January 21-22 maybe January 24th potential very cold snow event. It's gonna snow dammit!

[ORH_wxman]

Yeah, but when the synoptics are still in question you pretty much have to take them with a grain of salt.

 

 

Yeah definitely. Way too often they blow up coastals.

[N. OF PIKE]

Ryan said "over correct then tick east".

Not that that is what nam is doing but not sure i just toss it outright?

[TalcottWx]

Ryan said "over correct then tick east".

Not that that is what nam is doing but not sure i just toss it outright?

Toss it outright.

[CoastalWx]

Ryan said "over correct then tick east".

Not that that is what nam is doing but not sure i just toss it outright?

 

No matter the solution...it is easy to toss.

[N. OF PIKE]

Will, toss it out right....

[40/70 Benchmark]

Nothing to see here as far as I'm concerned.

[mahk_webstah]

Don't let the SREFs suck you in.

suck me in?

I'd never let that happen!  The chances for 8+ are only 20-25.  I'm only banking on 4-8!

[mahk_webstah]

I wish the NAM and SREFs came out last sometimes. They are like a Wrestlemania opening match of Nikolai Volkov against Tito Santana while what we're really waiting for is Hogan/Warrior in a few hours.

You know way too much about world wide wrestling.....

 

I smell a surprise to the upside here.   well maybe not up here, but at least to Ray.

[earthlight]

RGEM is really amped up (still out of its most reliable range). Not even close to the NAM. In fact similar to some of the amped up SREF members. 

[SnowMan]

Hopefully NW trend continues. Looking good so far.

[CoastalWx]

RGEM is really amped up (still out of its most reliable range). Not even close to the NAM. In fact similar to some of the amped up SREF members. 

 

It sure is. Wow.

[Heisy]

RGEM 993 off the DE Coast, WOW

 

[dendrite]

You know way too much about world wide wrestling.....

 

I smell a surprise to the upside here.   well maybe not up here, but at least to Ray.

lol...it was a brief phase while in junior high.

I'm ready to smoke cirrus.

[SnowGoose69]

_{It almost appears the NAM latched onto some sort of front running piece of vorticity and kicked the system east, if the GFS is west of it I'll feel better tossing it but its evolution looked like it may have hooked onto something that led it east.}

[ORH_wxman]

RGEM is interesting. It is certianly more reliable than the NAM this year.

[CT Rain]

It sure is. Wow.

 

An RGEM solution would be great...  but for SNE meteorologists that would be a total kick to the groin. 12"+ when this morning most of us were talking about light snow lol

[CoastalWx]

RGEM is interesting. It is certianly more reliable than the NAM this year.

 

Absolutely. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

RGEM 993 off the DE Coast, WOW

rgem2.gif

Snowstorm

[CoastalWx]

An RGEM solution would be great...  but for SNE meteorologists that would be a total kick to the groin. 12"+ when this morning most of us were talking about light snow lol

 

We'll see what the GFS does. If it ticks west..things get interesting.

[mahk_webstah]

Good signs:

 

Uncle Jerry very insistent

Earthlight posting in the NE thread

Will giving sref props

Brian almost desperately cautious

Kevin asleep, dreaming

Scott saying "Wow"

 

I think these clippers have trended well this winter.  The period just prior to the NY looked dry and then suddenly we had a couple storms.  Lots of surprised to the upside this year.  Look at yesterday for example.  Why not now?

[ORH_wxman]

An RGEM solution would be great...  but for SNE meteorologists that would be a total kick to the groin. 12"+ when this morning most of us were talking about light snow lol

 

 

Northern stream is tough on the models...fast meridional flow and some sparse data in the source regions for these shortwaves (even though that is less of an issue these days, it still helps to have better sampled data)

[CoastalWx]

RGEM would be a complete weenie solution.

[CT Rain]

RGEM would be a complete weenie solution.

 

Kevin is really sleeping in Ottawa tonight and tinkering with the modeling at EC

[40/70 Benchmark]

RGEM has been known to be on the amped side, but it usually isn't clueless.

 

Interesting.

[CoastalWx]

Northern stream is tough on the models...fast meridional flow and some sparse data in the source regions for these shortwaves (even though that is less of an issue these days, it still helps to have better sampled data)

 

Look at the source region...easy to see how there are complications. I always love looping the evolution of these...it makes me in awe we have machines that can get these correct.

[mahk_webstah]

An RGEM solution would be great...  but for SNE meteorologists that would be a total kick to the groin. 12"+ when this morning most of us were talking about light snow lol

Take one for the team man....

 

RGEM and SREFs now.  I will be asleep for the GFS and Euro.  Good luck to us all.

Meanwhile 12+ on the ground with arctic air incoming 5 weeks of snowpack.  Deep deep

[SnowGoose69]

RGEM has been known to be on the amped side, but it usually isn't clueless.

 

Interesting.

 

It can suck at times beyond 36 hours, not as frequently as the NAM sucks beyond that range though.

[weathafella]

I'll start your threads from now on ok?

[weathafella]

RGEM is worlds better than it's cousin GGEM. And better vs nam. NAM is a formerly beautiful woman now 87 years old thinking 35 year olds are interested.

[NorEastermass128]

RGEM has been known to be on the amped side, but it usually isn't clueless.

 

Interesting.

In 24 hours, the NAM will be the most amped solution, while the RGEM will be one of the most paltry.  Mark my words and save this post.