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Feb 15 clipper/redeveloper


ORH_wxman

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Definitely a little uneasy for a couple of reasons about this one. I like the box map, seems to reflect what a lot of people have been saying in here.

Well see what happens, but epic fail if we don't see at least 6" here

Razor sharp gradients are a double edged sword, your close to something huge, but also close to something meh

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Definitely a little uneasy for a couple of reasons about this one. I like the box map, seems to reflect what a lot of people have been saying in here.

Well see what happens, but epic fail if we don't see at least 6" here

Razor sharp gradients are a double edged sword, your close to something huge, but also close to something meh

Well sometimes it's only a 30 mile shift, so tough to call that an epic fail when it is a razor's edge. As of now...I think things are on track..just a little nervous of any nudge to the east.

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Sounds like they need to unplug their modem, wait 5 minutes, then plug it back in. That always works

 

LOL.  I had to try that the other day.  Ended up needing a new router and had to run down to Staples in the snow Thursday for a new one.  Maybe they have a Staples nearby.  :)

 

GYX is showing the Whites picking up quite a bit, but nothing just below them.  Hopefully, we'll be able to pull down a few in Bartlett.  Since the snow is currently at the level of the picnic table, I guess if we miss out, it won't matter much.

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NCEP Operational Status Message Sat Feb 15 13:08:28 2014 GMT

NOUS42 KWNO 151308

ADMNFD

SENIOR DUTY METEOROLOGIST NWS ADMINISTRATIVE MESSAGE

NWS NCEP CENTRAL OPERATIONS COLLEGE PARK MD

1303Z SAT FEB 15 2014

12Z MODEL PRODUCTION CYCLE WILL DEFINITELY BE DELAYED.. DUE TO

THE MAJOR CIRCUIT AND INTERNET SERVICE ISSUE AT THE TOC/GATEWAY..

WE ARE DELAYING THE START OF THE 12Z CYCLE RUNS.. INCLUDING THE

NAM AND RAP UPDATES.. DUE TO THE ON-GOING ISSUES AT THE

GATEWAY/TOC. THEIR VENDOR/CONTRACTOR SAYS THEIR WORK COULD TAKE

UP TO 2-3 HRS.. BUT THEY ARE ON-SITE AND WORKING ON THE ISSUE.

WE WILL UPDATE YOU AS SOON AS WE KNOW HOW LONG THE DELAY OF THE

12Z MODELS WILL BE... MOST OF THE DATA NEEDED TO RUN THE MODELS

IS NOT REACHING THE NEW WCOSS SUPER COMPUTER TO RUN THE MODELS

AND WE ARE ALSO UNABLE TO SEND PRODUCTS OUT AS WELL TO

AWIPS...VIA THE TOC/GATEWAY.

MORE INFORMATION ONCE THIS BECOMES AVAILABLE..

NEWBY/SDM/NCO/NCEP

Fire the Newby!

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Yeah quite a bit.

 

 

If you look at the 06z NAM and the 06z GFS, the one good thing as that the 06z NAM had the convection almost exclusively east of HSE at this point while the GFS was more due south of it....the GFS def seems tobe winning there.

 

 

Of course, that doesn't guarantee it ends up correct over our heads later on, but I do like seeing convection as far west as possible. If its further east, that is never good for trying to get the storm move amplify westward.

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If you look at the 06z NAM and the 06z GFS, the one good thing as that the 06z NAM had the convection almost exclusively east of HSE at this point while the GFS was more due south of it....the GFS def seems tobe winning there.

 

 

Of course, that doesn't guarantee it ends up correct over our heads later on, but I do like seeing convection as far west as possible. If its further east, that is never good for trying to get the storm move amplify westward.

 

Wake me up if it starts firing up over Greenville.  :)

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Amounts for select cities?

Maine Crew  8+

NE Mass crew 6+

Pickles Diane  Medium NEMA crew 3-6

Boston Crew 8+

Phil James Cape Cod crew 10+

Messenger Cweat Rollo Winston Polar 12+

Scooter Crew 8+

NE CT me crew 4-6

Mastif crew  3-4

Ryan  Wiz crew 2-4

LL Johnno  SW CT crew 1-3

Pete Hippy MPM GC crew  3-5

Radarman Scooby Do crew 2-4

MattMo Dendrite NH crew 2-6

PF (screw him he has like 100 inches this week)

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Maine Crew  8+

NE Mass crew 6+

Pickles Diane  Medium NEMA crew 3-6

Boston Crew 8+

Phil James Cape Cod crew 10+

Messenger Cweat Rollo Winston Polar 12+

Scooter Crew 8+

NE CT me crew 4-6

Mastif crew  3-4

Ryan  Wiz crew 2-4

LL Johnno  SW CT crew 1-3

Pete Hippy MPM GC crew  3-5

Radarman Scooby Do crew 2-4

MattMo Dendrite NH crew 2-6

PF (screw him he has like 100 inches this week)

 

Methinks (and appreciate) what I think is over-zealousness for GC, but otherwise, that lines up with my thinking.

 

What's your take for up here in Bartlett, Steve?

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