Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Right now it looks like a pretty intense band forms out over the water late tonight and swings down mainly missing....we get some snow showers and as the system develops a nice band of snow forms and missed mainly to the south. Little nip and tuck and hopefully things can improve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Right now it looks like a pretty intense band forms out over the water late tonight and swings down mainly missing....we get some snow showers and as the system develops a nice band of snow forms and missed mainly to the south. Little nip and tuck and hopefully things can improve. The hi resolution NAM model hits Cape Cod and Nantucket with the snow band tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 SREFs came in with a SLP track between Nantucket and 40/70 benchmark. Right now I favor a track between Nantucket and 40/70 benchmark with around .25-.50" of QPF in eastern MA. I would go with a 2-5" snowfall with the potential for 4-6" across Cape Cod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New Englander Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 SREFs came in with a SLP track between Nantucket and 40/70 benchmark. Right now I favor a track between Nantucket and 40/70 benchmark with around .25-.50" of QPF in eastern MA. I would go with a 2-5" snowfall with the potential for 4-6" across Cape Cod. That would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 1-2" seems reasonable, hoping mid week add another 6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
educate Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 The main vort that drops the heavy precip on the GFS doesn't come through until 36+ hours, the radar you're seeing now is from a different vort. Agree. Just wondering if the more saturated environment will yield a somewhat better result when the more powerful(?) feature comes through later tomorrow. Just grasping at straws, I know, but this winter has wanted to overperform all winter imby so we will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Crapping out here at the end. Flurries/dusting maybe an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 GFS about the same.cut back a bit nice.1-3 srefs look good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 No changes on BOX new map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 No changes on BOX new map nice refresher mood flakes to continue deep deep winter this week, cold too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 I'll go C-1" with a spot 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 I'll go C-1" with a spot 2". Just looked things over for the first time and that's exactly what I did with the map I just made! We're lucky there is some pretty decent lift with this, especially from the >125kt 300mb jet streak in which we are in the left exit region. Not much moisture associated with this and the column will be somewhat dry but the lift will really work to squeeze out whatever the atmosphere has. This is what I came up with: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Coating to 1" is my forecast. Meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Coating to 1" is my forecast. Meh. I was a bit shocked at some of the 3'' ranges out there...I saw alot of 1-3'' forecasts but when I looking at bufkit the atmosphere was quite dry. Not a whole ton of moisture available here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 I was a bit shocked at some of the 3'' ranges out there...I saw alot of 1-3'' forecasts but when I looking at bufkit the atmosphere was quite dry. Not a whole ton of moisture available here.most places will get at least an inch and many will have 2. Tomorrow night is when most of it will fall as the vorticity moves right overhead. This is a classic example of not basing ideas off Qpf output Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 most places will get at least an inch and many will have 2. Tomorrow night is when most of it will fall as the vorticity moves right overhead. This is a classic example of not basing ideas off Qpf output The atmosphere is bone dry...alot of precipitation is going to end up evaporating...the column really never becomes all that moist. Very strong lift is the savior here for any snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 I think tomorrow will have sucker holes too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 The atmosphere is bone dry...alot of precipitation is going to end up evaporating...the column really never becomes all that moist. Very strong lift is the savior here for any snow snow shouldn't have any trouble starting once radar fills in late tomorrow afternoon. Could even see moderate bursts from time to time tomorrow nite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 I think tomorrow will have sucker holes too. Yeah it's not a defined precipitation shield we will be dealing with. More like scattered snow showers/squalls with intensity ranging from like light to perhaps moderate. Maybe like broken band like...not sure how to describe it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 snow shouldn't have any trouble starting once radar fills in late tomorrow afternoon. Could even see moderate bursts from time to time tomorrow nite I don't disagree with your last part. I just don't think we are looking at a precip shield...more broken areas of precip and moisture is lacking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 I don't disagree with your last part. I just don't think we are looking at a precip shield...more broken areas of precip and moisture is lacking It would seem we would see a solid shield of snow move in from Pa and NY state late afternoon/ early evening . Mostly light with embedded bursts and if you're lucky to get under those bursts you see 2 or 3 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 1-2" if we are lucky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 It would seem we would see a solid shield of snow move in from Pa and NY state late afternoon/ early evening . Mostly light with embedded bursts and if you're lucky to get under those bursts you see 2 or 3 inches I can't disagree with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfastx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 I'd be thrilled with two inches. Satisfied with one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 I think tomorrow will have sucker holes too. Can we even call them sucker holes , considering the forecast amounts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 http://www.erh.noaa.gov/aly/Past/Snow_PNS/StormTotalSnowWebFcst.png Not sur if any posted this already, albany a bit bullish Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 I'm going to take the under on two inches. C-1 seems good. Wouldn't be surprised if someone sees two. Also wouldn't be surprised if someone sees zip as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 SREFs keep slicing and dicing AWT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 I don't know where the 1-3" thinking is that they have in the zfp and p/c up here. Maybe in southern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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