SnowNiner Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Via Brad P, this shows the (small) changes in GFS tracks: Sent from my Nexus 6P using Tapatalk Nice graphic, showing the GFS, slowing coming toward the EURO solution. PLEASE hold EURO.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Euro is north of the previous at 54, but well south of the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpstateSCBud Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Euro has gone north some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Euro is north of the previous at 54, but well south of the GFSSounds like a compromise to meet in the middle may be the answer. Curious to see the RH fields and see if the Euro is starting to get more juiced up like the nam and GFS did this morning? Both had a good front end thump.Edit: Guys even with a compromise between the GFS and Euro, as you saw at 12z the GFS was still very cold, cold enough anyhow to where most are in the game, whether it be snow, sleet, ZR or a plethora of all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 20, 2016 Author Share Posted January 20, 2016 Still just as cold I think, and the precip shield hasn't moved north. Just a little stronger with the ULL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 20, 2016 Author Share Posted January 20, 2016 WOW @66. Big hit for WNC. Coastal bombing over Wilmington. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Hr 48 850 temps below freezing in almost all of wnc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 WOW @66. Big hit for WNC. Coastal bombing over Wilmington. is that north or south of the previous run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 20, 2016 Author Share Posted January 20, 2016 The placement of the ULL is the same at 66 as the prev run, just stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 WOW @66. Big hit for WNC. Coastal bombing over Wilmington. Wow, does it look like it completed the transfer earlier to the coast or it's hard to tell? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Big hit even for Charlotte. Wow. Sent from my LG-H811 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 The ULL is basically in the same place as last night's run at hr 66. 546 dm even makes it a bit further south than last run, though that might just be wobbling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Even CLT gets in on 10-12 on the snowfall map Sent from my LG-H811 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 This is the coldest Euro run yet, even at the surface. Going to be serious ice south of the snow line, folks. QPF totals are slightly down from last night (just by a few tenths), but it's still a ton of QPF and there's less mixing, so about the same amount of snow. Model consensus seems to be building for 1.5-2.0" QPF for a lot of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Dang I saw @72 rapidly deepening parked over Norfolk. It's gonna be hammer time come late Friday night sat morning for my area! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 12z GEFS individual members... big hits across the board. No misses for most of NC/TN/VA. Some of those members even bring me into 5+ inches with a couple getting me close to 10 inches......I've never gotten up on this storm and I don't wanna get sucked in but these ensembles all show me getting 2 inches or more except 1 of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 The ULL is basically in the same place as last night's run at hr 66. 546 dm even makes it a bit further south than last run, though that might just be wobbling.looks like it goes right over Atlanta. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 How's it looking for the Midlands and CAE? Please ask these questions in the banter thread located here. Backend snow, close to icy. Northern midlands more icy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormcatt Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Lol 12z euro give cheez 3 inches Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 looks like it goes right over Atlanta. Yeah, snow accumulation look decent. 2-3 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 The jackpot zone on the 12z Euro is south of Roanoke. That is a bit south of last night, when the northern Shenandoah Valley looked the best. DC steps back to "only" 20" or so on this run. Also, RDU and CLT never go above freezing on this run. GSO is mostly in the mid-20s. So, I assume we can expect RAH to issue Winter Storm Watches with this afternoon's packages? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 My interpretation of the Euro run for Charlotte... Lt snow/sleet begins 7PM Thursday Transitions to light Sleet/Frz Rain overnight Thursday Moderate sleet/frz rain all day Friday (most likely more freezing rain than sleet) Transitions to snow 1AM Saturday Light to moderate snow til 7AM Saturday Light snow til 1AM Sunday Precip duration is incredible, what a storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 The jackpot zone on the 12z Euro is south of Roanoke. That is a bit south of last night, when the northern Shenandoah Valley looked the best. DC steps back to "only" 20" or so on this run. Also, RDU and CLT never go above freezing on this run. GSO is mostly in the mid-20s. So, I assume we can expect RAH to issue Winter Storm Watches with this afternoon's packages? looks like the ukie is finally starting to load on the meteocentre site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Euro is north of the previous at 54, but well south of the GFS Know this comment is older...but I really like what the EURO did...MUCH better run IMHO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 12z GEFS and 00z EPS both indicate the possibility of an historic storm, snowfall amounts are just incredible from WNC up into the mid Atlantic. Most storms this fall and winter have over performed in terms of modeled QPF as well. Will be interesting to see how that turns out with this storm. Strong Nino suppression climo ftw? Whoever gets ZR from this storm will be in for a long week or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Lol 12z euro give cheez 3 inches Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk yup...I Think great run for MANY on this board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Hey Jon. Where did he post the map? I don't see it on Twitter.He posted it in this thread, he is the red tagged names "RaleighWx" on here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WSNC Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Major 12z model runs so far for the Winston-Salem area: GFS 13" with 1.4" total precip, NAM 13" with 1.6" total precip, and Canadian 8" with 1.5" total precip. Looks like the models are settling in on 1.5" liquid equivalent for triad area with less of a mixing issue than previous model runs. Hopefully the Euro holds. Update on 12z euro for KINT, 14" with 1.8" total precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drfranklin Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Lookout, if you have time, please give your assessment on the latest model runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 yup...I Think great run for MANY on this board. Actually 2" here 3" just to the west. Thing is, I will be going to Asheville tomorrow for the event..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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