CT Rain Posted June 11, 2014 Share Posted June 11, 2014 SAILS is being installed today. Now we just need some convection... Awesome... you can get low level scans on showers along a backdoor cold front every 2.5 mins! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 11, 2014 Share Posted June 11, 2014 GFS does show some remnant EML kind of air streaking east toward the NE on Wednesday of next week. Worth watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2014 Share Posted June 11, 2014 Awesome... you can get low level scans on showers along a backdoor cold front every 2.5 mins! Now you can really weenie out on those OES bands coming onto the coastline! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 11, 2014 Share Posted June 11, 2014 Now you can really weenie out on those OES bands coming onto the coastline! It is amazing seeing SAILS in action. Had some of the storms in the SE/Plains pulled up on GR last weekend at work and the extra scan is pretty remarkable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 11, 2014 Share Posted June 11, 2014 GFS does show some remnant EML kind of air streaking east toward the NE on Wednesday of next week. Worth watching. Our favorite model is actually a really favorable pattern to spit out these higher lapse rates aloft. It basically has a chunk of 7-7.5 C/km each day Monday through Wednesday. Euro a little less bullish, but has some signs of life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2014 Share Posted June 11, 2014 It is amazing seeing SAILS in action. Had some of the storms in the SE/Plains pulled up on GR last weekend at work and the extra scan is pretty remarkable. Oops..that was supposed to be a response to OceanSt..lol. Yeah I gotta imagine it will really help out in some of those tornadic SUPS. I did a little reading on that...a really cool tool to have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2014 Share Posted June 11, 2014 Our favorite model is actually a really favorable pattern to spit out these higher lapse rates aloft. It basically has a chunk of 7-7.5 C/km each day Monday through Wednesday. Mon_EML.jpg Euro a little less bullish, but has some signs of life. That's a pretty good way to rip continential lapse rates NE. Good trough over the nrn Rockies. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 11, 2014 Share Posted June 11, 2014 That's a pretty good way to rip continential lapse rates NE. Good trough over the nrn Rockies. We'll see. Swing shifts coming up next week. I can't remember the last SVR I issued, I'm ready for the hot seat again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 12, 2014 Share Posted June 12, 2014 GFS cranks the EML on Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 13, 2014 Author Share Posted June 13, 2014 Just randomly decided to briefly look at models but not completely unrealistic to think that a very small window may exist tomorrow, particularly across SW CT for a strong to perhaps borderline severe t'storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 13, 2014 Share Posted June 13, 2014 first good severe day coming mid-week ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 13, 2014 Share Posted June 13, 2014 first good severe day coming mid-week ?the wednesday fropa would be more threatening if it was a few hours slower on the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 13, 2014 Share Posted June 13, 2014 Models have something coming through Wednesday give or take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 13, 2014 Share Posted June 13, 2014 I just saw that video of a plane flying extremely close to a tornado at the St Louis airport last week. How the hell were operations still going on there? TDWR not see the circulation? That's the whole point on why they are there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted June 13, 2014 Share Posted June 13, 2014 Does it show the actual tornado? Can you link the video I just saw that video of a plane flying extremely close to a tornado at the St Louis airport last week. How the hell were operations still going on there? TDWR not see the circulation? That's the whole point on why they are there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted June 13, 2014 Share Posted June 13, 2014 Found this site of live lighting hits. Click on the New York map and it will show you each strike as it happens. Turn your volume up. http://www.blitzortung.org/Webpages/index.php?lang=en&page_0=33 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 13, 2014 Share Posted June 13, 2014 Does it show the actual tornado? Can you link the video I'm pretty sure it didn't go through it based on the perspective I saw..but man that's not an environment you want to go near. It was a little guy..EF1 I believe. Someone reported the plane lurched a bit, but I don't know if it's true. The cell was spinning for at least a few minutes prior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted June 13, 2014 Share Posted June 13, 2014 Severe T storm warning for NYC. Just looked at the a webcam from Newark and caught a nice picture of the squall line! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 13, 2014 Author Share Posted June 13, 2014 Just randomly decided to briefly look at models but not completely unrealistic to think that a very small window may exist tomorrow, particularly across SW CT for a strong to perhaps borderline severe t'storm might not be a bad thought afterall...enough instability present across SW CT to support the line to hold somewhat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted June 13, 2014 Share Posted June 13, 2014 Thats awesome I'm pretty sure it didn't go through it based on the perspective I saw..but man that's not an environment you want to go near. It was a little guy..EF1 I believe. Someone reported the plane lurched a bit, but I don't know if it's true. The cell was spinning for at least a few minutes prior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 13, 2014 Share Posted June 13, 2014 might not be a bad thought afterall...enough instability present across SW CT to support the line to hold somewhat. Paul--what's your thought for up this way (west of G'field, about 8 miles south of the VT line)? I'm guessing just another round of rain, but I'll defer to you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 13, 2014 Author Share Posted June 13, 2014 Paul--what's your thought for up this way (west of G'field, about 8 miles south of the VT line)? I'm guessing just another round of rain, but I'll defer to you. Can't rule out a rumble of thunder or a flash of lightning but instability if pretty meager up that way, both surface based and elevated so looks like just another round of heavy rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 13, 2014 Share Posted June 13, 2014 Can't rule out a rumble of thunder or a flash of lightning but instability if pretty meager up that way, both surface based and elevated so looks like just another round of heavy rains. That's what I was guessing--thanks for the confirmation. I'm not sure how much to expect based on radar.....what looked what might be meh seems to be intensifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted June 13, 2014 Share Posted June 13, 2014 Thats awesome This made me think of the movie with John Cusack and Billie Bob Thorton where they stand at the end of the runway and get tassed from the jet wash! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New England Storm Posted June 14, 2014 Share Posted June 14, 2014 nice cell over West Wareham atm, echo tops just jumped to around 30kft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 15, 2014 Share Posted June 15, 2014 I'm heading to Cedar Rapids tomorrow until Thursday afternoon. I see storms in the forecast--any thoughts on severe? Nothing like a storm out in the heartland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 15, 2014 Share Posted June 15, 2014 Wednesday is still worth watching Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 16, 2014 Share Posted June 16, 2014 Probably a few sct shwrs/tstms near dawn tomorrow and then maybe more action Wednesday. Wednesday still has question marks as to instability and timing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 16, 2014 Share Posted June 16, 2014 Both GFS and NAM look impressive for Wednesday. Steep lapse rates and a nice mid level jet max moving in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 16, 2014 Share Posted June 16, 2014 Both GFS and NAM look impressive for Wednesday. Steep lapse rates and a nice mid level jet max moving in. any chance of getting screwed by MCS debris from the night before? That's always a worry with these things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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