SN_Lover Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 NAM is at least 75-100 mile NW at 24 hrs It;s so CLOSE to a phase, I cant even.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Go on.... Hard to believe this won't hit east coast, but it's the NAM so we toss...don't we... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 The force field is strong in this one. Quite an impressive resistance. precisely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Captured at hour 30....hundreds miles NW of 18z run, LOL....we toss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 CAPTURED!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 oh man at 30 it has it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 What the hell NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Captured at hour 30....hundreds miles NW of 18z run, LOL....we toss. hey Pack - what are you referring to - not sure what to look at to put your comment in perspective - thanks - phil Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 hey Pack - what are you referring to - not sure what to look at to put your comment in perspective - thanks - philJoaquin is 150-200 miles NW of its 18z run through 24-30 hours, on the 12km NAM. The 4km NAM isn't nearly as aggressive but did tick NW some. I think the 12km NAM is smoking something tonite. It's going to show a hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 My heavens.. I cant get frames past 36.. What is about to happen?!?! At this rate even Myrtle has a chance with the 00z NAM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 at 36 it is night and day from 18z. way west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Rainfall through only 30 hours on 00Z 12K NAM: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CanadianGuy Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 at 36 it is night and day from 18z. way west And this is why people shouldn't call off an event because of one or two runs agreeing with an outlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldman75 Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 If we get hit here in Myrtle I may be off work due to our storm team being activated . Not wishing that though unless it drops to a cat 1. I use to root for storms to come until I became a home owner lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 at 36 it is night and day from 18z. way west. The fact the 4km NAM will probably miss we should toss the 12km. But the 4km is about 100 miles or so N and a smidge west of its 18z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 And this is why people shouldn't call off an event because of one or two runs agreeing with an outlier. not saying the nam is to be taken as gospel, but when a cat 4 cane is stationary all options should remain on the table. too much up in the air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 looks a little wet for the carolinas/ga Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 The 12km NAM has the trough entrenched sharply and fully tilted negatively into the NE Gulf at 32. That's been the biggest ingredient for a phase all along. Keep the ULL cutting off much further west. So yes, it's interesting. But again, it's the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/navgemtc2.cgi?time=2015100112&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nomanslandva Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 HRRR has it moving NW through 15 hours, what should we take from that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CanadianGuy Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 You have to know when CR is poking fun. Sorry, I usually lurk in the Ohio-Lakes subforum. & this was the mindset I saw this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 thru 48 looks like it is headed towards wilmington maybe? hard to tell yet. EDIT: @51 looks like it is headed to myrtle lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Looks like it's about to boomerang into the Northern SC coast/ border with NC. Can't exactly say yet, 500mb looks erm.. interesting. thru 48 looks like it is headed towards wilmington maybe? hard to tell yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 looking at the nam is dangerous. I'm still shoveling NAM snow from last season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 4km did jump NW fairly big through 36 but not near as much as 12km, I think this will need to be west of 75w and the 4km is at 73w. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 folks, lets keep it more on topic and cut back on the OT chatter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Looks like Hugo.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 NAM looks like a hit for SC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Looks like Hugo.... Beat me to it. This is an impressive run and I am hoping it's not going to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJF0602 Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 These model runs tonight do they have the new upper air data samples? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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