybe ice cover helped this in some ways with convergence or something? Just spitballing here...Thinking we would have had 5-7”/hour rates with no ice cover seems unrealistic.
  6. With the northeast end of the lake wide open and the fetch primarily running right over the open water, does it matter that the rest of the lake is frozen? Not like the rest of the lake was “contributing” much to the lake effect. Either that or the ice is thin enough where fetch is passing over to allow for uplift which then gets supercharged when it hits the open water. Anyway, fascinating stuff! I’m heading south soon to chase.
  7. Certainly looks like it on radar. Interesting looking wide band too, guessing lots of synoptic juice in there getting enhanced by the upslope.
  8. The title of this thread gets more ironic every time I look at it...
  9. Light snow has started here in the BUF area. Some nice appetizer flakes in advance of the main course tonight. Topping a foot of snow from synoptic systems in BUF is no easy thing, let's see how this sucker plays out over the next 18 hours!
  10. Catching up on this thread after 4 hours away while driving is darkly hilarious. “20 inches for everyone”! “I’m done”! “It’s over”! Oh the drama.
  11. Sorry team CNY, looks like Lake Ontario is completely iced over... This shot taken today is from the “Isthmus”, a narrow spit of land separating Chaumont Bay from Lake Ontario. You can see Galloo Island in the distance. Ice as far as the eye can see, except for a narrow opening about 500 yards offshore. Impressive ice extent, obviously just a tiny dent on the overall lake. Side note...super cool listening to the ice pitch and yawn standing on the shore.
  12. Splash of color on the frozen St Lawrence River landscape. Channel markers in Clayton...Beautiful sunny day up here today.
  13. Not IMBY. BUF might have had tech issues but my thermometer was working fine. It was legit.
  14. Yeah this is turning into a good old fashioned winter, Generation X style. Not like the old timers would claim, wall to wall snow from Labor Day to Easter. More like those where you get a great 2-4 week stretch and the rest is spent watching the Weather Channel hoping to see the jet stream get off the Canadian border and nosedive down the Rockies.
  15. Congrats over there in Ontario. If the border wasn’t closed I might have chased this just for the novelty of it. I’ll count this as 2 hugely anomalous “E/NE” events in our region in the last year. Both on complete opposite ends of the spectrum. First was just your garden variety E/NE flow dropping like 5 straight days of 96 deg+ temps on BUF in July. Desert southwest like Sonoran heat release from...the St Lawrence Valley. Now this Arctic chill E/NE flow standing on its own legs apart from a low pressure dumping lake effect snow on Ontario. Pretty wild.
  16. Late for this but been meaning to jot down some post-event thoughts on the WNY lake effect storm last weekend. We spend so much time looking ahead sometimes I like to hit rewind... * Models started showing a sizable event at least 5 days in advance. It held...so good to know that model dreams sometimes do come true. * The idea for several days leading to the event was for a predominant SW/WSW flow event off Erie. That changed to more of a WSW event the day or so before, causing widespread panic for the northtowns crew. * One thing on modeling that didn’t change was fairly deep low pressure over Lake Superior that either held it’s ground or moved slowly N/NE. This is a classic position for BUF and points north lake effect post arctic cold FROPA. It ultimately played out that way and BUF points north were “banded” for 8+ hours. *. Patience is key in lake effect events but it’s hard...Lots of bust posts on Saturday morning from the immediate BUF crew when the event was really just starting. * Strong winds limiting accumulations is real. As good as the event was the snow came in pulses, switching from blinding 3”+/hour to an inch or less per several times. This kept accumulations in check but did provide the “wow” factor when vis dropped to zero (as so nicely documented by BUF Weather. * 3-4”/ hour snow is a thing of beauty...duh. Memorable event for the BUF northtowns!
  17. Volney is a great spot (in-laws lived in Fulton up to a couple years ago). But...having spent a lot of time over 20 winters in that area you have to temper snow expectations. Very much boom/bust. When it hits it hits in a big way. Best events in my life have been a few 4”+/hour long duration storms in Fulton (north side of town). 30-50” totals, no problem. But winds have to line up perfect on the WNW vector. And no help from elevation. So you’re still subject to some relative ratters there. Unlike a place like Springville that gets hit from multiple wind flows and gets a nice boost from elevation.
  18. Nice burst of moderate snow here this morning. Radar looks solid for a couple hours.
  19. Amazing videos Rich!! You captured the worst, I mean best, of it perfectly. Well done! Glad the northtowns produced a chase-worthy event.
  20. That spot has been “in the yellow” for hours. Might crack the 20” mark in that area.
  21. Couple pics from the neighborhood during some of the heavier snow this morning.