Baum Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Quite the pattern change...P Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 .8" with the predawn snow and 4.2" with the main event. Not bad considering was stuck in a doughnut hole of zero snow for close to 45 mins and the event was less than 5 hrs. same ole boring ugly hood shots after the snow ended and nothing real exciting about taking or posting 4.2" weenie shots so only gonna post a couple so not to bore and clog up a page of the thread. Some great pics in this thread and thanks so much for sharing them. Nice good size mood+ flake snows for the past 15 mins or so... Good luck to those inline for this one yet tonight! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 .8" with the predawn snow and 4.2" with the main event. Not bad considering was stuck in a doughnut hole of zero snow for close to 45 mins and the event was less than 5 hrs. same ole boring ugly hood shots after the snow ended and nothing real special about taking or posting 4" weenie shot so only gonna post a couple so not to bore and clog up a page of the thread. Some great pics in this thread and thanks so much for sharing them. Nice good size mood+ flake snows for the past 15 mins or so... Good luck to those inline for this one yet tonight! Nice pics Bowme and co. Glad this guy performed as expected or better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Lol at throwing in the towel when the storm hasnt even started yet. Its classic SE MI posters. Never has changed, and never will. Its funny that everyone cant wait for the models to come out fast enough, but then they dont look at them. NAM hasnt had snow starting here til 8pm for I dont know how many runs. A very quick hitting heavy snowstorm is on the way with some residual light snow overnight perhaps. 3-6" was a good call and is a good call. Starting with an average snowpack of 16". Epic winter night ahead. Oh and excellent pics to all!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Snow pretty much done now. Looks like we'll finish with 4" even. I was really pulling for you to get 6". Whats your depth like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 //DISCUSSION... AS SNOW FILTERS INTO SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN TAF SITES ARE RAPIDLY GOING FROM VFR TO VLIFR IN LESS THAN AN HOUR AS MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW TRACK THROUGH THE REGION. DESPITE THE METRO AIRPORTS CURRENTLY SITTING AT VFR PLAN TO START THE TAFS AT LIFR TEMPO VLIFR GIVEN THE VERY FAST TRANSITION UPSTREAM SITES HAVE EXPERIENCED AS CONDITIONS TANK QUICKLY. THE MAIN SITE WHERE THIS WILL BE AN EXCEPTION IS DET GIVEN THE ARE FURTHER NORTHEAST THAN DTW AND YIP. EXPECT THESE CONDITIONS TO LAST THROUGH THE EVENING WITH IMPROVEMENT AFTER MIDNIGHT WHEN SNOW BECOMES LIGHTER. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE TO MVFR LATE TONIGHT AND EVENTUALLY TO VFR TUESDAY MORNING AS THE LOW TRACKS TO THE EAST AS WINDS PICK UP BEHIND THE LOW. EXPECT A WIDESPREAD 3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW...WITH 5 TO 8 INCHES AT MBS. FOR DTW...VFR CONDITIONS WILL DROP QUICKLY BELOW 1000 FEET AND 1SM BETWEEN 00 AND 01Z WITH ONSET OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW. RATES WILL THEN INCREASE RAPIDLY WITH UP TO AN INCH PER HOUR EXPECTED AT PEAK INTENSITY 00Z-04Z. TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF 3-6 INCHES THAT HAS BEEN CALLED FOR WILL LIKELY VERIFY CLOSER TO THE 6 INCH END OF THE RANGE. //DTW THRESHOLD THREATS... * HIGH CONFIDENCE IN CEILING BELOW 5000 FT LATE THROUGH TONIGHT. * HIGH CONFIDENCE IN PRECIPITATION TYPE AS SNOW. * MEDIUM CONFIDENCE IN VISIBILITY 1/2 MILE OR LESS IN HEAVY SNOW DURING THE EVENING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 5.1" total here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Im not throwing in the towel, however this dry air is eating away a lot of our prcp to the west.. Honestly I didn't see the dry air becoming this big of a problem... Very windy outside tho..winds have picked up drastically.. What is weird is how the dry air came in AFTER the column was saturated and precip rates reaching the ground were quite impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Parachutes with this last band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 dang for some reason I looked at radar and that small band rotating in from sw means a lil business. might be able to tack on close to a half inch if lucky. was just going to go kick back and get away from this thing after pulling an allnighter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Seems like every sucker hole and dry slot found Detroit early in this event, but that is all good because I am awake now, and it should be snowing very hard within the hour. I'm sure we probably burned an inch or so off our totals but it will still be a decent event nonetheless. Considering how great our winter has been, bound to have one potential under performer (still not set in stone on this). