SACRUS Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 With 9.5" snow so far, Central Park has now reached 50" snowfall for the winter. Winter 2013-14 is only the 17th winter on record with 50" or more snow in New York City. Records go back to 1869-70. The prior winters with 50" or more snowfall were: Separately, Islip has also surpassed 50" seasonal snowfall. Bridgeport and Islip have all recorded daily record snowfall amounts. Data for Newark, JFK, and LGA are not yet on the PNS, but all three sites also very likely broke their daily snowfall records, too. Central Park needs another 1.3" to break its daily record of 10.7", which was set in 1899. Great info thanks Don Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Wow at 10-11pm the RAP is 3-4" per hour snow in NWNJ with nothing falling in NYC....I see earthlight's concern about it shifting west, which it is. It looks like 10"+ for them. They really get hammered again How is it verifying compared to current conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 For a 3 hour period, 0.8" qpf all snow around NW NJ, a little under 0.25" qpf mostly snow around NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 How is it verifying compared to current conditions. I really think it's been awesome. Most indications are for this band to set up around NW NJ anyway, so it's not surprising Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SleetStormNJ Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 RAP is jumping around too much for my liking. Not sure I want to run with any particular solution it shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Wow at 10-11pm the RAP is 3-4" per hour snow in NWNJ with nothing falling in NYC....I see earthlight's concern about it shifting west, which it is. It looks like 10"+ for them. They really get hammered again I think the RAP's snowfall further east is mainly inhibited by temperatures, rather than a lack of precip. There is more precip further west, yes, but it's not like NYC is in a dry-slot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 For a 3 hour period, 0.8" qpf all snow around NW NJ, a little under 0.25" qpf mostly snow around NYC Based on OBS, the HRRR is running too warm for the 850s. If anything, nowcasting will determine the situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm chaser Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 So basically this looks like it could be Nowcasting as to where to heaviest bands set up as it seems HRRR and Rap have them in Different spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 My temp is down almost 2 degrees from a high of 34.6 earlier. Trumbull CT. Light snizzle at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 HRRR looks to be too wet and too far east. I like the RAP much better right now. There's no way atlantic county see's 20" of new snow as advertised by the HRRR. The RAP looks more reasonable and looks better aligned with the current radar and the EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metsfan Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 How is it verifying compared to current conditions. Not too good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 HRRR looks to be too wet and too far east. I like the RAP much better right now. There's no way atlantic county see's 20" of new snow as advertised by the HRRR. The RAP looks more reasonable and looks better aligned with the current radar and the EURO. Very true and good point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I think the RAP's snowfall further east is mainly inhibited by temperatures, rather than a lack of precip. There is more precip further west, yes, but it's not like NYC is in a dry-slot. Yea good point does some1 have the sim radar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metsfan Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 HRRR looks to be too wet and too far east. I like the RAP much better right now. There's no way atlantic county see's 20" of new snow as advertised by the HRRR. The RAP looks more reasonable and looks better aligned with the current radar and the EURO. The HRRR is matching up better with the current convection down in the Delmarva. Forky posted on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 It's actually been ZR here for an hour or so. Coating all the snow nicely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 its pretty clear looking at the radar the deform zone is going to set up west of NYC...maybe the metro region will get side swiped with 1-2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Doesn't the HRRR run from the RAP?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 HRRR looks to be too wet and too far east. I like the RAP much better right now. There's no way atlantic county see's 20" of new snow as advertised by the HRRR. The RAP looks more reasonable and looks better aligned with the current radar and the EURO. No need for locations... it's so easy to deduce where people are from based on their posts... gonna guess you are in NWNJ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Radar is starting to blow up over the ocean now just like the HRRR has Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 The HRRR is matching up better with the current convection down in the Delmarva. Forky posted on this. Agreed but it is coming in too warm and (maybe even overly wet as a result) when aligning it with current conditions. NWS says I will see 18-24 total for the storm. I guess I'll just ride them as I have this whole storm lol. I'd just need 5 inches to hit 18 anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 No need for locations... it's so easy to deduce where people are from based on their posts... gonna guess you are in NWNJ? haha thought the same thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 its pretty clear looking at the radar the deform zone is going to set up west of NYC...maybe the metro region will get side swiped with 1-2" You're west - called it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjvesnow Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 RAP is over an inch more precip for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 HRRR has sort of been dead on with this storm so far imo. I would like to see latest HRRR model runs and see if they shift towards the RAP. Right now the HRRR looks almost identical to the current radar(forky posted the comparison the previous page). It could very well be too wet, just like the RAP could very well be too dry. Maybe they'll compromise and blend out, which would still be a decent snowfall over the tri-state area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Radar is starting to blow up over the ocean now just like the HRRR has RAP showed that too, but that precip will mostly fall as a mix, not snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Radar is starting to blow up over the ocean now just like the HRRR has You're east! Knew that from before, but helps to have confirmation... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metsfan Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 its pretty clear looking at the radar the deform zone is going to set up west of NYC...maybe the metro region will get side swiped with 1-2" Not so sure about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 You're west - called it! You win the Find a Weenie of the Day award! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 You're east! Knew that from before, but helps to have confirmation... Haha you're figuring everyone out huh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 There's move convection developing off SNJ/DE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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