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burgertime

Wed Feb 18th Convective Snow Shower Chances

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Let's see if we can eek out a little more winter weather. Chances are looking good for someone to cash in on a quick 1-2 inches tomorrow. 

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Yep NAM 4km 6z and 12z both impressive convective bursts for RDU

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I posted this in the other thread but would be better here.

 

12z nam composite radar for tomorrow at hr 34.

 

 

post-1455-0-64455700-1424190081_thumb.pn

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Much of this is going to be dependent on how deep that energy can get swinging to the south. We need it to really fire up and just squeeze everything it can out of the atmosphere. I think anywhere from NE GA to NE NC has a good shot of getting hit with possible thundersnow. 

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Yep hopefully someone can pull a Cantore and freak out over Thundersnow.  And maybe even get a twofer, I said a twofer!  That would be like winning the lottery.  But in all seriousness I would love to see these convective bands give a clap or two of thunder for someone to here to experience, and it will be possible tomorrow.

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We'll have no idea where these bands setup. Like thunderstorms...

 

Yep, definite nowcast situation. Last year CLT wasn't supposed to really get anything and the big winners was the 85 corridor. 

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Yep hopefully someone can pull a Cantore and freak out over Thundersnow.  And maybe even get a twofer, I said a twofer!  That would be like winning the lottery.  But in all seriousness I would love to see these convective bands give a clap or two of thunder for someone to here to experience, and it will be possible tomorrow.

 

In 2013 I got lightening and thunder under the band I was in. Hardest snow I've been in, it was more like groupel than snow and it piled up fast. 

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Had a mention of flurries for tomorrow on local weather

Good ole Dale. Even called for a small chance of some rain/snow mix Sat.

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Euro was the best look for NC and NE GA...I liked it's 5h depiction. Curious to see how the RAP looks tonight.

This looks never benefits the lee side.

However, should be fun to track.

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

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This looks never benefits the lee side.

However, should be fun to track.

 

Yep, I'm pretty sure that type of system is guaranteed to skip over us, Strong.  It sucks, but what can we do?  The same thing happened last year when Charlotte got convective snow from a similar system.

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Yep, I'm pretty sure that type of system is guaranteed to skip over us, Strong. It sucks, but what can we do? The same thing happened last year when Charlotte got convective snow from a similar system.

Hope against climo of our area ;)

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

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This looks never benefits the lee side.

However, should be fun to track.

Sent from my iPhone

Yep! Anybody from HKY , Rutherfordton, to GSP back torwards the mountains , will see nada from this! Now Winston to CLT, to Gaffney and east, could easily score an inch ! It'll be just like summertime, I can look to my east , and see the thunderheads , smh

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Yep, I'm pretty sure that type of system is guaranteed to skip over us, Strong.  It sucks, but what can we do?  The same thing happened last year when Charlotte got convective snow from a similar system.

My experience is that these things usually fire up somewhere around the Triad. Sometimes we catch it and sometimes we don't. I'd like my chances if I was in the Triangle but I'm not sure here, just wait and see I guess.

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Sounds like the GFS looks good for RDU with some incredible ratios.

He's probably talking about cobb outputs....

 

150219/0000Z  36  28015KT  24.7F  SNOW   26:1| 1.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.045   26:1|  1.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.06  100|  0|  0

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If there's a nowcasting storm, this is it. It's really impossible to pin down where the bands will set up at this point.

It sounds like a line of thunderstorms. I guess in a way that is what it is if there is a chance of thundersnow.

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