Damage In Tolland Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 May have to suspend you early this year. How come? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 That's a different vibe vs torch to months end. Just let him roll with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 ASOUT..Euro coming south..First flakes for all this weekend. hopefully the media starts talking about it Boston TV mets already mentioning it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 That's probably over a foot for PF. GFS/ecens hint at it too. We only need to lock it in for another 5-6 days. lol yeah from having no storm at all on the 12z run yesterday too. BTV removed any mention of rain after like Saturday morning... Saturday Night...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow. Lows in the mid 20s. Sunday...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of snow showers. Highs in the mid 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 lol yeah from having no storm at all on the 12z run yesterday too. BTV removed any mention of rain after like Saturday morning... Saturday Night...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow. Lows in the mid 20s. Sunday...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of snow showers. Highs in the mid 30s. You have sneakily developed a bit of a point and click fetish the past year or so. Do you share water supply with moneypitmike? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 0z Euro looked pretty good for next weekend up here, Could be interesting especially in the foothills,mtns and northern Maine, Time will tell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 You have sneakily developed a bit of a point and click fetish the past year or so. Do you share water supply with moneypitmike? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 LOL sneakily. It definitely has become a fetish and quietly so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 Just let him roll with it. I think I'm handling the torch for NOV pretty well. I'm not looking forward to it..I don't think anyone really is. I just hope there's some signs or signals on the Ens that we have a chance of breaking the pattern later in the month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 I refuse to go into verbatim details at 6 days out on the Euro...even though it would be some accumulating snow for even Monads, Berks, ORH hills. It takes an anomaously deeping upper level trough that can change easily between now and then. At the very least, the pretty impressive (albeit brief) cold shot looks to get in here on the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 Phil even has snow(mix) in the forecast for the Cape this weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 I think I'm handling the torch for NOV pretty well. I'm not looking forward to it..I don't think anyone really is. I just hope there's some signs or signals on the Ens that we have a chance of breaking the pattern later in the month You stated 15+ above normal in your temperature estimation. That's not supported by anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 You stated 15+ above normal in your temperature estimation. That's not supported by anything. Aren't models and ens muted by climo somewhat the farther out in time you get? So if you factor that in..given the indices are all super positive..that would seem like we have the possibility of some well above normal warmth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 Aren't models and ens muted by climo somewhat the farther out in time you get? So if you factor that in..given the indices are all super positive..that would seem like we have the possibility of some well above normal warmth MOS is muted by climo in the long range. Ensembles are muted by uncertainty, not climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 Aren't models and ens muted by climo somewhat the farther out in time you get? So if you factor that in..given the indices are all super positive..that would seem like we have the possibility of some well above normal warmth To really get a torch pattern this time of year, you need a deep trough over the west coast with SW winds ahead of it along with lake cutters. This is more like lots of high pressure around and a fairly benign zonal flow. It's not a torch pattern...just mild and boring along with intermittent warm and cool shots. At least IMHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 To really get a torch pattern this time of year, you need a deep trough over the west coast with SW winds ahead of it along with lake cutters. This is more like lots of high pressure around and a fairly benign zonal flow. It's not a torch pattern...just mild and boring along with intermittent warm and cool shots. At least IMHO. Exactly! This Looks more zonal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 You have sneakily developed a bit of a point and click fetish the past year or so. Do you share water supply with moneypitmike? It's actually a zone forecast fetish...I dislike the point and click. Always go straight to the old school zones like back in the day. Love the wording and old school feel of the zone forecasts...you know the "heavy accumulations possible" stuff, not the odd ranges of "new snow accumulation of 3-11 inches possible" stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 Um, yea this is going to be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 Um, yea this is going to be interesting. I think the safe bet right now is a cold Sunday. Talk of precipitation is uncivilized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 It's actually a zone forecast fetish...I dislike the point and click. Always go straight to the old school zones like back in the day. Love the wording and old school feel of the zone forecasts...you know the "heavy accumulations possible" stuff, not the odd ranges of "new snow accumulation of 3-11 inches possible" stuff. I'm ZFP all the way here--I'll cite p/c, but usually with a comment that it will likely be wrong (typically regarding temperature). 51.3/39 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 I'm ZFP all the way here--I'll cite p/c, but usually with a comment that it will likely be wrong (typically regarding temperature). 51.3/39 Be a matrix man! http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0&highlight=off&issuedby=BOX&product=AFM I literally do not know how to navigate to this anymore given their website changes, but I have it bookmarked because I find it excellent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 Should be nice and chilly for the pats Denver game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 Be a matrix man! http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0&highlight=off&issuedby=BOX&product=AFM I literally do not know how to navigate to this anymore given their website changes, but I have it bookmarked because I find it excellent. I am so lost on the BOX site now. Thankfully I had bookmarked a lot of what I use Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 I am so lost on the BOX site now. Thankfully I had bookmarked a lot of what I use Me too. It takes so much time to hunt for information if you don't have it bookmarked. That's half the reason I started my links page was because I got tired of hunting around for links and just wanted a single page with quick links to stuff. The way they have it now you go through the menus and hope that a particular link will take you to a page that has what you want. There's that and the fact that they will put stuff on commercial sites for publicity and not put it on their homepage which should be the source of truth. Don't get me started on that...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 I'm ZFP all the way here--I'll cite p/c, but usually with a comment that it will likely be wrong (typically regarding temperature). 51.3/39 lol...I do the same thing but with the 1AM update on clear nights where it will say "near steady temperatures". Meanwhile, temperatures continue to drop another 5-10 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 12z GFS digging for oil SW this run with the ULL on friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 GFS. NNJ through SYR FTW through hr 120. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 It needs to start bombing to get some moisture up in here. Looks like it will try. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 DXR FTW on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted October 27, 2014 Share Posted October 27, 2014 Idk if it was mentioned, but there were some really good 6z GFS members this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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