1/21 Clipper that's not a Clipper Thread

[MN Transplant]

Best 700 vv has shifted north to, guess where, northern MD.

[Mrs.J]

Well this is what I get for cleaning my house over the weekend and spending time with the family and not paying attention to the weather. 

 

Looking like one of the last two snow days will be used tomorrow up here if this pans out. Also looks like I am on deck to let my husband know if it is worth going into work tomorrow. 

[mitchnick]

That finger on the NAM brings back bad memories of December.  This should be better 

yeah it does.....you can see it's trending north with the shield

[mitchnick]

Best 700 vv has shifted north to, guess where, northern MD.

at 24 hrs., it's snowing just sw of NYC and a flake hasn't even fallen imby

[PhineasC]

Best 700 vv has shifted north to, guess where, northern MD.

I guess poor sparky will need his show shovel after all.

[stormtracker]

yeah it does.....you can see it's trending north with the shield

It gets better

[NorthArlington101]

SREF plumes have gone mad, mean is 9.16 for DCA.

 

lol.

[snowfan]

Best 700 vv has shifted north to, guess where, northern MD.

no surprise there. Someone up there will get 8-10.

[DCAlexandria]

Simmer down weenies the 700 will shift 50 miles here or there over the day. Nothing set in stone

[MN Transplant]

Still ends up a healthy run for most.  Near 0.4" at the airports. 6-7" of snow on the IWM algorithm.

[Ji]

the NAM appears to be on board

[AmericanWxFreak]

Just got NAM'd. Looks much wetter to my weenie eyes

[MN Transplant]

SREF plumes have gone mad, mean is 9.16 for DCA.

 

lol.

 

You have to throw out the outliers, which was basically the entire ARW suite the last time I looked at them.

[stormtracker]

Yall should wait for the model to run before worrying.  The NAM is fine.  I'm out to 36

[mitchnick]

It gets better

sure does...

[87storms]

Wet

[TowsonWeather]

NAM is going to be good...really good.

[AlexD]

snow maps from a couple of our own:

 

Ellinwood and snowdude (met in Salisbury)

snow dude is wmdt's meteorologist?didnt know that, awesome,!

[needbiggerboat]

9z srefs remain bullish on the mean

[Ji]

if DCA cant break 2 from this

 

 

[mitchnick]

this run of the NAM looks about as close to the RGEM's 0Z run as you could expect to see

[NorthArlington101]

You have to throw out the outliers, which was basically the entire ARW suite the last time I looked at them.

I consider the ARW my best friend. How dare you. Even so, taking out that suite still gets you 6" plus, which might not be to crazy with ratios and latest runs.

[mitchnick]

7pm NAM Sim Radar and still snowing nicely

that is sweet

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?image=data%2Fnam%2F12%2Fnam_namer_036_sim_radar.gif&model=nam&area=namer&storm=&cycle=12&param=sim_radar&fhr=036&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M&scrollx=0&scrolly=0

[North Balti Zen]

Yall should wait for the model to run before worrying.  The NAM is fine.  I'm out to 36

 

Thanks for the reminder. I am watching it unfold and comparing it to the initial comments in here, and was wondering if I was watching the wrong run. 

[H2O]

None of this means anything until the Wes Junker model runs comes out

[Disc]

Hey I might get some snow showers from this run. So much for that winter storm watch.

[gocaps]

Just found this in my inbox and had a good laugh...

 

[MN Transplant]

Still going at 00z.

 

[H2O]

I consider the ARW my best friend. How dare you. Even so, taking out that suite still gets you 6" plus, which might not be to crazy with ratios and latest runs.

 

Common sense and history should tell you that the highest end solutions do not generally verify

[mitchnick]

NAM looks to be coming north at 7AM tomorrow, then it feels the power of the 50/50 type Low in SE Canada and gets pushed south to save the day