AlaskaETC Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 we were so gung ho about getting an el nino this winter well we got one, and the pac jet is back forecasting in DCA is simple: high temperature about 46, low about 30 rain every few days or so, rinse and repeat I've been livin' here for over 40 years now, seen this before what a CRAPTASTIC PATTERN, what a WRETCHED place to live. Don't worry my friend, I see plenty of jebwalks in the future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 Don't worry my friend, I see plenty of jebwalks in the future. A win would be cold windy with snow showers on Xmas. I just keep lowering the bar. Maybe just cold and windy with clouds. Just cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 17, 2014 Share Posted December 17, 2014 I think the low to the OV is off the table. if there's a clustering of GFS members, IMO, it would be for a weaker, more southerly off the coast type of deal. The best solution being the Euro gives me some confidence, but the fact that no other model has a storm that strong in that position definitely makes me wonder if the Euro just might be due to undergo some significant changes. Long way to go with this one. I think we really all knew better.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Terrible time invested vs snow returned ratio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 SREFS have a better look....I'm in until there's no hope Where's Randy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 SREFS have a better look....I'm in until there's no hope Where's Randy? Filling in for Randy because I was bored and had nothing better to do. Checked out the 21z just to see what it looked like, and I was surprised. Compared to 15z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Ooo almost .1" for me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Ooo almost .1" for me! only need 30:1 ratios to get a decent event out of this. with surface temps in the mid 30's what would the 850 temps need to be to get that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Decided to check the individual 21z SREF members via wxbell and unfortunately even in Southern MD about 10-11 members produce precip, however the mean is skewed by ARW members. These members have a tendency to over-amplify as we have learned in the past, so the rest of the members are only returning a mean of .065 for St. Marys county through 87 hours. Yes, a better look on the mean than 15z, but nothing new I would suspect. Really just bored and practicing for later weeks when it will be rockin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Filling in for Randy because I was bored and had nothing better to do. Checked out the 21z just to see what it looked like, and I was surprised. Compared to 15z I believe you're comparing different hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 I believe you're comparing different hours.I'm aware but means place the QPF in a similar location and the max that is present is "improved." Just for chat though regardless I'm willing to bet. We won't even get nam'd with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Going to unpin this until it returns to HECS status with tonight's 0z Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Going to unpin this until it returns to HECS status with tonight's 0z Euro. That should help get this baby back on track, like Matt originally intended. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 That should help get this baby back on track, like Matt originally intended. Let's see if we can ramp it up from 9 to 15 flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 00z Nam is on its way in. Wonder if it will look like the 21z SRef? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Let's see if we can ramp it up from 9 to 15 flakes. Afte all the hours i wasted on this pos storm, i will be happy if i have some snowtv. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Going to unpin this until it returns to HECS status with tonight's 0z Euro. oh, the humiliation for poor Matt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Max potential is up to a half inch. http://www.weather.gov/images/lwx/winter/SnowAmt90Prcntl.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
motsco Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 um,, so I'm am safe for the big storm this weekend, what SPF should I use when I hit the links Sunday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Going to unpin this until it returns to HECS status with tonight's 0z Euro. Rename it to storm dud Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Max potential is up to a half inch. http://www.weather.gov/images/lwx/winter/SnowAmt90Prcntl.png Wow Ian is cleaning up compared to Mt. Parkton. He will like this map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Going to unpin this until it returns to HECS status with tonight's 0z Euro. LOL, please lock this thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 NAM looked GREAT!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Wow Ian is cleaning up compared to Mt. Parkton. He will like this map.I like when that map has 20"+ across the board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 I like when that map has 20"+ across the board It's coming in January, be patient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Wxbell should give me a refund for December after the torcher that the euro dished out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Wxbell should give me a refund for December after the torcher that the euro dished out not to speak of the spewing of the co-founders piles of shiat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Wxbell should give me a refund for December after the torcher that the euro dished out Just be thankful you don't pay per hour used. You would be broke by Dec 5th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 NAM will dump on some fish for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 NAM looked GREAT!!!! Worst run yet! Wow. Partly cloudy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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