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The Big One - Forecast & Discussion


Wow

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@57 it's turning. Wild look with 2m and 850's. Colder than 6z run on the SV map it has a loop around WNC of sub freezing 2m temps. 

 

The leading wave is much weaker and going to put its stock in the GOM low at 57.   The precip popping over N AL and GA is ours.

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DOn't know if the NAM will do it.. but the 5h looks primed for a bomb still.

moisture transport seems to really be effected by that stronger convective blob over south ga/al. I hope that area is overdone and it's just convective feedback but since the gfs has been showing this, I'm starting to think it's going to be real.

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much further south and east at 60 with a sharper NW cutoff of precip......look to be around an inch of qpf drier in the western carolinas and NE ga

 

I don't think there's going to be a significantly less amount of precipitation for western areas.  I just think it's slowing down in it's time to get here.  This storm is really starting to crank up at hour 60.

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