Heisy Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 This is the one. The difference maker, the year changer. I want to hug Cohen Has 0 support right now, but few questions; How fast can the energy rotate around the base of the trough, and will the trailing energy be able to catch up on time and phase? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 I'll be damned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Wow. If that verifies, this winter goes from dud to all-star real quick for a lot of folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 I like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Carl Lewis caught the fat kid this run...Euro is a blizzard for eastern SNE. I don't have the background you Scott and Ryan have among others. There was something evident about this period Of time s few weeks ago that I still can't totally identify as the catalyst for me being so adamant it was coming now. Today this upcoming system just stuck out as one that would become a monster ocean storm and perhaps the one in ten year deal for coastal sections. Too early to tell yet but I think this is the big dog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 I'm stuck on hr 78 for whatever reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 I'm stuck on hr 78 for whatever reason.look at tidbits Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 I feel like we've been slowly trending towards this solution for a few days. In this trending, it was going to look worse at the surface before we hit that threshold where BOOM H5 took off and we get a retrograding blizzard. I'm still a tad skeptical with the long wavelengths, but the potential is there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 My first winter in Boston this year, retrograding blizzards don't happen in Philly lol. I think I'm gonna like SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 24, 2015 Author Share Posted January 24, 2015 I'm stuck on hr 78 for whatever reason. Yeah WSI got stuck...but it basically gives over 1" of qpf from LWM-ORH and SE and 1.5"+ for GHG-WST and SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 I feel like we've been slowly trending towards this solution for a few days. In this trending, it was going to look worse at the surface before we hit that threshold where BOOM H5 took off and we get a retrograding blizzard. I'm still a tad skeptical with the long wavelengths, but the potential is there. will it come back more? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Yeah WSI got stuck...but it basically gives over 1" of qpf from LWM-ORH and SE and 1.5"+ for GHG-WST and SE.holy she it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 For folks who don't have access and are wondering about what we're all freaking out about, some quantifiable numbers. .25" QPF from west of NYC up the Hudson River then over to MWN and continuing NW. .5" QPF from NYC to the east slope of the berks to CON to LEW and continuing NE .75" from BDR to CEF to SENH to PWM and east 1" from HVN to TOL to extreme NE MA and east 1.25" from BOS to PVD and east 1.5-2" for the cape. James Jackpot with 1.9" QPF all snow at high ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Could be a fluke run but the Euro rarely does that this close in, you'd think ensembles will definitely be weaker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Yeah WSI got stuck...but it basically gives over 1" of qpf from LWM-ORH and SE and 1.5"+ for GHG-WST and SE. I see it on tidbits. That's awesome. It's difficult, but would be neat to pull something off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 holy she it. Maybe I'll see that 24.6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 24, 2015 Author Share Posted January 24, 2015 I see it on tidbits. That's awesome. It's difficult, but would be neat to pull something off. I sent you a PM too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 . Maybe I'll see that 24.6". Bobalouie I will hope hard for you. Grasshoppers will be happy happy happy if that pans out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 I sent you a PM too Yeah just saw, thanks. Awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 977mb just SE of benchmark. That a classic position for SE MA and Cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Will and I were saying it may be overdone, but it would be pretty sweet to get something out of it. Hopefully the ensembles like the idea..even if more tempered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Hope the wives,husbands,girlfriends,boyfriends,roommates enjoyed the quality time with us. #weenietime Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Its worth mentioning the shortwave responsible for the 00z Euro bomb just made landfall in British Columbia. This was likely the first run that the shortwave had proper sampling by the North American radiosonde network. I say this because the run to run differences between the 12z and 00z here are well outside of the expected uncertainty provided by the 12z ECMWF EPS... the 00z deterministic run is more extreme than even the most extreme 12z EC ensemble member. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Wow, you guys get hammered on the Euro! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 It's hard not to get excited over the overnight runs, but I am going to try and temper my enthusiasm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 It's hard not to get excited over the overnight runs, but I am going to try and temper my enthusiasm. Ensembles will let you know if it was a fluke...the 03Z SREFs for what little they are worth have some ideas of the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 The 0z GEFS mean was pretty good to. Closed 500mb low over New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 what a solution. But let's hope this isn't the euro over amping again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 long way out buy SREF'S are pretty good for SNE now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Clinch leatherwood keep taking those Meds lol. I cant believe what I just read on here...is this correct?? Will it hit Central CT?? According to that Euro Snowmap, my area is in the Black which isn't to shabby for what I thought was going to be mood flakes lol. Ensembles anybody?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.