Morris Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 To me it seems that the 21z HRRR shifted the heavier snow a little more NE regarding Brooklyn. On second glance it has a lot more precipitation for Brooklyn on the 21z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Funny that the NW camp wants the RAP and those East want the HRRR. Game on! We were all winners today regardless! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 uh.. did anyone else see that flash of lighting in manhattan? You sure it was lightning, not a transformer or something? Hard to believe there would be lightning in manhatten. Im right across the hudson in Jersey City, no lightning here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUMG11 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Funny that the NW camp wants the RAP and those East want the HRRR. Game on! We were all winners today regardless! I love it! Two major storms in one. This is unreal. Soak it in folks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Honestly...the RAP has been GREAT. I have been able to time out the snow, snow rates, precip type, and banding with this model and I so far from anythjng close to a pro. Just because the RAP doesn't show the best snows over this area does not mean that it is not correct. As I said, it has been great and is supported by several other models If you look closely at it's performance in placing banding it has been too NW all winter come show time. HRRR has performed better in banding setups this winter actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 uh.. did anyone else see that flash of lighting in manhattan?city lights comingnon in all seriousness it was most likely a transformer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BL03 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 And sim radar is insane... The new HRRR has 1.3" of new liquid accumulation at EWR.Either something is really off, or we're gonna see something special tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 From what I can tell delta seems to have done a better job of managing this. They seem to be getting more flights in and out. I am flying home on a red eye from lax that leaves at 12:30 ET. Our plane was supposed to come from JFK. That flight is delayed but not canceled , but delta has already swapped ours out for another aircraft. But how will conditions look at 5:30 when we are aupposed to land? Well at least you'll be in the air and will get somewhere. My original flight was southwest and they are totally shut down from dc to NYC, no flights. Terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Weather pruf what's your thoughts for tonight Weather pruf what's your thoughts for tonight Are you serious? I'm completely ignorant. Ya gotta be pulling my leg. I don't even know what half these dudes are talking about here. But IMO it kinda looks like the late Jan 2011 storm,with a little more rain. I had 19 inches in that one all total. Ask earthlight, PB or Yanksfan if he doesn't bite your head off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I'm thinking (hoping more) for a couple of more inches later, maybe 3" where I am, maybe 4-6" further west over the city and less east. For the city and points east, I would pay close attention to the snow over SE VA currently and where that heads. It seems to be on a good enough trajectory to swipe the western half of Long Island and NYC at least for a while and pummel N NJ. Around I-287 looks good for another 6"+ maybe 8". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Yeah a little objectivity would be nice instead of pure weenie bias. Hope no one takes it that way from my end of things. I am thrilled with my foot giving me an 18-20 inch snow pack or so. I am just stating what I have observed with the RAP this winter and many mets here agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 The HRRR for Staten Island is crazy..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldalex Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Where is everyone seeing the 21z HRRR? The noaa site doesn't have it yet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Actually I am south of NYC, and was just making a subjective observation. Very unprofessional for you guys to make passive-aggressive remarks like this. Anyway this will probably be deleted by Rob, so not sure why I'm even making this post... Even if he wasn't right about you, his point was still valid. Relax. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 The 21z HRRR looked better for NYC than the 20z to me IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Are you serious? I'm completely ignorant. Ya gotta be pulling my leg. I don't even know what half these dudes are talking about here. But IMO it kinda looks like the late Jan 2011 storm,with a little more rain. I had 19 inches in that one all total. Ask earthlight, PB or Yanksfan if he doesn't bite your head off. every snowstorm there is a select few posters that are going to get there plums busted. congrats you've made the list here you go enjoy! Jm1220 that's where im focusing. that stuff looks highly convective when it gets up here and could produce some prolific rates again for several hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 You sure it was lightning, not a transformer or something? Hard to believe there would be lightning in manhatten. Im right across the hudson in Jersey City, no lightning here. power did just go out got for a bit up in ridgefield,nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=DIX&product=NCR&overlay=11101111&loop=yes look at what`s goin on off AC . Looks like that entire line is connect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Its like a boxing match tonite with the RAP in the NW corner and HRRR in the NE corner. Whatever happens, most people will likely get at least some accumulating snow, so its all good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metsfan Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 every snowstorm there is a select few posters that are going to get there plums busted. congrats you've made the list here you go enjoy! Jm1220 that's where im focusing. that stuff looks highly convective when it gets up here and could produce some prolific rates again for several hours Might be a sleet fest if those 850s don't cool down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=DIX&product=NCR&overlay=11101111&loop=yes look at what`s goin on off AC . Looks like that entire line is connect looks promising paul for the entire area, not just the typical podium finishers in snowstorms ( NJ,NYC and HV ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I just deleted a bunch of mindless banter/bickering posts. Please take that to the appropriate thread and stop cluttering this thread with garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Excuse me for using a weenie RADAR , but I just wanted show the extend of this out over the ocean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 looks promising paul for the entire area, not just the typical podium finishers in snowstorms ( NJ,NYC and HV ) The stuff off AC now is very likely going to fall here as sleet or rain. 850s are too warm. We need to pay attention to what's SW of there and where that tracks. The batch over SE VA looks like it's on a track to affect many of us for a while, but it could enhance/decline based on how the upper low performs. We want it to close off and be shunted east as much as possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Excuse me for using a weenie RADAR , but I just wanted show the extend of this out over the ocean paul that looks spectacular. as was brought up previously I hope that warm punch erodes fast and also that 500mb Low will slide east of LI so we can get the best possible setup for maximum CCB effectiveness for the entire area also the last frame of that weenie radar paul looks like it jogged east a smidge, could've been the radar playing tricks on me as well.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 The low is seriously bombing out right now off the NJ coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Boom H5 is closed off again this should help bring the precip east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesny Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On the HRRR, the qpf distribution over the 5 boros is really tight. Staten Island might get absolutely smoked while NE Queens misses out on the best stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 The 21z HRRR looked better for NYC than the 20z to me IMO Where did you get the 21z hrrr.... rap site is 20z still and that isn't even working? Could you possibly post the totals map if allowed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I don't know what we did right, but it never hit freezing here in Smithtown today. Currently at 31. The glaze on the trees looks nice in the street lights. I am thinking we could get a quick sleet bomb from some of that convection to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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