BullCityWx Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Man the Euro run was ugly, I hope it's wrong ??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 I just hope we get some rain around here. We've had barely.25 since before Thanksgiving. I see what was supposed to be a nice event Monday turn into almost nothing now and the Christmas event looks weaker now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 I was watching that show The Profit recently and apparently they covered some trailer business that was located in Waycross. That town is famous!!! for trailers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 ??? I hear the Euro has cutters on it right through day 10. No winter weather here on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 I just hope we get some rain around here. We've had barely.25 since before Thanksgiving. I see what was supposed to be a nice event Monday turn into almost nothing now and the Christmas event looks weaker now. for trailers Might as well be famous for something, I guess. They have a huge rail yard, too, IIRC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 20, 2014 Author Share Posted December 20, 2014 I just hope we get some rain around here. We've had barely.25 since before Thanksgiving. I see what was supposed to be a nice event Monday turn into almost nothing now and the Christmas event looks weaker now.TWC just showed 3 inches of rain for us on tue-wed, what could go wrong with that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Man the Euro run was ugly, I hope it's wrong lol I hope it's right overall. It isn't ugly at all. Just gives more support for a storm on New Years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 TWC just showed 3 inches of rain for us on tue-wed, what could go wrong with that? A west trend and a weakening trend can make this drier for us. The Euro no longer bombs this out until it hits the lakes now and the Canadian looks very weak with it. Hopefully the GFS will be right with it's 2-3 inches here, but I wouldn't count on it. And of course convection along the gulf coast could really mess it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 20, 2014 Author Share Posted December 20, 2014 On a more downer note, stuck at home all day with a sick child! Started out at Kohls and he "Let it go" all over the "Frozen" display! That movie makes me want to vomit, so I can relate! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Meanwhile, life is still good in, "only look five days out land". Some beneficial rains, followed by a Christmas day that will be appreciated by all those getting new bicycles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 20, 2014 Author Share Posted December 20, 2014 lol I hope it's right overall. It isn't ugly at all. Just gives more support for a storm on New Years.I know the years are different and I don't expect a similar outcome, but the Christmas of 87 was warm and rainy, then about 2 weeks later, 14 inches of snow and temps in the teens, if only a redux could happen! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 On a more downer note, stuck at home all day with a sick child! Started out at Kohls and he "Let it go" all over the "Frozen" display! That movie makes me want to vomit, so I can relate! You've got a budding movie critic on your hands. "I give the movie a one lunch up." Hope he feels better soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 20, 2014 Author Share Posted December 20, 2014 You've got a budding movie critic on your hands. "I give the movie a one lunch up." Hope he feels better soon. Thanks! And yes that movie gets two chunks down! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NRVwxfan. Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Thanks! And yes that movie gets two chunks down! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NRVwxfan. Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 A west trend and a weakening trend can make this drier for us. The Euro no longer bombs this out until it hits the lakes now and the Canadian looks very weak with it. Hopefully the GFS will be right with it's 2-3 inches here, but I wouldn't count on it. And of course convection along the gulf coast could really mess it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 lol I hope it's right overall. It isn't ugly at all. Just gives more support for a storm on New Years.The 12z EPS was awful, never gets the trough to the east, tries days 10-11 but then slams it back west. It's probably wrong as we are still 10+ days away on any of the global models from a favorable pattern. Hopefully by mid next week we will be inside 10 days and we get some agreement on wth is going to happen. The SE is starting to roast days 14+ on the EPS...LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 The SE is starting to roast days 14+ on the EPS...LOL. It's all 'cuz of a cold November .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CandymanColumbusGA Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Wfmy, wghp or wxii. Welcome to the triad hopefully wtvd Nope... A little more north of the Southeast region, but not much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 20, 2014 Author Share Posted December 20, 2014 Nope... A little more north of the Southeast region, but not much.Oh no, not the MA?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 The 12z EPS was awful, never gets the trough to the east, tries days 10-11 but then slams it back west. It's probably wrong as we are still 10+ days away on any of the global models from a favorable pattern. Hopefully by mid next week we will be inside 10 days and we get some agreement on wth is going to happen. The SE is starting to roast days 14+ on the EPS...LOL. What's happening with all the ensembles? I mean they were all showing fairly favorable patterns and now they're moving away.The "non factoring" MJO FTW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Yeah, my confidence level in anything worthy to track from now until January 1st is none. I understand the models are struggling, but I'm starting to wonder if this change is really even going to help us. If the Christmas Eve storm doesn't change the modeling soon within the 7-10 day and not 300 hr+, I'm probably going into panic mode. The change was supposed to be before New Years. Not keep saying day 10+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 The change was supposed to be before New Years. Not keep saying day 10+ Just a casual but considered observation: It's been 10+ days out for pretty much 3 years give or take. 10 days from now it'll almost be next year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 What's happening with all the ensembles? I mean they were all showing fairly favorable patterns and now they're moving away. The "non factoring" MJO FTW! Model chaos, but probably should stop looking at ensembles at days 13-15. If you look at days 11-12 on the EPS, it ain't bad. Burger likes a NYE storm, just maybe... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Just a casual but considered observation: It's been 10+ days out for pretty much 3 years give or take. 10 days from now it'll almost be next year. You read my mind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Nope... A little more north of the Southeast region, but not much. I'm going to guess Roanoke/Blacksburg area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 The 12z EPS was awful, never gets the trough to the east, tries days 10-11 but then slams it back west. It's probably wrong as we are still 10+ days away on any of the global models from a favorable pattern. Hopefully by mid next week we will be inside 10 days and we get some agreement on wth is going to happen. The SE is starting to roast days 14+ on the EPS...LOL. Didn't Wow say on the December thread that no way it was going to be held back west with the way things are? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Trough east of HI... any energy dropping into the west is going to kick out quick.. Greenland block and 50/50 in place.. it's not going to cut. Then I see the PV building over E Canada after the new year. Looks good to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Brick is already in the early stages of panic mode. I love it. How long does it usually take for everyone to throw in the towel? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 WxSouth said yesterday things are still on track and the Christmas storm is the beginning of the pattern change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Didn't Wow say on the December thread that no way it was going to be held back west with the way things are? When there's a will, there's a way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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