dendrite Posted October 8, 2014 Share Posted October 8, 2014 Who's doing the case study? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 8, 2014 Author Share Posted October 8, 2014 Well it shifted to SE MA and the Cape so that part was correct. But yeah...expected more down in that area. Coast of Maine did pretty well actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 8, 2014 Share Posted October 8, 2014 Well it shifted to SE MA and the Cape so that part was correct. But yeah...expected more down in that area. Coast of Maine did pretty well actually. SE areas at least got some decent showers out of it, And into mid and downeast Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 8, 2014 Share Posted October 8, 2014 Well it shifted to SE MA and the Cape so that part was correct. But yeah...expected more down in that area. Coast of Maine did pretty well actually. Would have been nicer if it had lined out into a QLCS this morning. Instead it looks like we got some sheared out forcing, and a parallel lines of convection disrupting inflow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 8, 2014 Share Posted October 8, 2014 SE areas at least got some decent showers out of it, And into mid and downeast Maine Decent it was not. Hit or miss. TAN - 0.08" PYM - 0.09" EWB - 0.18" UUU - 0.07" OWD - 0.01" PVD - 0.05" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 8, 2014 Author Share Posted October 8, 2014 Would have been nicer if it had lined out into a QLCS this morning. Instead it looks like we got some sheared out forcing, and a parallel lines of convection disrupting inflow. Even in SE MA, I thought it would look better. Just run of the mill stuff. Best stuff seemed to be in ME actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 8, 2014 Author Share Posted October 8, 2014 Decent it was not. Hit or miss. TAN - 0.08" PYM - 0.09" EWB - 0.18" UUU - 0.07" OWD - 0.01" PVD - 0.05" They had an inch about 3-4 miles from me. Skips you and then canal area east 1-1.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 8, 2014 Share Posted October 8, 2014 Decent it was not. Hit or miss. TAN - 0.08" PYM - 0.09" EWB - 0.18" UUU - 0.07" OWD - 0.01" PVD - 0.05" And that is what severe threats are, No surprise really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 8, 2014 Share Posted October 8, 2014 .42" here. Not a rumble to be heard. Sun is out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted October 8, 2014 Share Posted October 8, 2014 Valley did ok with a number of wind reports noted. Some thunder here, but nothing that got too intense. Lots of leaves down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 8, 2014 Share Posted October 8, 2014 Even in SE MA, I thought it would look better. Just run of the mill stuff. Best stuff seemed to be in ME actually. Or the Lakes Region. Lots of damage being reported, south of the strongest cell actually. Black Cat Island claiming 76 mph gust is legit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted October 8, 2014 Share Posted October 8, 2014 1.67" of rain this morning, most of the total in a 2 hour period. Heavy thunderstorms with intense lightning rolled through from 0345 to 0600. One of the storms produced pea-sized hail. Wind was not an issue as peak gust was 18 mph. We could of used that. Just some wind and 0.02" rain. Not very exciting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 8, 2014 Author Share Posted October 8, 2014 Or the Lakes Region. Lots of damage being reported, south of the strongest cell actually. Black Cat Island claiming 76 mph gust is legit. Wow. Go figure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 8, 2014 Share Posted October 8, 2014 Valley did ok with a number of wind reports noted. Some thunder here, but nothing that got too intense. Lots of leaves down. I gusted to 7mph here. Must've been Southern Valley? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 8, 2014 Author Share Posted October 8, 2014 Or the Lakes Region. Lots of damage being reported, south of the strongest cell actually. Black Cat Island claiming 76 mph gust is legit. That would actually make sense given how radar looked. Almost a MCV like feature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 8, 2014 Author Share Posted October 8, 2014 I gusted to 7mph here. Must've been Southern Valley? BAF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 8, 2014 Share Posted October 8, 2014 That would actually make sense given how radar looked. Almost a MCV like feature. Hindsight I probably should've warned the two cells as a line, but I'm still not sure I would have put the lake in the warning even then. Just seemed a little too far south of the heaviest echoes. The beam is pretty high there though, so outflow could've extended farther and the beam is also perpendicular to the wind speed at that point basically telling me nothing about velocities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted October 8, 2014 Share Posted October 8, 2014 I gusted to 7mph here. Must've been Southern Valley? Yeah. Southwick/Southampton/Easthampton... even Hadley and east to Ludlow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 8, 2014 Author Share Posted October 8, 2014 Lakes Region just wins no matter what it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 8, 2014 Share Posted October 8, 2014 At first I thought the 76 mph was an error, but looking at the PWS on Black Cat Island it coincides with a pressure min and temp spike, as you would expect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 8, 2014 Share Posted October 8, 2014 Modeling was absolutely atrocious for this. Globals and mesos for days all were pegging Central and E CT/RI/SE Mass..and maybe SNH..Instead those areas saw 0 damage. Instead all the damage occurred in E NY state into NW Ct up into Western and Central Mass and then into NNE. Terrible model performance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 8, 2014 Author Share Posted October 8, 2014 ACK gusted to 44kts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 8, 2014 Author Share Posted October 8, 2014 Modeling was absolutely atrocious for this. Globals and mesos for days all were pegging Central and E CT/RI/SE Mass..and maybe SNH..Instead those areas so 0 damage. Instead all the damage occurred in E NY state into NW Ct up into Western and Central Mass and then into NNE. Terrible model performance It's the nature of tstms. Models did have storms in that area..I know the RPM did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 8, 2014 Share Posted October 8, 2014 It's the nature of tstms. Models did have storms in that area..I know the RPM did. But the point is that was not the area anyone or anything was expecting severe..and that's where it all happened. Meanwhile the areas that were in ground zero for days saw nothing but gusty rain showers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 8, 2014 Share Posted October 8, 2014 Modeling was absolutely atrocious for this. Globals and mesos for days all were pegging Central and E CT/RI/SE Mass..and maybe SNH..Instead those areas saw 0 damage. Instead all the damage occurred in E NY state into NW Ct up into Western and Central Mass and then into NNE. Terrible model performance Aren't we nit picking there? Wind damage in the Lakes Region is pretty much SNH and not so far away that it's strictly NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 8, 2014 Author Share Posted October 8, 2014 But the point is that was not the area anyone or anything was expecting severe..and that's where it all happened. Meanwhile the areas that were in ground zero for days saw nothing but gusty rain showers Well yes and no. There were only a few reports in wrn MA and that was it. There might have been stuff on the Cape with the winds above 40kts. It only takes one cell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 8, 2014 Share Posted October 8, 2014 Aren't we nit picking there? Wind damage in the Lakes Region is pretty much SNH and not so far away that it's strictly NNE. I don't think anyone considers Lake Winni SNH..If they do..they need a geography lesson Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 8, 2014 Share Posted October 8, 2014 Had some really good gust some lightning and torrential rain here this morning Yeah. Southwick/Southampton/Easthampton... even Hadley and east to Ludlow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 8, 2014 Author Share Posted October 8, 2014 Chris, anything else in Moultonboro as far as wind damage? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 8, 2014 Author Share Posted October 8, 2014 Just saw the weenie tweets from the guy at black cat. Looks like they got hit good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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