NortheastPAWx Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 GFS still says no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Saturday looks downright awesome Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 59. South wind 5 to 9 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 26 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 You want some real entertainment, take a look at Pivotal Weather's snow map for that 81 hr and get a good laugh... Entertainment purposes only. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 GFS remains a warm, disorganized mess for midweek. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Ride the Euro & better yet Euro Para, which is supposed to go live March 8th to replace the old Euro. I've seen in various places that the Euro & Para Euro have far superior skill scores than GFS, Canadian, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Forget next Wednesday, we've got Sunday night now!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 CMC is back to light snow to heavy rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 0z Euro is great for ALL of CTP (& yes...NEPA) It ranges between 8-13 inches of snow. Most of us get in the 10 to 12 range, but the winner of this run was Williamsport , with 13 inches! The Euro will lead the way for this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 i saw one stamped : int:12z / 02-20-2017 GFS Think that's to far out to watch? No definitely not, was hearing next Wednesday though, which seems a bit out. Thanks, Jon. you know i was only making a funny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Hahaha I'm slow. Just saw it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Next week is looking more and more wet to me. We have the Euro on our side and not much else. The Ukie being so far west (runs up through western PA) is a huge red flag. The GEFS and the GEM have all shifted west as well. Right now the Euro is pretty much alone in bringing most of us white vs. wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick G Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 i saw one stamped : int:12z / 02-20-2017 GFS Think that's to far out to watch? That is the new GFS---(global future system) it uses tarot cards, old wives tails and the farmer's almanac for it's data points. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 If the Euro and Ukie are at odds, the chances of the Euro being right when it's all alone is slim to none IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Next week is looking more and more wet to me. We have the Euro on our side and not much else. The Ukie being so far west (runs up through western PA) is a huge red flag. The GEFS and the GEM have all shifted west as well. Right now the Euro is pretty much alone in bringing most of us white vs. wet. If the Euro and Ukie are at odds, the chances of the Euro being right when it's all alone is slim to none IMO. Looks warm doesn't it? Looks to be in the low 40's= wash some of the salt off the roads Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 If the Euro and Ukie are at odds, the chances of the Euro being right when it's all alone is slim to none IMO. The euro has much better than the ukie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 I do think this storm is much better for snow in Northern Pa than the southern part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 The euro has much better than the ukie. But it seems to me only when they are somewhat similar. They are pretty far apart, and the Euro is all alone. The Euro hasn't done well enough this season to put much stock in it being an outlier yet the correct solution. Time will tell! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 But it seems to me only when they are somewhat similar. They are pretty far apart, and the Euro is all alone. The Euro hasn't done well enough this season to put much stock in it being an outlier yet the correct solution. Time will tell! Bingo. It's gonna rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 for whatever reason the NAM has been really struggling with the temperatures in this warm air mass that is pushing north and east for this afternoon over the last several runs... even the 12z run today is already off a good bit over Indiana/Ohio/Michigan/Western PA for 1 PM today! the warm air push is a classic "warm air pools on west side of Appalachians where there is little to no snow cover" scenario where southwest PA is seeing the temperature spike into the 50s already while those in the mountains are still in low 30s. At 1:00 it was 60 in Morgantown, WV and 30 in Johnstown, PA... that is a crazy gradient!! (edit: 64 Morgantown and 32 Johnstown at 2pm) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 ^^^ thats fascinating. Wow, what a gradient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 Lol clipper will miss South and Tues Wed will be a cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 19, 2016 Share Posted February 19, 2016 for whatever reason the NAM has been really struggling with the temperatures in this warm air mass that is pushing north and east for this afternoon over the last several runs... even the 12z run today is already off a good bit over Indiana/Ohio/Michigan/Western PA for 1 PM today! the warm air push is a classic "warm air pools on west side of Appalachians where there is little to no snow cover" scenario where southwest PA is seeing the temperature spike into the 50s already while those in the mountains are still in low 30s. At 1:00 it was 60 in Morgantown, WV and 30 in Johnstown, PA... that is a crazy gradient!! (edit: 64 Morgantown and 32 Johnstown at 2pm) 2 19 16 18ztemps.jpg Yeah its close to 60 and sunny here in Pittsburgh. This is something that is prevalent when talking snowstorms on the west side of the ridges. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 12z Euro Op run has a crazy gradient for snow in CTP for next week. It has just 1 inch around Harrisburg, but if you go just 30-40 miles North & west, amounts reach 6 inches. Go another 50 miles north & west Of that & you get 12+ inches toward State College & Altoona. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 12z Euro ensemble still keeps all of CTP in the snow game for next week. The mean snow is 3-4 inches in the LSV. State College/Altoona area is 6-8 inches mean snow. About 35 of the ensemble members bring at least a few inches to CTP. Of those members, some jackpot all of us, some hit the LSV & Some hit true central hard. This threat is far from over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Well, the GGEM just brought something interesting back into the game. It keys in on the Thursday wave and actually tries to make it a decent snow event for true central to 81. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Which GGEM? The 0z I'm looking at has it an NEPA to New England snow. You and the Poconos do well (which is ok by me) but not a whole lot for anyone else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Which GGEM? The 0z I'm looking at has it an NEPA to New England snow. You and the Poconos do well (which is ok by me) but not a whole lot for anyone else. The operative word being *tries*. It is definitely a more north event. Regardless, it's out on its own, as everything else has a strong low tracking well west and giving everyone a warm rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 The operative word being *tries*. It is definitely a more north event. Regardless, it's out on its own, as everything else has a strong low tracking well west and giving everyone a warm rain. I get what you're saying, and I'll tell you that I really wish it would verify that way for you. I haul a lot of freight up into New England and run I-81 and I-84 almost every day. It's simply amazing that there is no snow whatsoever along that corridor all the way to Connecticut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 20, 2016 Share Posted February 20, 2016 0z Euro ensemble mean still has around 3 inches of snow for the LSV for next week & has about 5 inches for State College/Altoona & NEPA. Low tracks for the individual ensemble members are still all over the place, but the mean low it creates tracks to our south and east. About half of the members bring at least a few inches of snow & still a few good hits mixed in as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.