Damage In Tolland Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Define ok. At least 3-6. I mean there's posters here that seem to think SNE is going to get no snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 At least 3-6. I mean there's posters here that seem to think SNE is going to get no snow lol No one has said that SNE gets no snow, lol. I've read the last like three pages this morning and didn't see anything saying that all of SNE is dry. That's like when you think by someone saying a system "favors" a certain area, that you aren't going to get any snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 The enthusiasm is waning fast. Shear-fest with a day upon day suppression. NEXT as in next weekend has greater potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 At least 3-6. I mean there's posters here that seem to think SNE is going to get no snow Maybe the New England South coast. Phil has reason to be optimistic for his area...they could do real well. For you and me...not feeling great for more than 2-3" of sublimation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Maybe the New England South coast. Phil has reason to be optimistic for his area...they could do real well. For you and me...not feeling great for more than 2-3" of sublimation. Ok ..Ill take the over..esp with the trends we're seeing. I think 6 inches is very doable Good luck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 6" for where Kevin? I could see your area getting 3" if the cards fall your way 6" in Falmouth or something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 6" for where Kevin? I could see your area getting 3" if the cards fall your way 6" in Falmouth or something To the Mass pike. I think there's a 50/50 shot of that happening. Have you not noticed the trends this morning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 1 run is not a trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzard24 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 north trend has started will cont snowstorm is coming to sne area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 To the Mass pike. I think there's a 50/50 shot of that happening. Have you not noticed the trends this morning? What trend? GFS narrowed the gap and actually lowered amounts here. RGEM isn't inspiring either. I don't think me saying 2-3" is unreasonable for you. Maybe you get 6", but that's basically wishcasting right now. Euro ensemble QPF gives you about 4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 What trend? GFS narrowed the gap and actually lowered amounts here. RGEM isn't inspiring either. I don't think me saying 2-3" is unreasonable for you. Maybe you get 6", but that's basically wishcasting right now. Euro ensemble QPF gives you about 4". Well I'm simply saying I thinp to the Pike has a chance of 6. So 3-6 would be the call for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Well I'm simply saying I thinp to the Pike has a chance of 6. So 3-6 would be the call for now Yeah I suppose it could....I just don't have any confidence. I actually would not surprise to see model QPF come north, but models also always underestimate the gradients and dry air advecting in from the north. In other words, you want to see a big jump north because I guarantee the nrn edge of this will be a virga storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 The NYC thread is easily hands down the worst. It's like weenies gone wild. you didnt know that intense wishcasting can yeild results on the models? Snow88 is going to hack the 12z this morning and insert a HECS virus. I will say this though this storm's fate will generally be decided from 6z this morning through 00z tonight, all players are literally on the playing field so barring a collective bed wetting from the models today we will know the deal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 SREFs really bumped north fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Well I'm simply saying I thinp to the Pike has a chance of 6. So 3-6 would be the call for now I think that's fair to say there's a "chance" of 6 if things bump north. Everyone should get 1-3" as the boundary sags southward (maybe more like D-2") but the main variable right now is if the better lift is able to ride back northward as the main low passes underneath. That's what'll make this go from a 2-3" to a like 5-7" in CT. Coastal brought up the good point that was brought up a couple days ago too, that the northern end will end up with a lot of virga. There will be some very dry arctic air undercutting this system with light northerly flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Too bad the NAM is unreliable. It gets a few inches to North Conway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 SREFs really bumped north fwiw. Not worth a lot, But may be the start of the north shift at 12 z for some of you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Not worth a lot, But may be the start of the north shift at 12 z for some of you Yep. We'll see what happens. I can't shake the fact that part of me thinks the NAM is onto something, but I'm hesitant into thinking the globals are that far off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Yep. We'll see what happens. I can't shake the fact that part of me thinks the NAM is onto something, but I'm hesitant into thinking the globals are that far off. Yeah, the SREFS coming northward isn't too surprising seeing how far north the NAM was at 6z with 0.75" melted QPF up to the MA/NH/VT border, lol. Slight difference there from the 6z GFS/00zECM/0zGGEM... Haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Mesos versus Globals, lets see what 12 z Brings, looking for some northward bumps to get me in some decent snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Yep. We'll see what happens. I can't shake the fact that part of me thinks the NAM is onto something, but I'm hesitant into thinking the globals are that far off. Could be one of its rare times it may have latched on to the right solution, It's to bad it's not even some what reliable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Still think BOS gets more than DCA from this.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 No one has said that SNE gets no snow, lol. I've read the last like three pages this morning and didn't see anything saying that all of SNE is dry. That's like when you think by someone saying a system "favors" a certain area, that you aren't going to get any snow. lol! Haunting words forever. Mass suicides commencing, right on track. I am not sure how high people's hopes were for this to be a MASSIVE storm, but knowing that it has been over hyped for days now gave me a definite reason to keep expectaions low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 I would be happy with just a few inches to freshen up the stale, aging glacier. Still possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Ok ..Ill take the over..esp with the trends we're seeing. I think 6 inches is very doable Good luck Every trend I see overnight has been horrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Every trend I see overnight has been horrible.You need to put on your wishcasting goggles then you will see the trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Every trend I see overnight has been horrible. Meteorology, not modelology. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Meteorology, not modelology. why Kevin ever said that, makes zero sense in a scientific way. Not going to take much of an axis shift to put much of Ryans FA in some goods, good thing its only Saturday not the night before Monday Am rush, school decision time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 I, for one, am shocked the NAM is flatter. Shocked I tell you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 why Kevin ever said that, makes zero sense in a scientific way. Not going to take much of an axis shift to put much of Ryans FA in some goods, good thing its only Saturday not the night before Monday Am rush, school decision time. It won't take much to have dim sun either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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