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Did some pre-storm depth measurments. The notable sculpted drifts are 20-30", but the more "average" snow depth has many spots of 18-21" but also spots as low as 10-13", thats why 16" is what I am going at as a good average. But whats crazy is that, say we get 4" of snow...I will be calling depth 20", but there will be many sections with over 2 feet on the ground, and this will be a powerball special quick hitter...so epic winter night ahead!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Wunderground radar im watching had a lightning sensor trigger east of lansing dunno how accurate those are never really watch them except today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 for YYZ: HRRR: 3-6" RAP: 4-6" SREF Mean: 5.7" I'll lock in 4-6" as my final call. Probably towards the high end of that range as the SREF mean has been kicking ass lately. Agree with the 4-6" range. Hires models have really bumped up totals compared to this morning. HRRR wants to put a 0.6-0.7" bullseye northeast of the city along the oak ridges. SSE flow should help out a lot... not going to last long but should pack a punch between 1-4am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Dewpoint and temp are going opposite directions in SE Michigan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Our luck had to run out sometime..but we'll still get plenty of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Agree with the 4-6" range. Hires models have really bumped up totals compared to this morning. HRRR wants to put a 0.6-0.7" bullseye northeast of the city along the oak ridges. SSE flow should help out a lot... not going to last long but should pack a punch between 1-4am. Only concern I have (I think you mentioned it a few days ago) is that the storm make peak and little early and tend to fall apart a bit as it heads towards us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 BG went from SN+ to sleet to ZR back to SN+ in roughly 15 minutes. All snow now, somewhere around 2" now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 7.1" off 0.66" liquid in Peotone per a Co-Op reporter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Snow onset, visibility decreasing pretty rapidly now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 509 PM CST MON FEB 17 2014 .TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON .DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE. ..REMARKS.. 0501 PM HEAVY SNOW CREST HILL 41.57N 88.11W 02/17/2014 M6.6 INCH WILL IL COCORAHS SNOWFALL SO FAR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 What is weird is how the dry air came in AFTER the column was saturated and precip rates reaching the ground were quite impressive. Totally Bizzare ... this is the first time I have ever seen something like this. It was near white conditions here about an hour ago and now what 'FN' storm ... HEAVY VERGA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 I was really pulling for you to get 6". Whats your depth like? Looks like about 11-12". Bottom few inches is pure glacier that originates back to Dec 8th. Excellent snow cover winter to be sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 1250 posts. No round 2? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Snow onset, visibility decreasing pretty rapidly now. Looks like I got up just in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mjwise Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Snow onset, visibility decreasing pretty rapidly now. I left work near ARB at 7pm to light snow. It takes me about 7 minutes to get home a few miles due east. By the time I got home, it was SN+ with ~1/8 mile visibility and with at least a quarter inch on the ground. Very quick uptick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 1250 posts. No round 2? Doesn't pay at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 this band of 20's rolling through making up for that doughnut hole earlier. almost as calm winds as and quiet as can be (well besides the plow guy banging away on the driveway) out and the snow just raining straight down - that's a rare thing for here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Well it doesn't look like TSSN is going to happen and the death band looks to be diminishing in intensity. What a let down given all of the upstream observations today and what the models progged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 18, 2014 Author Share Posted February 18, 2014 4.7" at ORD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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