Dotb Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 I'm up in the air in terms of this event. My friend has rented out the second floor of a bar downtown for a 21st tonight so I will be in the city for at least this evening. I honestly think that Essex sees more than BOS. I think amounts will be closer to two feet than one; especially for our county. I would bet on Monday for your employees too. BOS will do extremely well but I wonder if they are sandwiched in between localized maxes at Blue Hills and toward the north shore? Time will tell. There are VERY impressive signals for a massive coastal enhanced jack. Thanks for this. Doesn't seem to be any chance this misses us with less than a foot over three days. Already snowing lightly here for the past hour or so. No accumulation yet. I'm curious about the timing as to when the overruning ends and the coastal begins, and if there will be some sort of break in between to maybe clear roads, etc. Either way, guess it's time to plan to be stuck indoors for a while. FYI, you're a Matignon grad too, right? I was there a month or so ago for a reunion. Place has changed a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 So Pickles and Zeus are thinking bust? What are you, Tollandian or something? Puttin' words in my moof. Won't have it! Ain't respectful! I didn't say anything about a bust. I questioned you saying "and people were dogging [Jerry's] MEX numbers" because it implies that dogging the 20+" totals they were showing is somehow already deemed inaccurate. All I'm saying is let it fall and get measured first. I think a long duration 8-14 for BOS is doable. 14-20 seems high to me. But hey, I'm happy to eat crow if I end up nestled in The Favoured Lands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mostman Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 fwiw, CT station MEX snow numbers for tonight, tomorrow, and Monday: BDL: 4, 8, 8 BDR: 1, 2, 4 DXR: 1, 4, 6 GON: 1, 1, 4 HFD: 2, 6, 8 HVN: 1, 2, 4 IJD: 2, 6, 8 MMK: 2, 4, 6 OXC: 1, 4, 6 And for reference: 1 = T-2" 2 = 2-4" 3 = 4-6" 4 = 6-8" 5 = 8"+ Could you tell me where you get these numbers from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 My first guess that looks pretty reasonable to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Could you tell me where you get these numbers from? http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getall.pl?sta=KOXC And you just change the three letters to whatever station you want at the end of the url. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Amounts to throw out preliminary call for posters here: PWM area: 16-20 LWM to BED to BVY: 18-25 BOS area inside 128: 14-20 PVD to ginxy: 12-16 BDL to Kevin: 10-16 Mpm: 16-24 Lower Connecticut: 6-12 My final call is for a general 1-2' inside of rt 495, with perhaps up to a 3' lolli within that KBEV-Salem-Peabody-Danvers triad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mostman Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getall.pl?sta=KOXC And you just change the three letters to whatever station you want at the end of the url. Excellent. Thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 My first guess I think this something like how I would lean with locally more in NE MA and the Berks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Amounts to throw out preliminary call for posters here: PWM area: 16-20 LWM to BED to BVY: 18-25 BOS area inside 128: 14-20 PVD to ginxy: 12-16 BDL to Kevin: 10-16 Mpm: 16-24 Lower Connecticut: 6-12 Jerry, if I'm within 4" of that high end, I'm buying you a drink at the next GTG. AQW MEX is 6,8,8, and ORE is 2,8,8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 What about Ktan to kpym 12-18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Jay I think Boston is very close to being in the cross hairs. If this goes a tick SE then they will be. Right now cstl Essex county seems like ground zero, but Beantown will do well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Thanks for this. Doesn't seem to be any chance this misses us with less than a foot over three days. Already snowing lightly here for the past hour or so. No accumulation yet. I'm curious about the timing as to when the overruning ends and the coastal begins, and if there will be some sort of break in between to maybe clear roads, etc. Either way, guess it's time to plan to be stuck indoors for a while. FYI, you're a Matignon grad too, right? I was there a month or so ago for a reunion. Place has changed a lot. Yes! Didn't know you went to MHS! Not the sports mecca it used to be... But they are trying to improve athletics again. When I went there 2007-2010 it was a disaster. I had to go to prep school and do a PG year to be recruited. What year did you grad? Oh.. and where in Andover are you approximately? I'm in Royal Crest at the intersection of 114 and 125; don't live on campus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Hi guys serious question. I was hoping to come back from Bartlett Monday afternoon. I have snow tires and 4wd. Is that a crazy idea? Should I leave Sunday afternoon instead? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Jay I think Boston is very close to being in the cross hairs. If this goes a tick SE then they will be. Right now cstl Essex county seems like ground zero, but Beantown will do well. Agree. I went with the broadbrush of your area to essex because of that. One band could go bonkers in a localized area, don't really know where. The thermal gradient of the CF is really impressive on modeling during this event at points... