Animal Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 22 do you have an image. Seems this is my backyard. Was really not hoping for that much, but rather 1-3 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman9 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 No need to obsess over this, it is what it is. We'll just what happens I guess. Wait, but if it snows and I didn't forecast it, it didn't really happen, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjvesnow Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Well as suspected, the new HRRR 22z moved pretty far northwest in line with the RAP with the snows. A couple inches here and 10-12" Sussex/western passaic Can you show a map?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrooklynSnow97 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Well as suspected, the new HRRR 22z moved pretty far northwest in line with the RAP with the snows. A couple inches here and 10-12" Sussex/western passaic No It Did Not. It didn't come out yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoman1126 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Currently toms river moderate rain 36 degrees and lightning! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardWarning Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I got to imagine that Northern New Jersey, Connecticut and the lower Hudson valley are going to see some power outages with the rain freezing over with the heavy snow and wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I cannot stand the false observations and the constant flipping of the HRRR and RAP and the reactions when it shows less snow, PLEASE STOP and look at the radar and obs, mets please chime in more often 33F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 can you give specific precip amounts? Can't post the map, but through 7 hours, it shows 12-15" for west milford area, 2-3" for EWR and 1-2" NYC area....more coming east a tad but it will be focused over that NW area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 No It Did Not. It didn't come out yet If he has access to wxbell it may have come out. The rap site still on 21. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 No It Did Not. It didn't come out yet If he has access to wxbell it may have come out. The rap site still on 21. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Wait, but if it snows and I didn't forecast it, it didn't really happen, right? I don't know when a tree falls and slams into someone's house, does it make a sound. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I cannot stand the false observations and the constant flipping of the HRRR and RAP and the reactions when it shows less snow, PLEASE STOP and look at the radar and obs, mets please chime in more often 33F Agree, nowcasting. http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0C-1-12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 It's only midnight at hour 7. There is still plenty of time for areas further east. People need to realize this before posting that NYC gets shafted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 If he has access to wxbell it may have come out. The rap site still on 21. Yes, it's out, but quite honestly, although it brings the heavy snows way NW, it all appears very warm. The 32 line stays NW the entire duration it seems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Yes, it's out, but quite honestly, although it brings the heavy snows way NW, it all appears very warm. The 32 line stays NW the entire duration it seems What about our friends further south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 It's only midnight at hour 7. There is still plenty of time for areas further east. People need to realize this before posting that NYC gets shafted. Sorry, didn't mean to infer that NYC gets shafted. And yes...it's out to 9 or so and did add an inch or two to EWR and NYC....but for the most part, unlike it's previous runs, the big stuff stays far NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Yes, it's out, but quite honestly, although it brings the heavy snows way NW, it all appears very warm. The 32 line stays NW the entire duration it seems Yeah, I think the concern for a lot of the region is that the heavy precipitation occurs before it flips to snow. Regardless, looks like a crazy few hours of weather might be on the way later tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 With temperatures at 850 mb not progged to fall back to zero before 1 AM in my area (N. Shore central L.I.)...I wouldn't expect any snow here before then..though, some sleet certainly is possible. By the time it cools aloft, much of the heaviest stuff will likely have moved away / or off to my north...still, can't complain after a foot of new snow during the morning hours. I always raise the possibility that we might get fortunate and get clipped by a several inches, (I definitely think there will be at least an inch or two overnight here)..but I'm not as optimistic as I was for the 1st half of the storm...which panned out rather nicely in these parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 22 z HRRR are coming out on WB now , Precip is way west , but its 850`s are plus 8 in CNJ where its plus 4 now . So its precip shield is west of where the current radar is now . Its drier thru the Delmarva from what`s there now . So it works more dry air at the coast where there`s heavy precip breaking out now . That's how I see it - and the 850`s are noticeable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 It's only midnight at hour 7. There is still plenty of time for areas further east. People need to realize this before posting that NYC gets shafted. This...it gets plenty of precip the question how much of what type Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Based on current observations down in the DC area, or radar trends, seems pretty clear that the actual band that comes through overnight will be rather narrow and intense. It should move more south to north than east to west as the closed 500mb low slides SE of LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 22 z HRRR are coming out on WB now , Precip is way west , but its 850`s are plus 8 in CNJ where its plus 4 now . So its precip shield is west of where the current radar is now . Its drier thru the Delmarva from what`s there now . So it works more dry air at the coast where there`s heavy precip breaking out now . That's how I see it - and the 850`s are noticeable doesn't make sense according to current radar trends to be honest paul Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 I cannot stand the false observations and the constant flipping of the HRRR and RAP and the reactions when it shows less snow, PLEASE STOP and look at the radar and obs, mets please chime in more often 33F Thank you. That bickering between the two models is giving me nausea and palpitations. Why don't they just take a compromise and be done with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 What about our friends further south? The HRRR at 0200 shows pockets of 20-30 inches new over Orange, Putnam, and a bit of Sussex on WxBell lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Yeah, I think the concern for a lot of the region is that the heavy precipitation occurs before it flips to snow. Regardless, looks like a crazy few hours of weather might be on the way later tonight. You hit the nail on the head there....as the heaviest pushes through, per the HRRR, it is just too warm to be snow for much of NENJ/NYC, etc....NW NJ gets heavier banding as well as the advantage of cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Wow huge gust of wind just worked its way through here in western bergen county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Based on current observations down in the DC area, or radar trends, seems pretty clear that the actual band that comes through overnight will be rather narrow and intense. It should move more south to north than east to west as the closed 500mb low slides SE of LI. if it moves east how would the band move south to north instead of east to west? your telling me it would move further away from the low as the low would be moving the other way??? to have the banding actually move across NYC-LI in its entirety it would take an east-west track as the 500mb low slides east under LI. that's what happened in 2002 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 doesn't make sense according to current radar trends to be honest paul It`s Possible , the euro shows it, I just read it a little different Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Really bad ice problem right now, every plowed road is a sheet of ice in nyack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 23 HRRR shifts west and more in line with RAP now with heaviest snows in this area being over nw nj and central nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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