A-L-E-K Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 mild evening, warm rain and breezy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Incredibly heavy rain on an intermittent basis for about two to three hours there (by October non-convective standards). Happy to make it home from work without hydroplaning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 After about 2pm today the fog rolled in and it started raining - dropping visibility to a couple hundred feet at time nearest to the lake. Edit: 1.11" of rain through 10:30pm. Done for awhile now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 can't sleep... cool, rainy night. temp is 46. lots of rain yet to fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
josh_4184 Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Got up around 2:30 this morning to let the dogs out and to my surprise the temp was 61 degrees! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Bret Anderson and his classic spray can forecasts are a complete torch for november. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Bret Anderson and his classic spray can forecasts are a complete torch for november. This is probably pretty accurate for the first week of the month, I wouldn't try forecasting beyond that. If this pattern was in place during December, this forum would be in full weenie meltdown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 I have worms everywhere.... I look forward to the winter's version of the last few days...minus the worms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 This is one of my favorite trees every Fall...even on a rainy day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 I have worms everywhere.... I look forward to the winter's version of the last few days...minus the worms Haha. Not too many here, but a few. Steady rain moved back in here. Breezy with temps slowly falling. --- Very colorful tree Snow Freak! I've taken pictures of trees in the rain as well. Would have done it today, but it was too dark by the time I got out of work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Finally cleared out this morning...windy and cool, but nothing to write home about. Nice day on tap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 1.80" here as a 48 hour total. It has not cleared out here yet, probably won't until tomorrow. Right about at the normal yearly rainfall/moisture total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted October 15, 2014 Author Share Posted October 15, 2014 Miserable day. Cool, misty, bleh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Yesterday (10/13) was the 30-year average date for FWA to hit 32°. I noticed that the seven day point doesn't have us getting below 37°, so I had to check out the latest freeze date and found out that it was 11/24/1931! (The latest 28° date is 11/25/1931) Guess I don't have to worry about breaking that one for awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 1.82" of rain will do it with this system I think. Starting to get foggy outside now. Looking like tomorrow will be mostly cloudy still. Will be nice to see the sun eventually! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 Yesterday (10/13) was the 30-year average date for FWA to hit 32°. I noticed that the seven day point doesn't have us getting below 37°, so I had to check out the latest freeze date and found out that it was 11/24/1931! (The latest 28° date is 11/25/1931) Guess I don't have to worry about breaking that one for awhile. Detroits latest first freeze isnt until 11/15, so we have a while too. DTWs lowest so far is 35F, though I see a freeze a decent possibility Sat night. 20 latest first freezes on record Nov 15, 1915 (30F) Nov 15, 1946 (31F) Nov 14, 1918 (32F) Nov 13, 1916 (31F) Nov 11, 1897 (32F) Nov 11, 1932 (27F) Nov 10, 1956 (26F) Nov 08, 1900 (27F) Nov 08, 1985 (29F) Nov 08, 2004 (31F) Nov 07, 2003 (28F) Nov 06, 1886 (32F) Nov 06, 1931 (32F) Nov 05, 1921 (31F) Nov 05, 1927 (31F) Nov 04, 1881 (32F) Nov 04, 1919 (32F) Nov 04, 1950 (30F) Nov 04, 1953 (31F) Nov 04, 1961 (31F) Nov 04, 1998 (29F) Though the longterm average date of the first freeze is October 20th, I was a bit surprised to see that 30 times in 140 years of record the first freeze was in November. The most startling period had to be 1915-1918, when 3 of the 4 years saw the first freeze in mid-November (11-15-15, 11-13-16, 10-20-17, 11-14-18) Looking chronologically at years when the first freeze was in November... 1877 1881 1882 1886 1897 1900 1912 1915 1916 1918 1919 1921 1924 1927 1931 1932 1938 1946 1950 1953 1956 1961 1963 1971 1985 1994 1998 2003 2004 2010 By contrast, the 20 earliest first freezes... Sept 22, 1974 (30F) Sept 26, 1883 (30F) Sept 29, 1942 (32F) Sept 30, 1899 (30F) Oct 01, 1947 (31F) Oct 02, 1984 (31F) Oct 03, 1888 (30F) Oct 04, 1901 (32F) Oct 05, 1965 (31F) Oct 06, 1935 (30F) Oct 06, 1958 (32F) Oct 07, 1952 (31F) Oct 07, 1964 (32F) Oct 08, 1889 (25F) Oct 08, 1896 (31F) Oct 08, 2001 (32F) Oct 09, 1876 (29F) Oct 09, 1895 (32F) Oct 09, 1972 (32F) Oct 09, 1978 (32F) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 Cloud bank sat over the area the whole day...could see the clear blue skies just to the west all morning...by one or so the sun was far enough west that i finally got back into some sunshine...this evening was beautiful...amazing how little the clouds moved today... I'd say colors are peaking right now here...Minnesota bluffs are beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 Detroits latest first freeze isnt until 11/15, so we have a while too. DTWs lowest so far is 35F, though I see a freeze a decent possibility Sat night. Though the longterm average date of the first freeze is October 20th, I was a bit surprised to see that 30 times in 140 years of record the first freeze was in November. The most startling period had to be 1915-1918, when 3 of the 4 years saw the first freeze in mid-November (11-15-15, 11-13-16, 10-20-17, 11-14-18) Do you know what the 30-year average is for Detroit. I find it interesting that the average 30-year date across Northern IN is October 15, give or take a couple of days, while yours is almost a week later. I haven't looked up the long term average for FWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 Upcoming ul pattern, if occurring in January = suicide. Reminds me of Jan 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 i love it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