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Enjoy everybody. Coastal CT probably on the outside looking in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Hi guys serious question. I was hoping to come back from Bartlett Monday afternoon. I have snow tires and 4wd. Is that a crazy idea? Should I leave Sunday afternoon instead? Snows and 4wd, you can go anywhere. I wouldn't sweat it. The snows probably do more than the 4wd, fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 This is a Ray special. KGAY frontal. I'll do great, but I think Woburn over to N Reading may be better suited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Jay I think Boston is very close to being in the cross hairs. If this goes a tick SE then they will be. Right now cstl Essex county seems like ground zero, but Beantown will do well. Yea, the best is south of me....especially with these dreaded tics. Hopefully it stops, but... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 The Euro and GGEM give me pause to go all in for TAN. Coastal never really gets going and we are left with a cruddy airmass and cruddy snow growth from what I've seen. GFS/NAM/RGEM all looked great. No idea what the Ukie showed for the area. All models show a ridiculous cutoff in SE MA along the Bristol/Plymouth county lines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dotb Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Yes! Didn't know you went to MHS! Not the sports mecca it used to be... But they are trying to improve athletics again. When I went there 2007-2010 it was a disaster. I had to go to prep school and do a PG year to be recruited. What year did you grad? Oh.. and where in Andover are you approximately? I'm in Royal Crest at the intersection of 114 and 125; don't live on campus. Sorry for the OT folks. Went to MHS before things fell apart, graduated in '98, so I'm a bit older than you. I actually transferred in as a junior because I was recruited to play baseball there. I'm at Andover Country club, basically in the corner where Rt 28, 133 and 495 come together. Been absolutely pounded by the last two storms here. My office is on 114 in North Andover, across from Stop 'n Shop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Jay I think Boston is very close to being in the cross hairs. If this goes a tick SE then they will be. Right now cstl Essex county seems like ground zero, but Beantown will do well. I can't get my mind around a system like this producing these totals. Then there is 1969 and I think there are synoptic similarities? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 The Euro and GGEM give me pause to go all in for TAN. Coastal never really gets going and we are left with a cruddy airmass and cruddy snow growth from what I've seen. GFS/NAM/RGEM all looked great. No idea what the Ukie showed for the area. All models show a ridiculous cutoff in SE MA along the Bristol/Plymouth county lines. 2 feet already fell for Bos metro and S and N shores, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Thanks, that's what I thought. After all, I do the drive twice a week and plenty of times in snow once I get closer to here... It'll just be that for a longer stretch! Snows and 4wd, you can go anywhere. I wouldn't sweat it. The snows probably do more than the 4wd, fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 I'll do great, but I think Woburn over to N Reading may be better suited. man every storm has ramped up the closer we got, what a winter!Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 man every storm has ramped up the closer we got, what a winter! Sent from my iPhone Hopefully it doesn't tic se anymore, but yea... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 2 feet already fell for Bos metro and S and N shores, no? South Shore I'm not convinced will do well. It all depends upon where the coastal front sets up. North & West of that and it's a party all around. East of that and it's a boatload of meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 These south moves probably aren't quite done yet. Sometimes you keep seeing them right up to go time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 South Shore I'm not convinced will do well. It all depends upon where the coastal front sets up. North & West of that and it's a party all around. East of that and it's a boatload of meh. I like my spot for this one. 1/2 mile south of Wakefield line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 I can't get my mind around a system like this producing these totals. Then there is 1969 and I think there are synoptic similarities? 1969 was far deeper, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 I can't get my mind around a system like this producing these totals. Then there is 1969 and I think there are synoptic similarities? I would have to look back, but the Synoptics were different I think. I'm on phone now. It's really longevity with this one. My gut says anyone near stalled CF is getting 2'+ cumulative. If I had to put a line, it's 10 miles either side of Newburyport-Stoneham- Dedham. Ray I think you will do well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.