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Ian

Jan 22-24 blizzard obs, tracking, nowcasting #2

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This death band has gone NUCLEAR. When the deathband first started, we had very small flakes and winds. Now it is puking Biff Tannen (Biffco) industrial-grade waste annihilation rakage! 

The winds are strong, visibilities are horrific and the snow is piling up like crazy.

 

Now I know why NWS upgraded us to 24-30. I have 25 inches.

 

This is now the greatest blizzard I have ever personally experienced in my entire life.

 

In terms of accumulation, this is more than the 2nd snowmageddon storm here (24 inches) and more than PD 1 (23 inches).

In terms of duration. This storm has been snowing here since 1245pm yesterday.

In terms of wind. Winds have been raking my house for hours and hours. At times, it has been near continuous heavy blowing snow with whiteout conditions.

 

This storm is special.

 

The Great Blizzard of 2016 is the greatest snowstorm of my life.

 

I'm glad people are adopting my name :P

 

Congrats, Jeb! It ain't over yet. This is what we live for.

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6:00 Update

Mod Snow

25 degrees

38 inches total accum

4 inches in last 3 hours

 

My neighborhood has transformed into something I have never seen before. It looks like a science station in Antarctica or something. There is the occasional neighbor out trying to shovel or use a snow blower. But overall, people just seem to be accepting the fact that they are not going anywhere for days. Cars are worthless. Just hunks of metal sitting in a stationary place for an indeterminate amount of time. The front of my house reminds me of the picture posted by a NY administrator in the banter thread the other day. The picture depicted a frozen wasteland and he was joking about us. 

 

This storm has reached new levels of incredible to me. The shear power of mother nature is both humbling and awe inspiring. I have a ton of work to do tomorrow starting to dig out and get my life back to some semblance of normalcy. In the mean time, tonight, I will just sit by the fireplace and tip my glass of scotch to the Great Blizzard of 2016. She has certainly earned her name.

Being from SNE and having witnessed 90" of snowfall 20 days, which paralyzed the MBTA for months....this is one of the most captivating obs posts that I have ever seen.

 

Thank you.

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At this point I'm just going to go with 30" unless someone can prove it wrong. Which would be hard to do. I've gotten 2" in the last 2 hours. And it keeps snowing

CONGRATS man on your 30 inches. You DESERVE it! Congrats on a damn good world-class tracking job too. I learned tons from you and from many other incredibly talented hobbyists and professionals.

 

I hope you get 36 inches.

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I'm in Colesville as well. Just measured 30" And that's fresh standing snow, so it likely packed down more than a little.

 

I'm in the neighborhood behind Dominic's Italian Grille. I tried to take like 10 or 20 measurements in areas that seemed representative. I think I may have screwed the measurement up when I fell asleep for a while earlier. Did you take a few and average? 

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What I find interesting about that is that NYC's storm should be ending about the same time as ours.

 

I firmly believe that if DC didn't dryslot and joined our friends NW in the deathband fun sooner, we'd all be staring at 30. You need everything to go right for a perfect storm, and we just missed. 

 

I just can't believe how low their totals are. Something is definitely squirrely. How would it be in their interest to under-report so laughably? Is this some weird political thing?

 

Nah, not politics. I think it is just a terrible place to do snow measurements. 

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Very impressive how well the models performed this time around.  They more or less were in good agreement with each other many days out (relatively speaking to some other screw jobs in the past where something went wrong).  Yet, it was hard for us to believe until we saw it, especially the QPF forecasts.  Now we're seeing it and will never forget it.  We have right at 24" here NW of Vienna, VA. and we're not done yet.  Hope the HRR is also correct and we pick up several more.

 

Think this one has surpassed the shock and awe of the blizzard of 78 in Ohio when I was in HS.  The winds then were just awesome, but this....  this...   amazing to see something like this actually play out for everyone as modeled. 

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Being from SNE and having witnessed 90" of snowfall 20 days, which paralyzed the MBTA for months....this is one of the most captivating obs posts that I have ever seen.

 

Thank you.

 

You called a storm like this in your outlook. Now let's get one that rocks Richmond to Boston in Feb. 

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Being from SNE and having witnessed 90" of snowfall 20 days, which paralyzed the MBTA for months....this is one of the most captivating obs posts that I have ever seen.

 

Thank you.

Ditto.

 

And I'll be the first to say that my previous (low) expectations for DCA have/are going out the window. What a storm...!

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that Germantown band could be something

 

I think there may be another good one coming out of Lancaster, PA too. The one through northern MoCo right now looks fierce but may well not be the last one. Just depends on how fast the system pulls eastward.

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I wonder what the Knickerbocker would have measured if today's DCA crew had done it?

 

I have some issues with them today..but I think at least so far they've done ok...We were in a severe lull for 6-7 hours...It made a huge difference...

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34 inches. Puking snow here. Relentless.

Area we shoveled at 1 pm already has 6 inches on it.

 

Any idea why IAD is reporting such low numbers?  I know I have over 30" IMBY here in Herndon. 

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At 6:00 I measured another 1.5" in one hour, for a total of 22ish-inches, including three or so clearings.

 

Though the trash can lid immediately adjacent that I haven't cleared at all has 19" of snow on top of it.

 

And it's still rocking out there.

 

Greatest storm ever. If not for that dang dry slot....

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Any idea why IAD is reporting such low numbers?  I know I have over 30" IMBY here in Herndon. 

 

I think IAD's last report was 2 hours ago. Their total should go up quite a bit..

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Sent a report of 25". Honestly it's probably more but no way to know for sure. Basing it off my own measurements all over the driveway throughout the day and nearby spotters. Fantastic storm. Still snowing though lighter than it has been all day.

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Since I cleared the snowboard at 2pm it has 10 inches new snow, I had a storm total of 13.5 at 2pm. that means I am close to going over 24" total, it is so hard to measure accurately in this situation. This is a great storm for the whole region. Not sure what to do, I have measured in multiple spots. It is all wind driven at this point.

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I have some issues with them today..but I think at least so far they've done ok...We were in a severe lull for 6-7 hours...It made a huge difference...

Problem is that they don't seem to be reporting they recovered like others nearby and they were in the heaviest bands.

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Ditto.

 

And I'll be the first to say that my previous (low) expectations for DCA have/are going out the window. What a storm...!

Not often you forecast a jack of 3 feet, and bust significantly low, but I've pulled off that feat.

 

Absolutely immense...never seen anything like.

 

Its akin to a 400 mile wide lake band.

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