Gilbertfly Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 80/73 LOT and DBQ... waterloo cell looks interesting... edit: longest sustained filtered sunshine of the day ....also, house creaking winds out of the SSW/SW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Just modified the ILX sounding for the 86/78 ob at PNT, which yields 6100 j/kg of SBCAPE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 If we can lose this CIN things will go insane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
outflow Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Pretty wild numbers for MI standards regarding STP/Supercell. ML cape values over 2000 over much of western mi. I know most of the Michigan posters are tired of this same ole story of dying mcs days but I just can't throw in the towel yet on later for around the state given the environment. Cape values of around 2000 are more than enough to produce with the other factors in play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonofRO Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 We just cannot catch a break in southeast Michigan... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JacobChgo19 Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Full sunlight illuminating my living room here... So, let's go storms! Confidence is rebuilding rapidly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 ML cape values over 2000 over much of western mi. I know most of the Michigan posters are tired of this same ole story of dying mcs days but I just can't throw in the towel yet on later for around the state given the environment. Cape values of around 2000 are more than enough to produce with the other factors in play. Yeah originally I was going to throw in the towel but I dont know if it's over yet. We just cannot catch a break in southeast Michigan... Have patience. Watch upstream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Environment in E IA/W IL is in the upper percentile in all categories for sig-tor cases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 humid as all get out here. sun's been peaking for the last half hour or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonofRO Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Yeah originally I was going to throw in the towel but I dont know if it's over yet. Have patience. Watch upstream. Sorry it just seems like Indiana and Ohio have been stealing the show lately while we get nothing here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suckzone Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Looking good here in indy. I bet they will expand 30 percent wind farther sout east next update based on trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Looking good here in indy. I bet they will expand 30 percent wind farther sout east next update based on trends. doubt it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonofRO Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 The 20z Rap shows a nice line to our northwest around 8 or 9 pm. I am trying to not let myself get sucked in though, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 62kft west of Ottumwa. That's still the only storm that's managed to root into the boundary layer. Would imagine we should see many more take root in the next hour or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Full sunlight illuminating my living room here... So, let's go storms! Confidence is rebuilding rapidly.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 I think the chances of anything wild are pretty much nil for SEMI. Garden variety severe storms are still up for grabs tonight, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 This thread has provided good entertainment for my day off at the very least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Latest RAP has some airmass recovery in northern IL in the next few hours and really fills things in later on along the front. I guess we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Just modified the ILX sounding for the 86/78 ob at PNT, which yields 6100 j/kg of SBCAPE. Definitely explosive if any storm can tap into it and overcome this cap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 This thread has provided good entertainment for my day off at the very least. I was just thinking the same... from the lemmings to the over zealous to the thread crappers... All good stuff... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aurora Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Sitting at a McDonald's in Williamston waiting for literally anything to happen. There's probably a solid 80% chance that I'm just wasting my time, but I can't ignore these parameters. Because I'm an idiot who's still a sucker for Michigan severe weather events even after 23+ years of being burned by stuff like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Latest RAP has some airmass recovery in northern IL in the next few hours and really fills things in later on along the front. I guess we'll see. I still think this is viable, but maybe not tornadic.. could make for wind/hail... FWIW, I don't think it has felt this muggy in years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonofRO Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Sitting at a McDonald's in Williamston waiting for literally anything to happen. There's probably a solid 80% chance that I'm just wasting my time, but I can't ignore these parameters. Because I'm an idiot who's still a sucker for Michigan severe weather events even after 23+ years of being burned by stuff like this. Fellow Michigan sucker here from southern Oakland County lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Yea TOR threat isn't looking so hot, but definitely still could be some nice hailers/wind reports. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Circulation developing quickly on the storm SE of DMX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 doubt it lol it wouldn't take that big of a shift Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Although I have slightly higher hopes than an hour or two ago, and I wish to be excited right now, I just don't think anything will come this far north nor will be severe. Instability in NC/NW IL is really awful and I think will prevent anything coming our way even though over here we have 2500+ j/kg of SBCAPE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Needs a TW. Possible debris on the cc. Edit: now warned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 22, 2015 Author Share Posted June 22, 2015 Circulation developing quickly on the storm SE of DMX. TDS with that circulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Tornado Warning issued, albeit a bit late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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