Brian5671 Posted May 27, 2014 Share Posted May 27, 2014 as far as the storm potential today, thus far it looks very meager and not much worth talking about has developed. maybe into the evening around 6-7 more action around the NYC metro but action for now looks confined to NW/W NJ and PA backdoor cold front rarely deliver. I thought Upton was way over done this morning and they have since chopped precip back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted May 27, 2014 Share Posted May 27, 2014 97, 02, 04, 06, and 09 were great summers for convection in the metro areaI remember the July 29th (27th?), 2009 supercell that followed I-78 into NYC. I was in Bedminster, NJ when it came through and brought the best hailstorm and microburst I've exerienced to date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted May 27, 2014 Share Posted May 27, 2014 Highs as of 5pm for the climo sites. Looks like EWR will not see 90 this month: NYC 86LGA 86JFK 84EWR 88ISP 88*BDR 87* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted May 28, 2014 Share Posted May 28, 2014 sun is back. ewr might crack 90 over the next two hours ewr will have to wait till sometime in June to reach 90 for the first time this year - good chance it will happen before the 10th - that heat ridge is just going to get stronger in the west and try to expand east and when the blocking and trough weakens off the east coast the heat will make it here for brief periods until the next front comes through to cool things down http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=kewr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted May 28, 2014 Share Posted May 28, 2014 Back door front is right near Commack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 28, 2014 Share Posted May 28, 2014 ewr will have to wait till sometime in June to reach 90 for the first time this year - good chance it will happen before the 10th - that heat ridge is just going to get stronger in the west and try to expand east and when the blocking and trough weakens off the east coast the heat will make it here for brief periods until the next front comes through to cool things down http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=kewr Agree with the potential next week and maybe as early as Monday (6/2). Could be more widespread than Newark and metro areas. We get through tomorrow and we should have a great stretch of weather thu - sat before warmer temps by Sunday into early next week. There are some hints on the latest guidance the ridge positions more to the east but we'll have to wait for some more consistency. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted May 28, 2014 Share Posted May 28, 2014 Did anyone get any real rain today? We had a 5 minute rain shower earlier and that's it! A repeat of 2013 here would be horrible. We could not buy rain! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 28, 2014 Share Posted May 28, 2014 Whatever heat tries to come here won't last too long with the lower heights to our NE. This pattern won't completely depart and the BDCF could last for a few more weeks. Remember how we all thought we would likely see 90s with the warm up and that it would last several days but no one even hit 90 and we are going into the 60s tomorrow and Thursday. The real heat will come eventually but not yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted May 28, 2014 Share Posted May 28, 2014 Whatever heat tries to come here won't last too long with the lower heights to our NE. This pattern won't completely depart and the BDCF could last for a few more weeks. Remember how we all thought we would likely see 90s with the warm up and that it would last several days but no one even hit 90 and we are going into the 60s tomorrow and Thursday. The real heat will come eventually but not yet. We had enough influence from the heat ridge that it got into the upper 80s for most, but the trough NE of us ensured that the warmth was short lived. We're constantly looking for trouble with a pattern like this. The majority of our temps will be below normal with maybe some spots of heat here and there until that trough leaves. It should also be cloudy/showery with the marine influence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 28, 2014 Share Posted May 28, 2014 Did anyone get any real rain today? We had a 5 minute rain shower earlier and that's it! A repeat of 2013 here would be horrible. We could not buy rain! nothing but a few drops here. The brunt of the rain/storms stayed from Ocean cnty on south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 28, 2014 Share Posted May 28, 2014 We had enough influence from the heat ridge that it got into the upper 80s for most, but the trough NE of us ensured that the warmth was short lived. We're constantly looking for trouble with a pattern like this. The majority of our temps will be below normal with maybe some spots of heat here and there until that trough leaves. It should also be cloudy/showery with the marine influence. Looks that way the next 36 hours then cool but nice thu pm - sunday. We'll have to see if the trend to build heights east early next week continues with the latest guidance but some signs of a warmup by Monday (6/2). Beyond there we still have a weakness NE but its less deep in the longer range with the ridge shifting east ever slightly. So below normal 5/28 - 5/31 and above normal 6/1 - 6/3 looking more likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikehobbyst Posted May 28, 2014 Share Posted May 28, 2014 Looks that way the next 36 hours then cool but nice thu pm - sunday. We'll have to see if the trend to build heights east early next week continues with the latest guidance but some signs of a warmup by Monday (6/2). Beyond there we still have a weakness NE but its less deep in the longer range with the ridge shifting east ever slightly. So below normal 5/28 - 5/31 and above normal 6/1 - 6/3 looking more likely. Does a June 2009 redux, and summer July and August 2009 look to be in the cards, or a less extreme version of it with it slightly warmer?? What is similar, and what is different this year w/ pattern from 2009? Will the frequent backdoors stop by 6/25 ? Looks to struggle to 65 degrees until Sunday when it hits 70 and Monday looks like 78. Tuesday through Thursday next week look like 58-62 and drizzle again. Slight hopes for warmer around 6-5 to 6-10 but not hopeful yet. This is a horrible locked in pattern, will it ever break ??? What will stop this stupid blocking from keep cancelling long term warmth ? Mets chime in please. Hope the news is somewhat optimistic. Is our 2014 warm season screwed and decide to get warm way too late in mid August ?? Can't wait till Pumpkin month with very dry days in the 50's, sunny skies with no back door nonsense, with fresh cP air, not this mP taint waste, near June. I am ready to declare this 2014 summer, as summer "Long Pants, where 09 left off". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 28, 2014 Share Posted May 28, 2014 This is a very unusual May when just taking a look at Newark. This is only the fourth time since 1990 that Newark wasn't able to reach 90 degrees for the first time by May 31st. The only other times that this has happened were 2008, 2005, and 2003. Adding to the rarity, those months were much cooler than this May. May 2014.......