NortheastPAWx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Once again the GFS has the GL low affect the run. Until that feature is completely gone from the GFS or at least held further back, nothing will be set in stone. Very interesting runs coming next 24-36 hours. I'd say by tomorrow night with sampling of all major players on the field we'll start to get a better idea We need that GL low completely gone to have any chance I think...any influence and it's an I-95 storm at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 This completely annoys me. Too early to make that map. Nothing is set in stone by any means. Irresponsible really. I'm not a fan at all of S&S Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 We need that GL low completely gone to have any chance I think...any influence and it's an I-95 storm at best. Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I'm surprised S&S doesn't have a full-blown snowmap out yet lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 It would be okay if it was deep in the pages of some forum, but people don't know better nowadays. One of the reasons why I'm not a huge fan of social media. I very rarely use social media except twitter to follow sports news and gaming news. I don't do FB at all. People are so out of touch with understanding weather, they become drones and will believe anything anyone tells them that sounds accurate. I tell people all the time how the weather is going to be and they'll come back at me with, "Well I heard from some guy on FB..." I stop them right there and tell them that just because some guy says one thing it's going to happen. Get your information from the National weather service. They might be a pain to us because of how slow they can be to pull the trigger, but at least they are very knowledgeable and trust worthy source of information. I would rather people follow NWS and have them be slightly off with the weather then someone who consistently goes all apocalyptic on us for every event. It really is sad. One of the best meteorologists to follow for the Mid-Atlantic imo has been Justin Berk. He has been spot on this winter and his quick analysis is easy for the public to understand and he explains himself very well into terms people can grasp on to. He is not doom and gloom, but very up beat and actually responds to people in a civil matter unlike DT from Virginia. I love this forum because there are actual meteorologists on here that give their synopsis in a more technical way which is what I'm trying to learn as a met major at Millersville. I'm really starting to grasp key elements better and I'm very thankful for some of the stuff I have learned on American (heavy_wx does make my head spin sometimes on how much he knows. Well done ). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Boy the rest of the non-GFS guidance should be interesting to see tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 UK apparently is 985 to the BM. Ick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 UK apparently is 985 to the BM. Ick.How did it get there though??? If it crossed Norfolk vs 50 miles off hatteras is a huge difference. At least for those of us further east in pa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 How did it get there though??? If it crossed Norfolk vs 50 miles off hatteras is a huge difference. At least for those of us further east in pa. Probably would need a map at hr84 to tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Well, the Canadian looks a bit more reasonable being approximately 30 mb weaker than the 12z run as it's passing off the Jersey coast. A little bit further NW with precip into PA but only really gets it into parts of the LSV (mainly south of Harrisburg). Tracks just off the coast from SC to the benchmark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Euro to 78hr, .1-.25 just arriving into most of southern pa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Euro is a bomb for us. 1-2 feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Oh my, if our Sus Valley gang was awake. Euro killing it through 96. Decent precip back to UNV and IPT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Oh my, if our Sus Valley gang was awake. Euro killing it through 96. Decent precip back to UNV and IPT. Nuked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meteo Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Mag whats it look like for us here near Altoona? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 My god!! What a storm that would be! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Southern tier counties around 2" QPF all snow, .6" to UNV/IPT. Pretty much goodbye folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laurel Highlands Wx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 The GFS must be an anti-social model. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Mag whats it look like for us here near Altoona? Looked like at least a half to 3/4" QPF for Altoona.. prob at least a half inch for UNV, I'll know here in a sec when text data on Accupro gets there. But I have seen the initial maps already, its a big one on the Euro for south central and eastern PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meteo Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Mag thanks for the info I appreciate all you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 NAM and Euro agree... look out EE effect! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Totals per region True Central UNV - 0.62" AOO - 0.93" JST - 0.71" IPT - 0.69" FIG - 0.3" LSV gang MDT - 1.83" LNS - 1.92" THV - 2.12" Pittsburgh gang PIT - <0.1" LBE - 0.48" AGC (Allegheny Co Airport) - 0.21" Northeast AVP - 1.17 MPO (Mount Pocono) - 1.3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vogan Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Totals per region True Central UNV - 0.62" AOO - 0.93" JST - 0.71" IPT - 0.69" FIG - 0.3" LSV gang MDT - 1.83" LNS - 1.92" THV - 2.12" Pittsburgh gang PIT - <0.1" LBE - 0.48" AGC (Allegheny Co Airport) - 0.21" Northeast AVP - 1.17 MPO (Mount Pocono) - 1.3" Ok, now you have my full attention! KU - check! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Did anyone see DT's first guess map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Lol 2" qpf. Models are drunk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I'm just playing a wait and see game here. I don't think anything is on or off the table at this point...except for that crazy 1993 redux article. Now that was ridiculous. Personally, I think anything from an LSV/I-81 special to a glancing blow is certainly within the realm of possibilities at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vogan Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/snow-and-ice/rsi/nesis Apparently the northeast has seen 3 KU storms this season already. Interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Totals per region True Central UNV - 0.62" AOO - 0.93" JST - 0.71" IPT - 0.69" FIG - 0.3" LSV gang MDT - 1.83" LNS - 1.92" THV - 2.12" Pittsburgh gang PIT - <0.1" LBE - 0.48" AGC (Allegheny Co Airport) - 0.21" Northeast AVP - 1.17 MPO (Mount Pocono) - 1.3" The CCB look on the Euro run is just beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Holy chit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Don't look at Mount Holly's preliminary snow map if you're an I-95 snow hater...lol Of course they are disclamering the hell out of it as being very preliminary, and that it's based on current model guidance, AND that it will likely be adjusted between now and the actual event, but.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.