jm1220 Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 I'd suggest avoiding the radar and obs for the next 12 hours or so. The snow is making almost no further push north (looks to be hitting a wall around I-195 per Upton radar) and the dry air will likely eat up small snow amounts the models show on the the northern edge of the snow shield. It's been over since 0z Saturday for anyone north of Philly-just let it happen and hope Spring is finally somewhere close and the teases finally end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxnyc Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 I'd suggest avoiding the radar and obs for the next 12 hours or so. The snow is making almost no further push north and the dry air will likely eat up small snow amounts the models show on the the northern edge of the snow shield. It's been over since 0z Saturday for anyone north of Philly-just let it happen and hope Spring is finally somewhere close and the teases finally end. You have a point , staying up and imagining the snow creeping northward it just not going to help, go to sleep enjoy a restful night and whatever happens happens. After a great winter , the last few weeks are just frustrating... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 One complaint I really hope not to see from the DC/Baltimore/Richmond crew is that this winter hasn't spread the goods. In this respect this winter is nothing like 93-94. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 One complaint I really hope not to see from the DC/Baltimore/Richmond crew is that this winter hasn't spread the goods. In this respect this winter is nothing like 93-94.I was in their forum earlier..someone said this winter was even better than 09-10...which I think is nuts but they're clearly happy with this winterI'll also add that they bicker just as much if not more than our forum does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saturn510 Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Pretty amazing that the radar images will prob be a perfect match between 3/3 and tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Pretty amazing that the radar images will prob be a perfect match between 3/3 and tonight. Might even be further south this time. We had decent snow here for a little while then and we had half an inch or so. Tonight the snow seems to be refusing to crawl north of I-195. JFK's dewpoint is 4 degrees against a 33F temp, so anything less than 20dbz on radar will likely just be virga. And we had one last sucker "north bump" on the models just to prolong the misery further. Seriously-just get this storm over with already. It never gets any better seeing heavy snow echos 20-30 miles or even closer off the beach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 You must be new. Welcome. Been here longer than you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Light snow with a dusting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 ...if this was dec,jan or feb 17th i would be quite upset..radar shows snow JUST south of long island and its NOT coming north..as 'jm1220' once said the disappointments that come late in the season don't hurt as much..how true! ..as far as i'm concerned..its ok it missed...BRING ON SPRING! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Been here longer than you. Big snowstorms don't happen in the mid Atlantic during March! Climo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Light snow falling now. Dusting of snow on grassy areas and parts of the street here in Marlboro, NJ Monmouth County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Dusting in Long Beach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Great to see dca do well, but being on this northern cut off has been brutal. Very annoying ending to a great winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Just a few flakes and 23 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 At this point i wouldnt mind at all if next winter it was warm and wet. This winter really did me in with constant cold and dry. Yea we had some great snowfall totals historically speaking but even during our coldest winters we had some nice warms up periodically. This winter and now pretty much into spring has just been too much and i LOVE snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 The Euro nailed this snow threat for the East Coast 10 days ago, but the PV suppression verified stronger.The Euro correctly backed off the more northerly tracks ahead of the other guidance while CMC and GFS were printing heavier amounts. It's almost as if all the other models were a few days behind the Euro solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 The Euro nailed this snow threat for the East Coast 10 days ago, but the PV suppression verified stronger.The Euro correctly backed off the more northerly tracks ahead of the other guidance while CMC and GFS were printing heavier amounts. It's almost as if all the other models were a few days behind the Euro solutions. MSLP_North32America_240.gif Once past mid january the EURO really stepped up its game. It also nailed the february 13th storm very well too. This model and its ensembles/ control runs are downright impressive to put it lightly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikehobbyst Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Does anyone buy the control run HECS potential ?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Webcam of Wildwood. Congrats to them. http://earthcam.com/usa/newjersey/wildwood/ Does anyone buy the control run HECS potential ?? Are you serious? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 At this point i wouldnt mind at all if next winter it was warm and wet. This winter really did me in with constant cold and dry. Yea we had some great snowfall totals historically speaking but even during our coldest winters we had some nice warms up periodically. This winter and now pretty much into spring has just been too much and i LOVE snow! I think it was a very nice winter but just like in 2010-11 it faded fast for me after early Feb. Our luck was bound to change sooner or later though, there's a reason why Central Park's highest winter total was 75". Eventually either suppression or too far west gets us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Does anyone buy the control run HECS potential ?? No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Does anyone buy the control run HECS potential ?? No but anything to track at his time of year is really a bonus. I will watch it since no warm spell is in that timeframe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Does anyone buy the control run HECS potential ?? Does a bear poop in a toilet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Once past mid january the EURO really stepped up its game. It also nailed the february 13th storm very well too. This model and its ensembles/ control runs are downright impressive to put it lightly. Yeah, the Euro still has the edge at day 10 compared to the other models. A track anywhere from Cape Cod to Cape Hatteras is within the margin of error that you would expect at this range. So just showing a storm potential along the East Coast 10 days away is a nice job in my book. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mark304 Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Over 13 inches in Rockingham County, Virginia. Shenandoah Valley does well in these set ups. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Big snowstorms don't happen in the mid Atlantic during March! Climo I hope you're enjoying the snow this morning! Good thing you guys put in so much time tracking this massive storm currently impacting the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 I hope you're enjoying the snow this morning! Good thing you guys put in so much time tracking this massive storm currently impacting the region. Not because it's too warm, how much snow do your parents have this morning down in Virginia? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Not because it's too warm, how much snow do your parents have this morning down in Virginia? I think around a foot. We get 10" storms every other March or so. Mountains!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 I hope you're enjoying the snow this morning! Good thing you guys put in so much time tracking this massive storm currently impacting the region. I'm pretty sure most of us are on this forum because we actually enjoy tracking the events almost as much as the events themselves. If it misses it misses, thats all part of the fun, there was certainly a threat, which I mentioned 9 days ago and got laughed at. You act like there wasn't a storm at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 I think around a foot. We get 10" storms every other March or so. Mountains!! So the 7"+ yesterday/today at DCA really supports your climo argument. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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