Hoosier Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 New car battery and I'm feeling giddy. Second call for LAF...0.8" Your battery should die more often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Am I the only one seeing double? Nope. Board seemed to be acting up a bit though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Your battery should die more often. I'm not even sure how that applies to your comment...but I felt the need to finally use it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 looks like this might be my best hour or two of winter weather conditions of the season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 18z RGEM still bullish. dang....not bad at all...even half is nice for mby.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 As this clipper (really just a cold front) approaches the Chicago area at 03z Friday, the 925mb winds will be southwesterly at 40-50kts where the snow is occuring in IN, OH, and MI. There should not be enough mixing should not produce 50 kt wind gusts at the surface, but maybe some annoying 25-30mph winds will be in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 dang....not bad at all...even half is nice for mby.... pic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 pic? 18Z RGEM...precip still going in OV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 18Z RGEM...precip still going in OV rgem_apcpn_ncus_14.png rgem_asnow_ncus_14.png Really emphasizing that lake enhancement in north central Indiana I was alluding to earlier. But yea, way overdone IMO, both ratio-wise and QPF-wise. Edit: 18z GFS a bit drier actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 18Z RGEM...precip still going in OV rgem_apcpn_ncus_14.png rgem_asnow_ncus_14.png Moisture map is nice, but the that snowfall map would be based off at least 30:1 ratios. Not very often you see WWA lining the lakeshore counties in WI without an onshore flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 18Z RGEM...precip still going in OV rgem_apcpn_ncus_14.png rgem_asnow_ncus_14.png lol. RGEM/GGEM should be discontinued. Regardless if it's mostly the wacko ratios or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Lol @ that rgem snow map. What kind weenie algorithm are they using. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Lol @ that rgem snow map. What kind weenie algorithm are they using. channeling their inner sref..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Lol @ that rgem snow map. What kind weenie algorithm are they using. Fortran Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Still think models might be underdoing amount of precip on the srn side given the strength of the WAA. Not seeing the RGEM is right but could see it verifying between it and the NAM/GFS You don't see 70kts at 850mb all that often around here in January (except for the last clipper haha) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Lol @ that rgem snow map. What kind weenie algorithm are they using. 30:1 for everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 FYI: ...LIGHT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW DURING THE THURSDAY AFTERNOON ANDEVENING COMMUTE...A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL BRING A BRIEF SHOT OF LIGHT SNOW THURSDAYAFTERNOON AND EVENING. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS MAY REACH 2 INCHES NEARTHE WISCONSIN BORDER IN LAKE AND MCHENRY COUNTIES OF ILLINOIS...WITH ANINCH POSSIBLE FROM CHICAGO NORTH...AND LIGHTER AMOUNTS SOUTH.WHILE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE RELATIVELY LIGHT...THIS SNOW WILLFALL DURING THE EVENING COMMUTE THURSDAY. GUSTY WINDS DURING ANDAFTER THE SNOW WILL CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WHICH WILLREDUCE VISIBILITIES AND CREATE ADDITIONAL TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 30:1 for everyone! could be possible up this way MQT ...BUT WILL NEED TO KEEP AN EYE ON SNOW RATIOS AS SOME OF THE MODELS INDICATE A VERY DEEP CLOUD WITHIN THE DGZ WHICH COULD PRODUCE RATIOS OF 25-30 TO ONE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Para-GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 MPX going conservative with 16:1 ratios. Cold air messing with things again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Revising my call from yesterday from nothing to a heavy dusting here. Non-event, but fresh duster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Lol @ that rgem snow map. What kind weenie algorithm are they using. Those tropical tidbits maps are based off of progged surface temps. With tomorrow being cold, it automatically assumes high ratios. I've said it before but give me the Kuchera or instantweathermaps any day over some of these other outputs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Those tropical tidbits maps are based off of progged surface temps. With tomorrow being cold, it automatically assumes high ratios. I've said it before but give me the Kuchera or instantweathermaps any day over some of these other outputs. Yeah...the only reason I posted the snow map was because it helped to show the QPF "hot spots" a little better since the QPF maps were pretty vague Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Winds look pretty frisky tomorrow with BUFKIT showing some 40+ mph gust potential in many areas. Would not be surprised if the winter weather advisories are eventually expanded south, particularly if something more along the lines of the Canadian models looks more likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Long range RAP so take with a grain of salt but it has a 1003 mb low in central MN at 17z tomorrow, substantially deeper than other guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Winds look pretty frisky tomorrow with BUFKIT showing some 40+ mph gust potential in many areas. Would not be surprised if the winter weather advisories are eventually expanded south, particularly if something more along the lines of the Canadian models looks more likely.Not a lock but would not be surprised if we issue a WWA for the northeastern third to half of the CWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Long range RAP so take with a grain of salt but it has a 1003 mb low in central MN at 17z tomorrow, substantially deeper than other guidance.We go through this every event. Toss it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 We go through this every event. Toss it. Yep. HRRR going that way too. Probably overdone but perhaps the 00z suite will trend a little deeper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Winds look pretty frisky tomorrow with BUFKIT showing some 40+ mph gust potential in many areas. Would not be surprised if the winter weather advisories are eventually expanded south, particularly if something more along the lines of the Canadian models looks more likely. It honestly wouldn't surprise me to see APX and GRR issue B-Word Warnings for the Lake Michigan shoreline... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Here's what the 18z GFS/NAM have for that time tomorrow (well, 18z in the GFS case since there aren't hourly increments) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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