powderfreak Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grb-comp.cgi?re=ne&mo=ukmet&va=csfcpr&ft=h24&cu=latest≥=800x630&ti=UTC&id=&zoom=.6 http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grb-comp.cgi?re=ne&mo=ukmet&va=csfcpr&ft=h30&cu=latest≥=800x630&ti=UTC&id=&zoom=.6 http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grb-comp.cgi?re=ne&mo=ukmet&va=csfcpr&ft=h36&cu=latest≥=800x630&ti=UTC&id=&zoom=.6 Oh man that last image is sweet. Rocking up here.The location seems similar to the RGEM for that CCB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanjn Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Plymouth, NH does better with clippers than coastal lows. I used to take the low end of an NWS forecast and subtract 2 as a rule of thumb for coastals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I know not much weight is given to HPC here. But did anyone see the scatter plots for the kicker low? The last plot was ridiculously all over the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Plymouth, NH does better with clippers than coastal lows. I used to take the low end of an NWS forecast and subtract 2 as a rule of thumb for coastals. Having spent a number of years there myself, they do best with SWFEs with a light low-level wind field or a bit of a SE wind. The N and NE downslope during coastals will often downslope that area a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Having spent a number of years there myself, they do best with SWFEs with a light low-level wind field or a bit of a SE wind. The N and NE downslope during coastals will often downslope that area a bit. What's your general feeling for the Berks and Pioneer Valley? Models have stayed fairyl consistent giving Berks great backlash but even keeping Northampton to Brattleboro in some decent snows tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 GGEM hammers the front end hard. Also looks like it went east some with the backlash...really hits central MA and NH hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 GGEM hammers the front end hard. Also looks like it went east some with the backlash...really hits central MA and NH hard. Where do you get your CMC data from? Meteo site isn't loaded yet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Where do you get your CMC data from? Meteo site isn't loaded yet... I'm getting mine from WSI which is a vendor. But its alreayd out on this site too: http://weather.gc.ca/model_forecast/global_e.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I'm getting mine from WSI which is a vendor. But its alreayd out on this site too: http://weather.gc.ca/model_forecast/global_e.html GGEM hits NE Ma pretty good too with several inches. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Pete Bouchard is still extremely bullish, heavy snow all the way into Boston on the backend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 GEM is crazy cold. 850 at ORH and possibly Hartford up to Lowell below zero. Never gets NYC over zero. Final track might be just outside of ack and then up into the GOM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 GEM is crazy cold. 850 at ORH and possibly Hartford up to Lowell below zero. Never gets NYC over zero. There is certainly some cold air to work with, I'm currently at 10F so not exactly a "rotting air mass". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 There is certainly some cold air to work with, I'm currently at 10F so not exactly a "rotting air mass".that whole mantra is annoying especially with HP rebuilding in Quebec Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 When was the last decent back ender /stinger? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 When was the last decent back ender /stinger? Feb blizzard last year had one between about 3-5am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 When was the last decent back ender /stinger? I was wondering the same thing. Usually they fade quickly over the Taconics, S Dacks and Berkshires. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 More of a schematic than a precise map, just thinking that a broad swath of 20-30" snowfalls could result across n/c CT, w/c MA s VT and inland s/c NH into Maine. Mount Tolland 15" BOS and PVD likely to be 3-5 inches snow followed by prolonged sleet, rain back to all snow for a couple more inches at end of event. Good luck everybody. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Feb blizzard last year had one between about 3-5am. Right, stayed up until about 1am and remember thinking good storm but only about 14-16" max. Awoke to 22" The biggest storm for me since I moved out of Cambridge in 2007 although Oct 2011 was more impressive for obvious seasonal reasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Wow, big moisture moving up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Wow, big moisture moving up the coast. HRRR is insane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdgraves Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Finally seeing some consistent "forecasts" - gonna go ahead and expect 10". Right, stayed up until about 1am and remember thinking good storm but only about 14-16" max. Awoke to 22" The biggest storm for me since I moved out of Cambridge in 2007 although Oct 2011 was more impressive for obvious seasonal reasons. In Maine that thing was like a non-stop two day event. When it finally slowed down, I looked outside and didn't think there was much on the ground, then realized that I couldn't see any parking meters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Lol new HRR has me with 11 OTG and directly under a 2-3 band, crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Lol new HRR has me with 11 OTG and directly under a 2-3 band, crazy hrr does me good on the backside. some of it may be wet but thats still impressive. im feeling good. didnt it do pretty good with the swfe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Euro absolutely goes bonkers with the front end thump...esp for eastern areas. Way more impressive than 12z. Prob like 10-12" at least 128 belt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 hrr does me good on the backside. some of it may be wet but thats still impressive. im feeling good. didnt it do pretty good with the swfe? it only goes out to 15?, look at this inflow, Berkshires are going to get lit up http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/displayMapLocalDiskDateDomainZip.cgi?keys=hrrr_jet:&runtime=2014021303&plot_type=wind_t3850&fcst=15&time_inc=60&num_times=16&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR%20Model%20Fields%20-%20Experimental&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&domain=t3&adtfn=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Euro absolutely goes bonkers with the front end thump...esp for eastern areas. Way more impressive than 12z. Prob like 10-12" at least 128 belt.yikes, Will look at HRRR wow, hope you get to ORH,http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/displayMapLocalDiskDateDomainZip.cgi?keys=hrrr_jet:&runtime=2014021303&plot_type=wind_t3850&fcst=15&time_inc=60&num_times=16&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR%20Model%20Fields%20-%20Experimental&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&domain=t3&adtfn=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Euro also shifted E again a bit with the CCB stuff....looks like NH gets it better and GC and maybe N ORH and Monads and southern Greens than they did on 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Is Bos borderline wrt thump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Is Bos borderline wrt thump Its like right at 32F for BOS at 18z...its colder than the 12z run which wanted to be more like 34F. Prob has to do with being much more intense. Though the low is a bit SE of 12z too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Euro also shifted E again a bit with the CCB stuff....looks like NH gets it better and GC and maybe N ORH and Monads and southern Greens than they did on 12z. All snow not far from ORH me thinks on my charts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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