paweather Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 radar really not looking good for mdt at this point, hope it improves overnight. had my hopes up earlier but having my doubts at this point.unfortunately doubts at this point writing was on the wall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 unfortunately doubts at this point writing was on the wall yeah radar looks rather pathetic as of now anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMDEW80 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Precip is developing south east near Cumberland MD moving your way. im not so sure.... looking at the radar it seems a lot of the precip is moving up the central part of the state. the river east looks under performing at this point, hope it changes overnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Updated map: http://screencast.com/t/tLQwTfSpk Reduced totals a bit in the Sus Valley. First I removed what had been a mistake in the southern Sus Valley and backed off on QPF totals by about a tenth. Truth be told I only really lowered totals an inch or so in the Sus Valley, I still think there will be general 4-5" amounts in that area with more 2-3" amounts in the far north central. Lowered extreme SW PA somewhat as they might continue to deal with mixing issues. Slight tweaks to the expected deform zone along/east of I-81. Also tweaked the ranges to make it 2-5, 5-7 and 7-10+". The + will probably only come into play if the Euro's farther west deform came to fruition. Also performed a procedure to take the excess values outside of PA (extract by mask for you ArcGIS gurus) since I'm only doing PA stations and a PA only map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Finally, cold air advection is beginning to take hold as my temp has dropped suddenly in the past hour from 32.3 to 30.7 and falling at a rate of 2 degrees / hour at the moment. Winds have picked up noticeably in the past 30 minutes from the NNE at 5-10 mph and that's aiding in bringing down the colder air. That puts a halt to any further melting of the falling snow. It's been snowing lightly and steadily here with flake size fluctuating, and I've got about 0.5" of snow on the board. I'm heading off to bed soon. I'm keeping my expectations wayyyyyyy low, as in I hope to reach the 2" mark by the time I get up in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexP Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Down to 29 with light snow in Lemoyne. Deck and cars covered. Sidewalk has patches of snow. Roads still wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 And Euro finally kills it for us though of course still gives NYC 20+... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Yea, I'm doubting even a couple now, we're getting great returns and just light flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexP Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 King Euro is testing his loyal subjects on the coast, that's for sure. Here we're just hoping that the lower end of the forecasts will verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Per radar, should be snowing pretty decently in Harrisburg correct Alex? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 King Euro is testing his loyal subjects on the coast, that's for sure. Here we're just hoping that the lower end of the forecasts will verify. I dropped a point and click into the Queens section of NYC and the added up total of those ranges is 23-39 inches. Wind gusts 50+. Looks like something you'd see in the Sierra Nevada Mountains or something. That'd be insane if even the low end of that verified. Even a more run of the mill 10-15" type snow with those high winds would be an extremely high impact storm. I'm still kinda doubtful if NYC gets the absolute bullseye of 24-36" the NWS has painted. I could def see that in interior southern New England though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexP Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 It's coming down moderately now. I even heard a plow go by. I'm in Lemoyne now, but I can't imagine it's much different in Harrisburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Just shy of 3" here. Temps have fallen to around 25 degrees and light to moderate rates continue. Looks like we might lull a bit here shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 I dropped a point and click into the Queens section of NYC and the added up total of those ranges is 23-39 inches. Wind gusts 50+. Looks like something you'd see in the Sierra Nevada Mountains or something. That'd be insane if even the low end of that verified. Even a more run of the mill 10-15" type snow with those high winds would be an extremely high impact storm. I'm still kinda doubtful if NYC gets the absolute bullseye of 24-36" the NWS has painted. I could def see that in interior southern New England though. I would personally cut to about 16-24" if I were forecasting up there. That's still insane... Oh yeah, I think someone in New England will see 40+ easy. Maybe the Patriots can use that to inflate their SB balls... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexP Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I would personally cut to about 16-24" if I were forecasting up there. That's still insane... Oh yeah, I think someone in New England will see 40+ easy. Maybe the Patriots can use that to inflate their SB balls... The real insanity will be when NYC gets 19" and people are complaining that the forecasts were wrong because they didn't get 2'. Moderate snow continues in Lemoyne, now down to 28 degrees with wind gusting a bit. Just a coating on most surfaces so far. Plows have come by twice in the last half hour, but there isn't anything to plow yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Just eyeballing it i would say maybe .5" hope things pick up soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 3 inches on the mark. Light snow continues, pretty windy too. Just took a drive to sheetz and it's blowing around down in town where it's more open. Roads are all snowpacked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Good morning Light snow here this morning....maybe an 1" haven't been out to measure yet. I take it the Euro pretty much held last night? There was a lot of grown men crying on other forums with last nights Nam/GFS runs. :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Snow growth is improved at the moment with moderate-sized aggregates falling. We'll see what happens here as the primary low weakens, with most guidance placing the inverted trough feature west of State College. The 06z NAM remains the farthest east with this feature, bring the best surface convergence roughly over a line from Johnstown to Dubois. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick G Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 1 inch and the schools are closing...17f Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Just about 2.3" here in midtown hbg so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 1.75" in Tamaqua this morning. If anyone was watching Newswatch 16 this morning, Andy Polumbo was here doing his live reports at the main five points intersection in town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 1.6" so far 25f Power has been out since 6:30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Ugh. Models after moving away from mega storm in nyc go back to crushing them at 6z. What a shame, as most of that group deserves as many busts as possible. Complaining about a 10+ inch storm like they were is laughable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UKStormFan Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Just a quick question from the UK. 1) Do we have any live stream TV forecast stations covering the event constantly? TWC for example..but local. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdskidoo Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Ugh. Models after moving away from mega storm in nyc go back to crushing them at 6z. What a shame, as most of that group deserves as many busts as possible. Complaining about a 10+ inch storm like they were is laughable. yes they've had more than their share of monster storms over the past 5 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 2.1" with .26" liquid at 7am here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Are we officially screwed on any snow from the Nor'easter? ABC27 saying HBG might see another 1-2" before sunset but no more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexP Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 It only looks like about half an inch out on my deck in Lemoyne. I'll chalk that up to wind and compaction. My wife said she cleared about an inch off her car with an icy crust under the snow thanks to last night's rain. Most schools closed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexP Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Are we officially screwed on any snow from the Nor'easter? ABC27 saying HBG might see another 1-2" before sunset but no more. WGAL also appears pessimistic about round 2. I'm going to take them giving up as a sure sign that we're going to get smacked with a rogue band later tonight, but that's just the optimist in me talking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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