+2.2...so far May 2008........-2.2 May 2005........-3.6 May 2003........-3.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 28, 2014 Share Posted May 28, 2014 Did anyone get any real rain today? We had a 5 minute rain shower earlier and that's it! A repeat of 2013 here would be horrible. We could not buy rain! Nothing here, but 1-2 inches just east of me...hit or miss for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 28, 2014 Share Posted May 28, 2014 We had enough influence from the heat ridge that it got into the upper 80s for most, but the trough NE of us ensured that the warmth was short lived. We're constantly looking for trouble with a pattern like this. The majority of our temps will be below normal with maybe some spots of heat here and there until that trough leaves. It should also be cloudy/showery with the marine influence. May will actually be above normal for most reporting stations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 28, 2014 Share Posted May 28, 2014 Does a June 2009 redux, and summer July and August 2009 look to be in the cards, or a less extreme version of it with it slightly warmer?? What is similar, and what is different this year w/ pattern from 2009? Will the frequent backdoors stop by 6/25 ? Looks to struggle to 65 degrees until Sunday when it hits 70 and Monday looks like 78. Tuesday through Thursday next week look like 58-62 and drizzle again. Slight hopes for warmer around 6-5 to 6-10 but not hopeful yet. This is a horrible locked in pattern, will it ever break ??? What will stop this stupid blocking from keep cancelling long term warmth ? Mets chime in please. Hope the news is somewhat optimistic. Is our 2014 warm season screwed and decide to get warm way too late in mid August ?? Can't wait till Pumpkin month with very dry days in the 50's, sunny skies with no back door nonsense, with fresh cP air, not this mP taint waste, near June. I am ready to declare this 2014 summer, as summer "Long Pants, where 09 left off". Nonsense. Look at what Uncle W posted yesterday--several Nino's had warm summers. Way to early to make silly proclamations such as this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted May 28, 2014 Share Posted May 28, 2014 Nonsense. Look at what Uncle W posted yesterday--several Nino's had warm summers. Way to early to make silly proclamations such as this one. This is mikehobbyist, this should be no surprise brian. He is the "sultan of swat" for americanwx with his outlandish calls, the JB of this forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted May 28, 2014 Share Posted May 28, 2014 Delicious weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted May 28, 2014 Share Posted May 28, 2014 Delicious weather. Agreed. I can dig the pattern we're in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted May 28, 2014 Author Share Posted May 28, 2014 June 1982 had a max of 55 and a min of 52 on the 13th...June 1972 had a min of 46 on the 11th...Those are bench mark record lows for mid June...I doubt we get close to those marks in June 2014...We probably will see some 90 degree days in June...even some cool years had a heat wave... year...90+ 1951...0 1957...6 1963...5 1965...5 1968...3 1972...0 1976...6 1982...0 1986...2 1991...9 1994...7 1997...5 2002...1 2004...1 2006...1 2009...0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted May 28, 2014 Share Posted May 28, 2014 Delicious weather. whats so delicious about it ? sunshine and 70's - low 80's is delicious - mostly cloudy and 60's sucks IMO this time of year............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted May 28, 2014 Share Posted May 28, 2014 whats so delicious about it ? sunshine and 70's - low 80's is delicious - mostly cloudy and 60's sucks IMO this time of year............. The A/C looks to be in the off position for the next 5 days at least, which is a nice bonus. Pretty seasonable temps heading into this weekend. Many forget that we don't average 85 degree weather at the end of May or early June, even though the unofficial start of summer has occurred. Normal highs are currently in the middle 70s, and don't reach 80 until June 15th for most. So backdoor fronts with highs in the 60s can be common right through the second week of June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted May 28, 2014 Share Posted May 28, 2014 The A/C looks to be in the off position for the next 5 days at least, which is a nice bonus. Pretty seasonable temps heading into this weekend. Many forget that we don't average 85 degree weather at the end of May or early June, even though the unofficial start of summer has occurred. Normal highs are currently in the middle 70s, and don't reach 80 until June 15th for most. So backdoor fronts with highs in the 60s can be common right through the second week of June. reason that this May has not felt like it has been 2 - 3 degrees above normal is because we get a couple days of above normal warmth and then all of a sudden we are back into days of the onshore cloudy cool flow - which does keep min temps above normal also very deceptive... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 28, 2014 Share Posted May 28, 2014 58 right now. This weather is beautiful =) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 28, 2014 Share Posted May 28, 2014 It's some 25-30 degrees cooler now versus yesterday. We won't put up big negative departures though because it was warmer much earlier today. Clearly we don't have to see 90 degree readings in May to see an above normal month. This is not hard to believe since May temps average from the 60s to mid 70s by the end of the month so 90 is well above normal and would likely set some records on most May days. It hasn't felt like a typical above normal May for the reasons described above. There's been plenty of cloudy, showery days with a ton of BDCF influence but of course the high mins could easily offset the cooler highs and a cloudy day could still be near to slightly above normal. The first half of the month also had several very warm days which aided those positive departures since early May still averages relatively cool with 60s to 40s at night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted May 28, 2014 Share Posted May 28, 2014 Such a dramatic difference from yesterday.. from HOT (86F) to 53F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted May 28, 2014 Share Posted May 28, 2014 58 right now. This weather is beautiful =) I love this weather. It's very relaxing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 28, 2014 Share Posted May 28, 2014 I love this weather. It's very relaxing. Agree. 55 now at Citifield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted May 28, 2014 Share Posted May 28, 2014 Agree. 55 now at Citifield. Still not as cold as the Mets . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 28, 2014 Share Posted May 28, 2014 Really lucked out this past Memorial weekend. Can you imagine if it was like this a couple of days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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