n1vek Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 Pretty sure I saw that gulf of Alaska low spinning up. PTSD from 2012. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 Thick as snot fog this morning. Should be near 70F later today... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 Had a brighter patch of clouds pass over a little while ago, but since then the ceiling dropped back down and the fog started to reform. I would say now that the color is getting close to 60%. Peak should occur by the end of next week into the following week. Few Autumn pics from the last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 ^ love that Ash tree in the first pic, Geos. persistent ne/upslope flow off the lake kept mist/fog here all day, thick at times. 46 and a little fog currently, but still decent out. no fall color left at all. guess the next step is snow. a little in the forecast fri/night/sat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 16, 2014 Share Posted October 16, 2014 Thanks Bo! Yeah looks like you don't have many leaves on the trees anymore. Those pictures are almost mystical looking with the haze. Someday I'm going to live in a more rural area. Got a little sun today, but it didn't last that long. About 57° for a high. Another maple tree in full color. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 Do you know what the 30-year average is for Detroit. I find it interesting that the average 30-year date across Northern IN is October 15, give or take a couple of days, while yours is almost a week later. I haven't looked up the long term average for FWA. Actually...when I looked it up again, the 140-yr avg was Oct 21st and the 1981-2010 avg is Oct 20th. Its really not that unheard of, since this is a more populated area, for areas away from town to get the first freeze well before the official station. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 Thanks Bo! Yeah looks like you don't have many leaves on the trees anymore. Those pictures are almost mystical looking with the haze. Someday I'm going to live in a more rural area. Got a little sun today, but it didn't last that long. About 57° for a high. Another maple tree in full color. 20141016_172756 (2).jpg Nice pics Geos! Driving home from work Id have to say the trees are pretty much nearing peak. Should be a GORGEOUS week for some color hikes and pics! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 First stab at some leaf pics today now that the sun came back out. Prob gonna head up to southern WI early next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 First stab at some leaf pics today now that the sun came back out. Prob gonna head up to southern WI early next week. I knew you wouldn't disappoint! Awesome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 Detroits latest first freeze isnt until 11/15, so we have a while too. DTWs lowest so far is 35F, though I see a freeze a decent possibility Sat night. 20 latest first freezes on record Nov 15, 1915 (30F) Nov 15, 1946 (31F) Nov 14, 1918 (32F) Nov 13, 1916 (31F) Nov 11, 1897 (32F) Nov 11, 1932 (27F) Nov 10, 1956 (26F) Nov 08, 1900 (27F) Nov 08, 1985 (29F) Nov 08, 2004 (31F) Nov 07, 2003 (28F) Nov 06, 1886 (32F) Nov 06, 1931 (32F) Nov 05, 1921 (31F) Nov 05, 1927 (31F) Nov 04, 1881 (32F) Nov 04, 1919 (32F) Nov 04, 1950 (30F) Nov 04, 1953 (31F) Nov 04, 1961 (31F) Nov 04, 1998 (29F) Though the longterm average date of the first freeze is October 20th, I was a bit surprised to see that 30 times in 140 years of record the first freeze was in November. The most startling period had to be 1915-1918, when 3 of the 4 years saw the first freeze in mid-November (11-15-15, 11-13-16, 10-20-17, 11-14-18) Looking chronologically at years when the first freeze was in November... 1877 1881 1882 1886 1897 1900 1912 1915 1916 1918 1919 1921 1924 1927 1931 1932 1938 1946 1950 1953 1956 1961 1963 1971 1985 1994 1998 2003 2004 2010 By contrast, the 20 earliest first freezes... Sept 22, 1974 (30F) Sept 26, 1883 (30F) Sept 29, 1942 (32F) Sept 30, 1899 (30F) Oct 01, 1947 (31F) Oct 02, 1984 (31F) Oct 03, 1888 (30F) Oct 04, 1901 (32F) Oct 05, 1965 (31F) Oct 06, 1935 (30F) Oct 06, 1958 (32F) Oct 07, 1952 (31F) Oct 07, 1964 (32F) Oct 08, 1889 (25F) Oct 08, 1896 (31F) Oct 08, 2001 (32F) Oct 09, 1876 (29F) Oct 09, 1895 (32F) Oct 09, 1972 (32F) Oct 09, 1978 (32F) It's funny to me that 2004 was one of the latest freezes ever since that was one of the coolest summers I can remember. On the flip side, 1952 had one of the earliest yet it made it to 96°F on September 12th of that year for one of the latest 95°F+ days on record. I haven't seen any frost yet in my neighborhood, even on the cars. The lowest it's gotten is 39°F, but it looks like tomorrow night will be awfully close to freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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